Let's bring in Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Xandandy who I assume Mark you've you've been listening in. Do you do you have a do you do you have an opinion on on one or the other and qu this question about credibility and how close they are to the president. >> I think they're both reasonably good choices, Sarah. I mean I I know Kevin I guess they're both Kevin.I know them pretty well. They're good economists. They are very experienced.Uh both uh lived and worked through the financial crisis. So th ...

就业市场状况 - 认为工作“难找”的消费者比例从189%上升至20% 为2021年初以来的最高水平 [1] - 失业救济金首次申领人数在8月略有增加 并接近5月份的水平 [5] - 近17%的劳动力因被全职雇主解雇而被迫从事兼职工作 [5] 就业数据趋势 - 7月职位空缺减少176,000个 而6月减少了355,000个 [2] - 世界大型企业联合会就业趋势指数的八个组成部分中 有六个在7月和8月均为负值 这是自2024年11月以来的首次 [6] 影响因素 - 前总统特朗普强硬的移民立场减少了工人数量 [2] - 经济学家指出关税压力预计会加剧 可能推高通胀、减少消费 从而抑制经济活动并削弱未来的招聘 [2][3] - 尽管裁员和失业率保持在低位 但商业活动正明显放缓 反映出商业信心水平疲软 [3][6] 小型企业困境 - 目前有32%的小型企业报告无法填补职位空缺 该比例较7月的33%和6月的36%略有下降 [3]