Key Points United Parcel Service's profitability has fallen sharply since the pandemic. The brown-box giant is integrating AI and automation across its network. This could help cut costs, improve efficiency, and regain investor confidence. 10 stocks we like better than United Parcel Service › This has been another frustrating year for investors in United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS). Shares of the transportation stock have dropped about 30% on the year as U.S. revenue and parcel volumes have slippe ...

United Parcel Service (UPS) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 28, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better t ...

UPS may begin "disposing of" imported packages if parcels cannot clear U.S. customs regulations, the shipping giant told FOX Business on Friday. The company said rapidly shifting import rules and documentation requirements under ongoing trade disputes have made it increasingly difficult for employees and consumers to navigate the customs process.When a shipment cannot be cleared due to missing information or incomplete paperwork, the company has implemented new procedures for handling parcels stranded at UP ...

This story was originally published on Trucking Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Trucking Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: Interstate carrier Epic Lightning Fast Service will completely shutter its business operation at 5670 Kearny Mesa Road in San Diego and lay off 116 workers by the end of October, according to a Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification letter filed last month. According to a Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration database, the carrier had ...

UPS stock has fallen over 30% on the year. What should investors do?When you think of United Postal Service (UPS 1.41%), you might think of brown trucks, brown packages, or the old advertising slogan, "What can Brown do for you?"But for those who have been invested in UPS stock over the last year, the one thing on their mind is likely the downward spiral this logistics giant has failed to get out of.Since the start of the year, UPS has fallen about 31%. It has also fallen over 60% from its pandemic-era high ...

核心业绩表现 - 季度每股收益3.83美元 超出市场预期3.65美元 同比增长6.4% [1] - 季度营收222.4亿美元 超出预期2.15% 同比增长3.1% [2] - 最近四个季度中 三次超过每股收益预期 三次超过营收预期 [2] 股价表现与市场对比 - 年初至今股价下跌19.8% 同期标普500指数上涨12.2% [3] - 短期股价走势将取决于管理层在财报电话会中的评论 [3] 未来业绩展望 - 当前市场预期下一季度每股收益4.04美元 营收222.7亿美元 [7] - 本财年每股收益预期18.34美元 营收894.1亿美元 [7] - 盈利预测修正趋势呈现混合状态 [6] 行业比较分析 - 所属航空货运行业在Zacks行业排名中处于后22%分位 [8] - 排名前50%的行业表现是后50%行业的两倍以上 [8] - 同业达美航空预计季度每股收益1.56美元 同比增长4% [9] - 达美航空营收预期160.9亿美元 同比增长2.6% [9]

股价表现 - 联合包裹服务公司最新收盘价85.20美元 单日上涨1.4% 表现优于标普500指数(-0.13%)、道指(-0.27%)和纳斯达克指数(-0.07%) [1] - 过去一个月股价累计下跌2.88% 同期运输板块下跌0.76% 而标普500指数上涨2.71% [1] 财务预期 - 分析师预计下季度每股收益1.34美元 同比下降23.86% 营收208.6亿美元 同比下降6.21% [2] - 全年每股收益预期6.51美元 同比下降15.67% 营收预期875.1亿美元 同比下降3.91% [3] - 过去一个月共识EPS预期下调0.24% [5] 估值水平 - 公司远期市盈率12.91倍 与行业平均水平12.91倍持平 [6] - 市盈增长比率(PEG)为1.55倍 与行业平均水平1.55倍一致 [7] 评级表现 - 当前Zacks评级为4级(卖出) [5] - 所属运输-航空货运行业在Zacks行业排名中位列230位 处于所有250多个行业中后7%分位 [7]

季度财报表现 - 公司季度每股收益为1.55美元，低于Zacks共识预期的1.56美元，同比去年同期的1.79美元下降13.4% [1] - 季度营收为212.2亿美元，超出Zacks共识预期1.77%，但同比去年同期的218.2亿美元下降2.7% [2] - 过去四个季度中，公司三次超过每股收益预期，两次超过营收预期 [2] 市场表现与预期 - 公司股价年初至今下跌19.5%，同期标普500指数上涨8.6% [3] - 当前Zacks评级为4级（卖出），预计短期内表现将弱于市场 [6] - 下季度共识预期为每股收益1.60美元，营收210亿美元；本财年预期为每股收益7.05美元，营收873.4亿美元 [7] 行业对比与同业动态 - 所属行业（运输-航空货运与物流）在Zacks行业排名中处于后22% [8] - 同业公司GXO Logistics预计季度每股收益0.56美元，同比增长1.8%，营收30.9亿美元，同比增长8.7% [9][10] - GXO Logistics的每股收益预期在过去30天内被上调4.6% [9]

股价表现 - 联合包裹服务公司(UPS)最新收盘价为10114美元，单日涨幅226%，表现优于标普500指数(006%)和道琼斯指数(041%)，但落后于纳斯达克指数(-039%) [1] - 过去一个月公司股价下跌149%，同期交通运输行业上涨405%，标普500指数上涨588% [1] 财务预期 - 公司计划于2025年7月29日公布财报，分析师预计每股收益156美元(同比下滑1285%)，营收2085亿美元(同比下滑443%) [2] - 全年预期每股收益705美元(同比下滑868%)，营收8734亿美元(同比下滑409%) [3] 估值指标 - 公司当前远期市盈率为1402倍，与行业平均水平1402倍持平 [7] - 当前PEG比率为19，略高于航空货运与物流行业平均185 [8] 行业状况 - 航空货运与物流行业在Zacks行业排名中位列199名(共250+个行业)，处于后20%分位 [9] - 该行业属于交通运输板块，历史数据显示排名前50%的行业表现是后50%的2倍 [9] 分析师评级 - Zacks共识EPS预期过去一个月下调04%，当前给予公司"卖出"评级(Zacks Rank 4) [6] - Zacks Rank 1股票自1988年以来年均回报率达25%，评级系统基于分析师预期调整 [5][6]

核心观点 - 联合包裹服务公司(UPS)预计在2025年第二季度财报中呈现营收和盈利同比下滑趋势 核心数据包括每股收益1 56美元(同比-12 9%)和营收208 5亿美元(同比-4 4%) [1][3] - 市场关注实际业绩与预期的偏离程度 若超预期可能推动股价上涨 反之则可能下跌 [2] - 公司当前Zacks Rank为4级(卖出) 且盈利预期修正趋势显示分析师近期转向悲观 导致盈利ESP为-1 00% 降低了财报超预期的可能性 [12] 财务预期 - 过去30天共识EPS预期被下调1 47% 反映分析师集体修正初始预测的行为 [4] - 最近季度实际EPS为1 49美元 超出预期3 47% 过去四个季度中有三次超预期 [13][14] 市场反应机制 - Zacks盈利ESP模型通过对比最新修正预期与共识预期 预测财报偏离方向 但该模型仅对正向ESP有显著预测力 [8][9] - 历史数据显示 当股票同时具备正向ESP和Zacks Rank 1-3级时 盈利超预期概率接近70% [10] - 当前UPS的负向ESP与4级Rank组合 难以支持盈利超预期的结论 [12] 业绩影响因素 - 管理层在财报电话会中对业务状况的讨论将决定股价短期波动的可持续性 [2] - 股价变动不仅取决于盈利是否超预期 还受其他未预见催化剂或利空因素影响 [15] - 投资者需结合盈利ESP和Zacks Rank筛选标的 但UPS现阶段不具备显著盈利超预期特征 [16][17]