投资评级 - 投资评级为买入-A,维持评级 [5] - 6个月目标价76.50元,当前股价60.98元 [5] 核心财务表现 - 2025年上半年收入117.4亿元,YoY+76.1%;归母净利润12.4亿元,YoY+108.5% [1] - Q2单季度收入66.3亿元,YoY+61.5%;归母净利润7.9亿元,YoY+70.8% [1] - Q2经营活动现金流量净额20.9亿元,YoY+35.3%;合同负债余额14.8亿元,YoY+140.3% [3] 分业务表现 - Q2电动两轮车收入39.6亿元,YoY+80.6%,销量/均价YoY+77.3%/+1.8% [2] - Q2自主品牌零售滑板车收入9.3亿元,YoY+27.6%,销量/均价YoY+4.7%/+21.8% [2] - Q2全地形车收入3.2亿元,YoY+10.7%,销量/均价YoY+21.0%/-8.5% [2] - Q2 ToB产品直营收入4.3亿元,YoY+43.2% [2] - Q2其他产品及配件收入9.8亿元,YoY+67.2%,包含割草机器人业务 [2] 盈利能力 - Q2归母净利率11.8%,同比+0.6pct;扣非后归母净利率13.2%,同比+2.5pct [3] - Q2毛利率同比+2.3pct,受益于规模效应和采购降本 [3] - Q2期间费用率同比-1.7pct,其中财务费用率同比-2.4pct [3] 未来展望 - 预计2025~2027年EPS分别为27.32/36.70/52.61元 [9] - 给予2025年PE估值28x,对应目标价76.50元 [9] - 持续布局E-bike、割草机器人等潜力赛道 [2][4] 行业表现 - 1个月/3个月/12个月相对收益分别为1.8%/4.9%/11.1% [6] - 1个月/3个月/12个月绝对收益分别为4.0%/12.8%/31.4% [6]
九号公司:Q2两轮车收入持续高增,单季经营表现亮眼
国投证券·2025-08-04 22:31