Photo by BeInCrypto The Bitcoin price is under renewed pressure. BTC is down about 4% over the past 24 hours and nearly 10% over the past 30 days, as selling pressure builds across the crypto market. While traders debate rebound versus breakdown, a critical long-term level has now surfaced that could decide how Bitcoin ends the year. Both price structure and cycle analysis are converging around the same zone. If Bitcoin fails to defend it before the year closes, downside risks increase sharply. A Make-o ...

Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. The Federal Reserve delivered its third straight 25 basis points rate cut to close out 2025, briefly lifting retail optimism for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) before the market quickly reversed course. What Happened: On-chain platform Santiment noted that while lower rates typically boost risk assets by increasing liquidity and weakening the dollar, retail enthusiasm peaked before the an ...

The crypto market slid deeper into Fear this week, with the CMC Fear & Greed Index dropping to 29 as Bitcoin dominance held at 58.9%. Total market cap fell 0.51% to $3.15 trillion, while trading volume declined 0.68% to $196.11 billion. Against this backdrop, Binance Alpha maintained its listing pace with two Dec. 11 launches: Talus Network (US) and BeatSwap (BTX), both featuring Alpha Points-based airdrops. DOYR ripped 5,891% over seven days, leading a pack of micro-cap tokens that ignored the macro glo ...

The price of BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain, dropped 3% in the last 24-hour period to $865 as traders digested the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday rate cut. BNB moved down with the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index, which is lower by 3.4% over the same time frame. The token rose as high of $908.83 Wednesday before reversing sharply. Selling pressure increased as BNB pierced through $870, a key support zone that had held in recent weeks, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis data model. T ...

市场结构与参与者变化 - 当前加密货币市场由机构投资者主导，他们投资周期更长，对短期价格波动较不敏感，导致市场整体波动性下降 [3] - 零售交易者的活跃度远低于以往的牛市水平，未能驱动以往的市场狂热 [1] - 风险偏好高的交易者因市场变得“无聊”而选择离开，不再持续参与 [4] 市场表现与波动性特征 - 比特币在以往牛市中通常率先上涨，常在数周内飙升百分之几百，但当前市场缺乏这种极端波动 [1] - 今年以来，比特币的波动性多次低于股市，这是前所未有的情况 [6] - 替代性加密货币（如以太坊和Solana）的表现已落后于比特币，未出现“山寨币季节” [3] 山寨币市场面临的挑战 - 零售投资者交易山寨币面临“糟糕的风险回报比”，预计2025年或2026年不会出现山寨币季节 [5] - 山寨币市场的许多不利因素并非新问题，但持续存在 [5] - 以往牛市中的典型模式是，交易者将比特币的获利轮动到以太坊和Solana等风险更高的资产，以寻求更高回报，但当前市场缺乏这一过程 [2] 价格与市场情绪 - 比特币去年突破了关键的100,000美元大关，但零售交易者并未参与这轮上涨 [6] - 截至2025年底，比特币交易价格低于年初水平，零售交易者的参与度仍远低于以往牛市 [6] - 市场缺乏由零售狂热驱动的“疯狂收益”特征，这曾是市场的重要驱动力 [1]

市场整体情绪与宏观事件 - 市场看涨情绪受多重因素推动 今日FOMC会议预计降息25个基点 可能使最规避风险的投资者也对2026年的加密货币市场转为看涨 [1] - 市场似乎已提前消化降息预期 在美联储会议前 加密货币总市值单日增加1500亿美元 [4] - 美联储利率决定将于今日欧洲中部时间20点公布 CME观察工具显示降息25个基点的概率为89.9% 市场普遍预期会议后将出现短期波动和长期看涨 [4] - 市场关注点已转向美联储主席的评论 鸽派语调可能推动市场进一步上涨 而更强硬的立场可能引发不确定性和回调 [5] 比特币行情与预测 - 比特币目前持稳于92000美元 过去24小时上涨3.1% 但在今日晚些时候的美联储FOMC会议前 交易者应为波动性做好准备 [3] - 知名加密货币交易员指出 比特币似乎在模仿2021年的周期 具有类似的双顶结构和反弹 图表显示比特币在下一次下跌前可能反弹至100000-105000美元水平 [2] - 如果比特币能重新站上97000美元水平 可能引发更广泛的市场反弹 [3] 以太坊与山寨币表现 - 以太坊引领市场上涨 ETH/USD当日飙升6.5% 使其价格重回3300美元上方 [4] - 在拥有现货ETF的数字资产中 Ripple表现最强 其ETF已连续十五个交易日实现资金净流入 但价格尚未跟上 隔夜仅上涨1% 目前交易价格为2.06美元 [6] Solana生态表现 - 目前最值得购买的加密货币可能位于Solana链上 SOL生态系统在经历了数月的流动性流失后显现复苏迹象 [1] - 在今日表现最佳的资产中 Solana生态系统处于领先地位 [7] - Solana上的模因币Pippin自11月中旬推出以来 过去一个月暴涨超过900% 仅过去24小时就上涨了93% [7]

市场整体状况 - 亚洲加密货币市场开盘时比特币表现趋稳，但整体基调远非看涨，数据显示市场已停止失血，但尚未准备好加速，ETF资金流、链上指标和衍生品定价均指向一种横盘格局 [2] - 市场信号组合显示价格正在企稳，但结构上仍然疲弱，14日相对强弱指数已回到中值区间，表明比特币已从上周最极端的超卖状态中恢复 [4] - 综合数据表明，比特币的反弹更多与缺乏大量抛售有关，而非强劲的需求推动，市场在ETF资金流持续转正且链上活动加强之前，更可能横盘整理而非形成趋势 [5][6] 资金流向与ETF数据 - 美国比特币ETF资金流出现数周以来的首次稳定，根据SoSoValue数据，12月9日录得5650万美元的资金流入，而整个11月每周的赎回额超过11亿美元 [3] - 市场需要ETF资金流持续转正以及链上活动增强，才能出现更清晰的方向性走势，这有待长期持有者和机构配置者行为的转变，但目前尚未显现 [6] 链上指标与市场结构 - 链上活动未能为更强的趋势提供佐证，活跃地址数接近周期低点，已实现市值增长率仅为0.7%，表明资本流入疲弱 [5] - 短期持有者仍在供应中占据主导，这使得市场对波动保持敏感，供应结构同样脆弱 [3][5] - 现货累计成交量差值仍处于深度负值，衍生品头寸呈防御态势，链上活动处于其区间的低端 [3] 衍生品市场信号 - 期货未平仓合约已下滑，波动率价差被大幅折价，期权偏斜显示交易者仍在为下行保护付费，而非布局上行 [4] - 衍生品定价指向市场处于横盘格局 [2] 主要加密货币价格表现 - 比特币交易价格接近92,214美元，此前在美国交易时段出现剧烈反转，这一走势由现货需求而非杠杆推动，被视为卖家力量耗尽的迹象 [7] - 以太坊徘徊在3,296美元附近，日涨幅达6%，随着空头回补和市场情绪改善提振大盘代币，其表现持续跑赢 [7]

Crypto analysts are watching today’s Federal Reserve meeting closely, but according to Nansen’s Principal Research Analyst Aurelie Barthere, the rate cut itself is no longer the main story. Key Takeaways: Markets have already priced in today’s 25bps rate cut, making Powell’s tone and forward guidance the key drivers for crypto. Nansen’s Aurelie Barthere says the 2026 leadership shift toward Kevin Hassett could be bullish for digital assets. Bitcoin faces major resistance near $91,000, with Barthere e ...

fed rate cut december, fed rate cut. Photo by BeInCrypto The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) opens its December 2025 session today, with the decision set for release tomorrow, December 10, at 2:00 p.m. ET. Investors and traders are watching closely to see whether the central bank will continue its easing cycle or surprise markets by holding rates steady. As the final policy announcement of the year, the outcome carries considerable weight for crypto markets. The Rate Cut Scenario: What Happens if th ...

Bitcoin (BTC) attempted a late weekend rally, but even those small gains were mostly reversed in early U.S. action Monday, with the price quietly settling in near the $90,000 area for the remainder of the day. Trading around $90,500 as U.S. stocks closed, bitcoin was lower by about 1% over the past 24 hours. Altcoin majors also struggled to hold on to their gains. Ethereum’s ether (ETH) slipped slightly lower, but outperformed a bit and climbed to its strongest relative price against BTC in more than a m ...