Much to the chagrin of the investors who were around at the time, the bond market is once again at 2007 yields, and if history is any guide, whatever comes next will be determined by whether the economy powers ahead or stumbles. On Sept. 30, the 10-year Treasury yielded 5.26%, and on June 12, 2007, it closed at the same point. Owners of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT +0.31%), an exchange-traded fund (ETF) of long-dated government bonds, are getting particularly stung here, since bond prices fal ...

Kirsten Chang October 1, 2026 This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. Fighting Inflation vs. Stimulating Recovery The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. ...