US monetary policy
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美国经济:核心PCE降温,推迟美联储加息预期;二季度GDP上修至2.2%,贸易逆差超预期扩大_ Pushing Back Fed Rate Hike on Lower Core PCE Inflation; Q2 GDP Revised Up to +2.2%; Trade Deficit Widens More Than Expected;
2026-10-21 18:37
BOTTOM LINE: The core PCE price index rose 0.25% in August, somewhat below expectations, and the year-over-year rate now stands at 3.01%, well below expectations. The downward revision to year-over-year core PCE growth resulting from the methodological changes was larger than we expected and mostly reflected a larger revision to the portfolio management component. Based on today's inflation report, we now expect 3.0% growth for core PCE on a Q4/Q4 basis, well below the median FOMC participant's forecast of ...