Chair Powell, are you uncomfortable with how market pricing has assumed a rate cut is a foregone conclusion at your next meeting. >> Well, I as I just mentioned, um a further reduction in the policy rate of December meeting is not a foregone conclusion as I've just said. So, uh I would say that that needs to be taken on board. We had um you know, I would just say this uh 19 participants on the committee.Everyone works very hard at this and takes their obligations to serve the American people very seriously. ...

贸易紧张局势对泰国经济的影响 - 美中贸易紧张局势再度升级是美国威胁对华商品加征100%关税以及中国大幅扩大稀土出口管制所致[1][2] - 该局势对泰国经济增长前景构成重大下行风险因为美中两国均是泰国主要的进出口贸易伙伴[1][2][3] - 泰国央行预计今年经济增长率为2.2%2026年为1.8%均远低于2.7%的潜在增长率[3] 泰国央行的货币政策立场 - 尽管增长疲软但泰国央行上周意外维持1.5%的关键利率不变而非降息[4] - 当前1.5%的政策利率已处于历史低位历史上仅在全球金融危机、新冠疫情和SARS疫情期间三次低于该水平降息空间有限[4] - 制约经济的因素不再是融资条件因此央行将重点转向与财政当局合作的金融措施[4][5] 泰国央行的替代政策工具 - 央行将专注于金融措施例如针对家庭和中小企业的债务重组计划以及贷款担保计划以帮助其获得信贷[5] - 央行认为当前制约在于信贷获取并将继续并可能加大此类措施的力度[5] 泰国通胀形势与政策目标 - 9月通胀数据连续第六个月为负但主要由外部和供应相关的能源及食品价格下跌驱动[6] - 通胀预期基本保持稳定因此无需重新评估央行1-3%的通胀目标[6]