US Rates Strategy | North America August 18, 2026 11:30 AM GMT Kalshi Markets as Macro Signals: A Practical Guide to Prediction Market Pricing We find that Kalshi's prediction markets are a useful addition to the macro investor toolkit. Their fed funds and CPI forecast accuracy outperforms commonly used indicators. For GDP, NFP, and unemployment, accuracy is in line with traditional indicators but provides an earlier, first-of-its-kind, market-implied read. Key Takeaways Click here for our Bloomberg Ticker ...