May 30, 2025 05:00 AM GMT US Economics Weekly | North America Trade uncertainty, immigration certainty If IEEPA tariffs are overturned, we think the White House can recreate its current tariff structure using other authority. We revise lower our estimate for immigration. Low immigration will make it harder for the unemployment rate to rise. It also pulls potential growth and the neutral rate lower. Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: Trade policy may be uncertain, but immigration policy is not. Incoming data through A ...