WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 02: (L to R) U.S. President Donald Trump looks on as his nominee for the ... More chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell takes to the podium during a press event in the Rose Garden at the White House, November 2, 2017 in Washington, DC. Current Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen's term expires in February. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Getty ImagesFire Powell? Keep him around? The question never seems to go away—and the markets, fueled by the so-called “TACO” trade (“T ...

美国经济展望 - 美国经济在第二季度保持强劲但存在潜在阻碍因素[1] - 税改和潜在放松监管对经济前景有积极影响[2] - 主要风险包括关税和贸易不确定性、地缘政治恶化、高财政赤字和资产价格高企[2] 摩根大通预测方法 - 公司对预测持谨慎态度因过去危机曾出乎意料[2] - 预测未来非常复杂有时是浪费时间多数人无法准确判断拐点[5] 美联储独立性讨论 - 特朗普曾多次要求降息并考虑解雇美联储主席但缺乏法律依据[6][9] - 美联储独立性至关重要干扰可能产生与预期相反的后果[10] - 当前美联储主席受到尊重维护独立性对下任主席同样重要[10] 摩根大通股价表现 - 公司股价报286.30美元当日下跌0.83%（2.39美元）[5]