Bitcoin Prediction 2026: What are Kalshi Bettors Saying? (SOURCE: Kalshi) According to Kalshi's long-horizon "price at end of 2026" market, which slices possible outcomes into $5,000- wide bands, traders currently see the most probability weighted toward the $60,000-to-$70,000 range, with the $60,000–$64,999.99 and $65,000–$69,999.99 bands both priced at roughly a flat 10% implied probability apiece. That flatness across adjacent bands is itself a signal: rather than clustering around a single target, the m ...

Bitcoin has fallen 21% this year, Ethereum is down 33%, and Solana has dropped 37%, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan's latest CIO memo. Hyperliquid gained 72% in a single month over the same stretch, a divergence Hougan reads as a preview of what CLARITY Act passage would do to DeFi valuations relative to Bitcoin itself. The CLARITY Act would draw a formal line between SEC and CFTC jurisdiction over digital assets, replacing years of enforcement-led regulation with a statutory f ...