The global crypto markets are glued to their screens today as the Federal Reserve will announce its much-awaited decision on interest rates within a few hours. Given the hot inflation and disappointing jobs market in the U.S., a rate cut of at least 25 basis points is being anticipated. The sentiment is well reflected on the popular crypto-based prediction market, Polymarket, as well. Related: What is tokenization? Explained Users on Polymarket think there is a 91% chance of the Fed lowering interest rat ...

Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. Subscribe to the Morning Minute on Substack. GM! Today's top news: Crypto majors mostly flat into FOMC, Bitcoin leads +1% to $116,300 Binance in talks with US DOJ to end its compliance monitor Bank of America says 67% of fund managers hold 0 crypto Trump suing NY Times for $15M saying they hurt the TRUMP meme Tether co-founder launches STB ...

在充满不确定性的2025年，预测平台Polymarket正以惊人速度崛起：从美联储降息到俄乌停火、Taylor Swift是否怀孕，再到AI模型排行，Polymarket将世间万物转化为可交易的"概率合约"，吸引数十亿美元 资金参与。它被誉为"群众智慧的金融化"，也是信息金融的实验场，甚至被视为正在崛起的"第五权 力"。不同于传统赌场，Polymarket由加密技术驱动，以"无庄家、动态交易、流动性奖励"三大革新，挑 战传统博彩与民调机制。但光鲜背后，是UMA裁决机制的多次争议、伦理边界的模糊，以及"反身 性"对现实的影响：它到底是在预测未来，还是在"操纵"未来？当战争、灾难、选举皆可金融化，我们 是在接近真相，还是打开了资本定义一切的潘多拉魔盒？ ...

Blockchain prediction market Polymarket is preparing a return to the United States as it eyes a potential $10 billion valuation, according to a Friday report by Business Insider. Key Takeaways: Polymarket is planning a U.S. return and seeking a valuation of up to $10 billion. The platform gained traction after accurately predicting Trump’s 2024 victory but faced regulatory setbacks. With CFTC clearance and rising competition from Kalshi, Polymarket is re-entering a heated prediction market race. T ...

Prediction market PredictIt, which started out as an academic platform focused on political forecasts, is preparing to launch a new exchange after getting the nod from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt, operated by the D.C.-based Aristole, said last week that the CFTC approved its applications to operate as both a designated contract market, or DCM, and derivatives clearing organization, or DCO. “With these approvals, Aristotle will launch a new exchange designed to provide U.S. trade ...