December Nymex natural gas (NGZ25) on Thursday closed up +0.141 (+3.70%). Dec nat-gas prices on Thursday settled higher as US weather forecasts turned colder, potentially boosting heating demand for nat-gas.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said Thursday that forecasts shifted cooler over the eastern half of the country for November 9-13.  Thursday's weekly EIA inventory report showed supplies rose as expected and was neutral for nat-gas prices. More News from Barchart US (lower-48) dry gas production on Thu ...

November Nymex natural gas (NGX25) on Friday closed down -0.040 (-1.20%), adding to Thursday's loss of -3.07%. Nov nat-gas prices on Friday fell to a new 1-week low, extending the sell-off from Wednesday's 2-week high.  Nat-gas prices continued to sell off on Friday due in part to Thursday's bearish weekly EIA inventory report.  The EIA reported on Thursday that nat-gas inventories rose +87 bcf in the week ended October 17, above expectations of +83 bcf and the five-year average of +77 bcf. More News fr ...

November Nymex natural gas (NGX25) on Tuesday closed up by +0.141 (+4.20%). Nov nat-gas prices settled sharply higher on Tuesday as US weather forecasts cooled for mid-October, which could boost heating demand for nat-gas.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said Tuesday that forecasts shifted cooler in the East and West Coast for October 12-16, and cooler for the Northeast and West Coast for October 17-21. More News from Barchart Higher US nat-gas production is a bearish factor for prices.  On Tuesday, the EIA ...

价格表现与近期驱动因素 - 11月NYMEX天然气期货价格周五下跌0.118美元，跌幅达3.43%，延续了周四的跌势 [1] - 价格下跌的主要原因是美国10月中旬温暖天气预测将抑制供暖需求，气象预报显示10月8日至12日美国中部地区以及10月13日至17日全国大部分地区天气将转向更热 [1] - 周四价格曾因库存增幅低于预期而跳涨至两个半月高点，当周EIA库存仅增加530亿立方英尺，低于市场预期的640亿立方英尺 [2] 供需基本面分析 - 美国本土48州干天然气产量周五为1084亿立方英尺/日，同比增长5.4%，而需求为664亿立方英尺/日，同比下降7.4%，呈现供过于求态势 [4] - 美国天然气产量近期接近历史高位，活跃天然气钻机数达到两年高点，EIA将2025年产量预测上调0.2%至106.63亿立方英尺/日 [3] - 运往美国LNG出口终端的净流量周五为157亿立方英尺/日，环比下降1.0% [4] 库存状况 - 截至9月26日当周，天然气库存增加530亿立方英尺，不仅低于市场预期，也远低于五年同期平均增幅850亿立方英尺 [6] - 当前库存水平较去年同期高出0.4%，较五年季节性平均水平高出5.0%，表明供应充足 [6] - 欧洲天然气库存截至9月30日填充率为85%，低于五年季节性平均水平90% [6] 潜在支撑因素 - 美国电力需求呈现增长态势，截至9月27日当周，本土48州电力产出同比增长5.96%至84,530吉瓦时 [5] - 在截至9月27日的52周内，美国电力产出同比增长2.9%至4,271,916吉瓦时，可能为天然气需求提供支撑 [5]

November Nymex natural gas (NGX25) on Tuesday closed up +0.036 (+1.10%). Nov nat-gas prices rallied to a 2.25-month nearest-futures high on Tuesday and settled higher on the outlook for colder US weather next month to boost heating demand for nat-gas.  According to forecaster Atmospheric G2, forecasts have shifted cooler in the West for October 6-10, and a general cooler risk is expected across most of the US for later in the October 10-14 period. More News from Barchart Higher US nat-gas production has ...

November Nymex natural gas (NGX25) on Monday closed up +0.061 (+1.90%). Nov nat-gas prices climbed to a 1-week high on Monday and settled higher as forecasts for above-average US temperatures could lead to increased demand from electricity providers to power ramped-up air conditioning usage.  Forecaster Atmospheric G2 said Monday that forecasts shifted warmer across the eastern and southern US for October 4-8, and forecasts shifted warmer over the eastern half of the country for October 9-13. More News ...

October Nymex natural gas (NGV25) on Wednesday closed up +0.046 (+1.61%). Oct nat-gas prices settled higher on Thursday due to an in-line weekly storage report.  The EIA reported nat-gas inventories rose +75 bcf for the week ended September 19, close to forecasts.  Prices fell back from their best levels as US weather forecasts cooled, which will reduce natural-gas demand from electricity providers to run air conditioning.  NOAA said forecasts shifted cooler for the eastern and southern US for September 2 ...

价格表现与短期驱动因素 - 10月NYMEX天然气期货价格周二收涨+0.047美元（+1.67%），从4周低点反弹，因美国气温预测转暖引发空头回补 [1] - 气象预测机构Atmospheric G2指出，美国中部和北部地区在9月28日至10月2日期间天气将更炎热，可能提升电力供应商的天然气需求以支持空调使用 [1] 供应基本面 - 截至9月12日，美国天然气库存较其5年季节性平均水平高出+6.3%，对价格构成利空 [2][6] - 美国能源信息署（EIA）将2025年美国天然气产量预测上调+0.2%至106.63十亿立方英尺/天，目前产量接近历史高位，活跃天然气钻机数达2年来高点 [3] - 周二美国（本土48州）干天然气产量为107.4十亿立方英尺/天（同比+4.8%） [4] 需求与消费基本面 - 周二美国（本土48州）天然气需求为75.4十亿立方英尺/天（同比+3.7%） [4] - 爱迪生电力协会报告显示，截至9月13日当周美国（本土48州）发电量同比上升+0.83%至81,346吉瓦时，过去52周累计发电量同比上升+2.98%至4,265,230吉瓦时 [5] 库存与出口数据 - 截至9月12日当周，美国天然气库存增加+900亿立方英尺，高于市场预期的+810亿立方英尺及5年周均增幅+740亿立方英尺 [6] - 周二美国液化天然气出口终端估计净流量为14.4十亿立方英尺/天（周环比-5.8%） [4] - 截至9月21日，欧洲天然气库存填充率为82%，低于同期5年季节性平均水平88% [6]

October Nymex natural gas (NGV25) on Friday closed down -0.051 (-1.74%). Oct nat-gas prices on Friday added to Thursday's sharp losses and dropped to a 3-week low.   Nat-gas prices fell Friday on negative carryover from Thursday when the EIA reported that nat-gas inventories rose +90 bcf in the week ended September 12, above expectations of +81 bcf and well above the five-year average for this time of year of +74 bcf.  That brings current US nat-gas inventories to +6.3% above their 5-year seasonal average ...

October Nymex natural gas (NGV25) on Thursday closed down -0.161 (-5.19%). Oct nat-gas prices sold off sharply on Thursday due to a larger-than-expected build in weekly EIA nat-gas inventories.  The EIA reported Thursday that nat-gas inventories rose +90 bcf in the week ended September 12, above expectations of +81 bcf and well above the five-year average for this time of year of +74 bcf. More News from Barchart Losses in nat-gas prices accelerated Thursday on cooler weather forecasts for late Septembe ...