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Here's Why CF Industries (CF) is a Strong Momentum Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 22:56
Zacks Premium服务 - Zacks Premium提供多种投资工具,包括每日更新的Zacks Rank和Zacks Industry Rank、Zacks 1 Rank List、股票研究报告和高级股票筛选功能,帮助投资者更智能、更自信地进行投资 [1] - 该服务还包含Zacks Style Scores,作为Zacks Rank的补充指标,帮助投资者挑选未来30天最有可能跑赢市场的股票 [2] Zacks Style Scores评分体系 - 每只股票根据价值、增长和动量特征获得A到F的评分,评分越高,股票跑赢市场的概率越大 [3] - Value Score通过P/E、PEG、Price/Sales等比率筛选被低估的股票,适合价值投资者 [3] - Growth Score分析历史及预测的盈利、销售和现金流数据,筛选具有持续增长潜力的股票 [4] - Momentum Score利用一周价格变动和月度盈利预期变化等因子,识别趋势性交易机会 [5] - VGM Score综合三种评分,通过加权计算找出兼具价值、增长和动量优势的股票 [6] Zacks Rank与Style Scores的协同作用 - Zacks Rank基于盈利预期修订对股票评级,1(强力买入)股票自1988年以来年均回报率达+25.41%,远超同期标普500表现 [8] - 每日有超过200家公司获1评级、600家获2(买入)评级,结合A/B级Style Scores可进一步提高选股胜率 [9] - 即使3(持有)评级股票,若具备A/B级Style Scores仍可能具有上行潜力,而4(卖出)或5(强力卖出)评级股票即使评分优异也可能因盈利预期下滑而表现不佳 [10] 案例公司CF Industries - 全球领先氮肥生产商CF Industries主营氨、颗粒尿素等产品,当前Zacks Rank为3(持有),VGM Score为A [11] - 过去四周股价上涨8.8%,动量评分B级,2025财年Zacks共识预期每股收益上调0.81美元至6.82美元,平均盈利惊喜达32% [12]
Why CF Industries (CF) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 22:51
Zacks Premium服务 - Zacks Premium提供每日更新的Zacks Rank和Zacks Industry Rank、Zacks 1 Rank List、股票研究报告和高级股票筛选工具,帮助投资者更明智地决策[1] - 该服务还包括Zacks Style Scores,用于辅助投资者挑选未来30天可能跑赢市场的股票[2] Zacks Style Scores分类 - **价值评分(Value Score)**:通过P/E、PEG、Price/Sales等比率筛选被低估的股票[3] - **成长评分(Growth Score)**:基于历史及预测的盈利、销售额和现金流评估公司未来增长潜力[4] - **动量评分(Momentum Score)**:利用一周价格变动和盈利预期月度变化捕捉趋势性机会[5] - **VGM综合评分**:整合价值、成长和动量评分,筛选三项指标均优的股票[6] Zacks Rank与Style Scores协同效应 - Zacks Rank 1(强力买入)股票自1988年以来年均回报率达25.41%,超过标普500两倍以上[8] - 建议优先选择Zacks Rank 1/2且Style Scores为A/B的股票,若持有Rank 3股票需确保其Score为A/B以降低风险[9][10] CF Industries案例 - 该公司是全球最大氮肥生产商之一,主营氨、尿素等产品,当前Zacks Rank为3(持有),VGM Score为A[11] - 过去四周股价上涨17.7%,动量评分达A级,2025财年每股收益预期60天内被6名分析师上调0.69美元至6.89美元,平均盈利惊喜率为32%[12]
This Snubbed Fertilizer Giant Gave Investors $2 Billion
Forbes· 2025-05-21 19:45
公司概况 - CF Industries是全球最大的氨生产商,主要生产肥料和氨衍生产品,如颗粒尿素肥料 [1] - 公司在美国拥有6家工厂,加拿大和英国各1家,北美天然气成本优势显著(天然气占氨生产成本的70%)[5] - 正在通过合资方式投资40亿美元建设路易斯安那州Blue Point Complex工厂,其中公司承担22亿美元 [10][11] 行业机遇 - 中美关税从125%降至10%(出口至中国)和145%降至30%(中国出口),形成"Goldilocks"关税区间利好美国农业及化肥企业 [4] - 全球氨供应短缺,需新建7座工厂才能弥补缺口,公司新工厂配备碳捕捉技术以应对未来需求 [10] - 美国政府降低玉米和大豆价格的策略将提升肥料需求,因肥料可提高作物产量抑制食品通胀 [6][7] 财务与资本运作 - 近三年回购流通股的20%,董事会新增20亿美元回购授权至2029年,累计已通过股息和回购向股东返还50亿美元 [1][13] - 当前市盈率11.4倍,显著低于标普500平均23倍,股息收益率2.3%,2024年初曾上调25% [12][14] - 股息仅占自由现金流的19%,长期净债务16亿美元,总资产133亿美元,财务结构稳健 [14]
CF Industries' Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates in Q1
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 20:15
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) logged first-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.85 per share, up from $1.03 in the year-ago quarter. The figure topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.47.Net sales rose around 13% year over year to $1,663 million in the quarter. It surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,520.9 million.Average selling prices for most of CF’s key products increased year over year in the reported quarter as higher global energy costs raised the global market-clearing price needed to meet glob ...
Compared to Estimates, CF (CF) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 07:30
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how CF performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: For the quarter ended March 2025, CF Industries (CF) reported revenue of $1.66 billion, up 13.1% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.8 ...
Countdown to CF (CF) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 22:21
In its upcoming report, CF Industries (CF) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $1.47 per share, reflecting an increase of 42.7% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $1.52 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.5%.Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted downward by 7.8% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections durin ...