Traders on prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting that the federal government shutdown will last about six weeks, as partisan gridlock shows little sign of easing. While odds on these markets don’t serve as formal forecasts, they do provide a real-time snapshot of trader expectations.According to Kalshi’s market data, traders on average expect the shutdown to continue for roughly 44 days. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN 101: WE'VE BEEN HERE BEFORE, HERE'S WHAT HAPPENS NEXT Traders are pricing in a 44% p ...