That story feels familiar to small carriers for a reason. Spot rates don’t move on a schedule, and they don’t follow clean rules. For years, the industry has tried to predict them with confidence — the turn is coming, capacity is tightening, just wait a few more weeks. After enough missed calls, you stop reacting. Not because you don’t care, but because experience has taught you how unreliable spot-rate predictions can be. The truth is, spot rates are brutally difficult to forecast. Too many variables mo ...