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Oklo's Pullback Changed The Setup
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-17 23:00
Oklo Inc. ( OKLO ) continues to be evaluated through a framework that no longer fits the company's reality. Most investors treat it for what it was - a development-stage, speculative name in the clean-energy space, hurtHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schoo ...
Eric Jackson To Head Crypto Treasury — SRX Health Stock Soars - SRX HealthSolutions (AMEX:SRXH)
Benzinga· 2025-12-16 22:19
Eric Jackson, hedge fund manager known for his bullish calls on Opendoor Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPEN) and Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) , has announced plans to become CEO of a publicly-traded crypto treasury company. SRXH stock is soaring. See the chart and price action here. On Tuesday, SRx Health Solutions, Inc. (AMEX:SRXH) announced it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire EMJ Crypto Technologies (EMJX), a platform designed for managing digital asset treasuries and founded by Jackson. Read Next: El ...
Is Sea Limited Still a Growth Story or Value Trap?
The Smart Investor· 2025-12-16 17:30
Sea Limited (NYSE: SE) has become one of Southeast Asia’s leading tech companies. Built on three major businesses, namely E-Commerce (Shopee), Digital Financial Services (Monee), and Digital Entertainment (Garena), Sea has emerged as a technology powerhouse. But its current position shouldn’t be taken for granted. With intensifying competition, has Sea seen its best years?Sea at a Glance Garena first placed Sea on the global map with its hit mobile game, Free Fire.According to Udonis, Free Fire is one of th ...
让产业链共享红利
期货日报网· 2025-12-16 09:58
在大宗商品贸易的传统格局中,信息壁垒、信用缺失、资金梗阻如同三座无形大山,制约着实体企业尤 其是中小微企业的发展。如今,交易所场外业务平台的崛起与业务模式的迭代,正以数字化力量助力企 业破局。通过仓单革新、期转现衔接、基差对冲等多元服务,平台为产业链注入金融"活水",实现从单 点突破到生态共荣的质变,让创新红利渗透产业的"毛细血管"。 以"信用+资源"双枢纽筑生态、强根基,是场外业务创新的核心逻辑。在传统大宗商品贸易中,交易双 方的信任建立高度依赖线下调研与长期积累,不仅效率低下,而且潜在风险如影随形。金融机构因缺乏 可靠的风险管控抓手,面对实体企业的融资需求往往"爱莫能助",资金与实体之间的供需错配问题突 出。 交易所场外业务平台则凭借自身权威信用,打破这一困局,将分散的贸易主体、金融机构、仓储企业纳 入统一数字化体系。平台不仅实现交易流程全线上化运转,更通过标准化仓单认证、全周期资金监管、 透明化价格公示等举措,构建起"看得见、信得过、靠得住"的贸易环境,让信用可量化、资源可整合, 从根本上重塑产业信任生态。 当然,场外业务的创新仍需持续探索。当前企业对多元金融产品、智能风控工具的迫切需求,为平台发 展指 ...
The Most Important Proclamation In The FOMC Press Conference (And It's Been Ignored, Again)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-16 03:45
MarketGauge was founded 25 ago years by successful floor traders turned hedge fund managers. Their experts have over 100 years of diversified experience as professional traders, technologists, and educators. MarketGauge’s mission is to provide strategic and actionable information that empower novice to professional investors and advisors to surpass their financial goals. We accomplish our mission with educational courses, proprietary trading tools, and proven quant-based models. MarketGauge’s core philosoph ...
Tilray Brands: A Hold On This High-Risk Cannabis Bet Amid Possible Reclassification (TLRY)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-15 22:49
Mr. Mavroudis is a professional portfolio manager specializing in institutional and private portfolios. He focuses on risk management, which is accompanied by in-depth financial market analysis (fundamental, macro and technical) to control the risk undertaken by the portfolios. He invests in all financial instruments globally (stocks, bonds, fx, commodities), restructuring investment portfolios based on prevailing conditions and the needs of each client-investor. Mr. Mavroudis has successfully navigated all ...
Are CDs a Better Option Than an Advisor? Here's What to Evaluate
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-15 13:00
Why hire a financial advisor who will take around 1% percent of your assets per year when you can get a certificate of deposit (CD) at over 5% with no fee? That alone amounts to a 6% return on your money. One can get a brokerage CD for two years at 5.5%, and with no fee, the return is 6.5%. I will take that any day instead of worrying about what the market is doing and can sleep at night. That’s especially true as a retired person who is not dollar-cost averaging anymore. Prove me wrong. -Chris While, at ...
Keep It Simple With Bonds And ETFs
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-12 06:45
市场结构变化与指数化影响 - 被动投资或指数投资已成为市场的主导力量,使得投资不必像过去那样复杂,但深入的研究仍然必要 [6] - 市场的指数化导致大量资金追逐相同的交易,即长期投资于标普500指数,该指数正在吸收市场中的所有关注度 [7] - 由于市场顶部股票过于集中,市场具有欺骗性,这使得风险管理在进入2026年时变得更加重要 [7][8] 债券市场与国债收益率曲线 - 债券市场,特别是国债收益率曲线,将成为2026年股市的重要影响因素,利率环境已从多年的零利率转变为2022年后的持续高位 [8][9] - 建议投资者通过构建零息国债阶梯来获得简单、确定的现金流,这可以作为投资组合的“压舱石”,并对冲利率和通胀风险 [9][11] - 目前10年至30年期国债收益率处于约20年来的最高水平,这让人联想到互联网泡沫时期的利率走势,为投资者提供了锁定利率的有限时间窗口 [14][15] - 债券阶梯(例如从5年延伸至20年)能提供约4.5%的确定性名义回报,类似于第二份社保或养老金,但不应投入全部资金 [19] - 如果长期利率下降1%,一个10-30年期的债券阶梯投资组合可能升值两位数,达到15%甚至17% [67] 基于ETF的攻防投资组合模型 - 投资应从简单化开始,使用更少的工具做更多的事,核心是构建一个包含进攻型和防御型ETF的简化组合 [24][25] - 一个仅包含标普500 ETF(SPY)和短期国债ETF(BIL)的双ETF组合,在过去四年中实现了约8%的回报,且年化标准差低于3%,表现优于60/40组合及许多股息ETF [28][32] - 该模型使用专有的ROAR(风险、机会与回报)指标进行动态资产配置,每周根据市场风险状况调整SPY与BIL的持仓比例 [27][33] - 进攻型ETF扩展列表包括:SPY、以科技股为主的QQQ、更具防御性的大型股指数DIA,以及等权重标普500 ETF(RSP)[39][40][44] - 等权重标普500 ETF(RSP)目前相对于市值加权的SPY正出现历史性的表现不佳,因为SPY指数中约20只股票占据了近一半的权重 [41][42] - 防御型ETF扩展列表包括:短期国债ETF(BIL)、全期限国债ETF(GOVI)、黄金ETF(GLD)、做空长期国债的ETF(TBF)、做空小盘股的ETF(RWM),以及一个用于战术交易的“外卡”波动率ETF(UVIX)[47][49][50][53][55] - 做空长期国债的ETF(TBF)在2022年利率上升期间表现良好,是对冲利率上升风险的有效工具 [52] - 波动率ETF(如UVIX)可作为期权的替代品,在市场恐慌(如VIX指数从15-20飙升至30-80)时可能获得巨大涨幅(例如上涨500-600%),但平时会随时间损耗价值 [56][57] 当前市场观察与未来焦点 - 近期市场行为非常典型,在美联储讲话等事件前后波动,但有时会陷入极度平静、窄幅波动的状态 [58][59] - 投资者无需预测市场,而应保持投资组合的简化与稳定,并围绕其进行小规模的战术交易 [60] - 未来关注焦点是10-30年期国债收益率曲线,它很可能在2026年第一季度为股市指明方向 [60][61] - 长期国债收益率可能因对美国财政状况的担忧而上升(“债券义警”行为),这将利好做空长期国债的ETF(TBF)[62][63] - 反之,若长期利率大幅下降,将利好全期限国债ETF(GOVI)和股票市场,同时也会使现有的债券阶梯投资组合获得可观的资本利得 [65][67][68] - 最终,重要的是市场对事件的实际反应,而非事件本身或市场叙事,图表分析是捕捉这种反应的关键工具 [69]
Vail Resorts: A High-Risk Yield Story Entering A Strategic Reset (NYSE:MTN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 23:37
Mr. Mavroudis is a professional portfolio manager specializing in institutional and private portfolios. He focuses on risk management, which is accompanied by in-depth financial market analysis (fundamental, macro and technical) to control the risk undertaken by the portfolios. He invests in all financial instruments globally (stocks, bonds, fx, commodities), restructuring investment portfolios based on prevailing conditions and the needs of each client-investor. Mr. Mavroudis has successfully navigated all ...
Why The Next 12-18 Months Are Crucial For IREN's Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 19:35
The present article explains why the next 12–18 months are crucial for IREN Limited’s ( IREN ) performance. In my view, IREN’s stock is suitable only for investors with a high risk tolerance, given its high-risk, high-reward profile.I am an experienced Risk Management Business Analyst at a Systemic Greek Bank, with a strong background in finance and risk analysis. I hold an MSc in Applied Risk Management from the University of Athens and have completed the ACA Certificate Level. My expertise lies in financi ...