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The Fed's entering its unknown era, and that's bad news for investors
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 04:57
Jerome Powell gave the keynote address in Jackson Hole.Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images This post originally appeared in the Business Insider Today newsletter. You can sign up for Business Insider's daily newsletter here. The Federal Reserve did what everyone thought it would do. Don't get used to it. The central bank cut rates for the third time this year. BI's economy team broke down the announcement and answered your questions. BI's Allie Kelly also has a recap on what the latest rate cut means for ...
Fed trims main rate by a quarter point
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 22:26
美联储利率决议与政策立场 - 美联储在为期两天的会议后决定将主要利率下调25个基点至375%至4%的区间 这是央行今年第二次降息 此前在9月已因劳动力市场疲软降息25个基点 [6] - 尽管本次降息获得强力支持票 但美联储主席鲍威尔警告在12月10日的年终会议上 委员会成员对于下一步利率行动存在强烈分歧 [6] - 政策并非预设路径 12月会议进一步降息并非既定事实 [6] 经济数据与风险平衡 - 9月份通胀同比上升3% 核心CPI(剔除食品和能源)同样上升3% 虽低于预期但仍高于美联储2%的目标 [4] - 自今年初以来就业增长显著放缓 劳动力需求亦出现收缩 [4] - 当前风险状况是通胀面临上行风险 而就业面临下行风险 美联储的工具难以同时应对这两个目标 [5] 经济预测与内部观点 - 美联储9月发布的中值预测显示 预计2025年将进一步进行两次25个基点的降息 到年底将联邦基金利率降至36% 同时上调了经济增长预测 [5] - 19位联邦公开市场委员会成员不同的预测和风险观点 使12月可能的降息存在不确定性 [5] - 在本次降息决议中 成员Stephen I Miran和Jeffrey R Schmid投下反对票 Miran主张降息50个基点 Schmid则主张维持利率不变 [6]