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"In Line" CPI & Higher Jobless Claims "Solidify" September FOMC Rate Cut
Youtube· 2025-09-11 22:15
So I bring in Kevin Hanks, co-host of Fast Market, live at the CBOE and we have an inline CPI print. The jobless claims obviously for firsttime claims highest in four years. We have a lot to discuss.So let's start with some of the inflation story after the PPI yesterday and CPI today. Good morning Kevin. Good morning Nicole.Yes. Uh CPI comes out uh the pretty much in most case in line with consensus expectations. The CPI month- over-month headline up 0.4% that's a tenth better than expected.The actual numbe ...
高盛:美国_CPI低于预期;预计 5 月PEC上涨 0.18%
高盛· 2025-06-12 15:19
报告行业投资评级 未提及相关内容 报告的核心观点 - 5月核心CPI环比上涨0.13%低于预期,同比涨幅微升至2.79%;预计核心PCE价格指数5月上涨0.18%,对应同比涨幅为2.62% [2][3][8] 根据相关目录分别进行总结 关键数据 - 5月CPI环比上涨0.08%,高盛预期为0.17%,市场预测中值为0.2%,前值为0.22% [3] - 5月核心CPI环比上涨0.13%,高盛预期为0.25%,市场预测中值为0.3%,前值为0.24% [3] - 5月CPI同比上涨2.35%,高盛预期为2.47%,市场预测中值为2.4%,前值为2.31% [3] - 5月核心CPI同比上涨2.79%,高盛预期为2.89%,市场预测中值为2.9%,前值为2.78% [3] 主要观点 - 5月核心CPI环比涨幅低于预期,同比涨幅微升;公共交通、服装和二手车等分项拖累核心CPI;机票和酒店价格下降或因需求疲软和季节性因素;住房分项本月表现较弱;车险、大型家电、家居用品和个人电脑价格上涨;关税上调使高关税暴露的CPI分项平均上涨1.2%,近三个月月均对核心CPI通胀贡献0.04个百分点;整体CPI上涨0.08%,能源价格下降1.0%,食品价格上涨0.3% [2][3][7] - 基于CPI报告细节,预计核心PCE价格指数5月上涨0.18%(此前预期为0.23%),对应同比涨幅为2.62%;预计整体PCE价格指数5月上涨0.14%,同比上涨2.29%;预计基于市场的核心PCE 5月上涨0.22%;将在周三PPI报告和下周二进口价格报告后更新预测 [2][8]