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EnglishItalianoEspañolPortuguêsDeutschالعربيةFrançaisImportant DisclaimersThe content provided on the website includes general news and publications, our personal analysis and opinions, and contents provided by third parties, which are intended for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute, and should not be read as, any recommendation or advice to take any action whatsoever, including to make any investment or buy any product. When making any financial decision, you should perform your ...

Ed Yardeni Falling oil prices may drive benchmark Treasury yields back to levels last seen more than a year ago, according to Wall Street research veteran Ed Yardeni. Most Read from Bloomberg Yields on 10-year Treasuries could hit 3.75% if the oil price continues to slide and the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates next week, said the strategist. His argument is based on the long-run correlation of the two asset classes, which are linked through oil’s impact on inflation. “A growing glut of oil and fe ...

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EnglishItalianoEspañolPortuguêsDeutschالعربيةFrançaisImportant DisclaimersThe content provided on the website includes general news and publications, our personal analysis and opinions, and contents provided by third parties, which are intended for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute, and should not be read as, any recommendation or advice to take any action whatsoever, including to make any investment or buy any product. When making any financial decision, you should perform your ...

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Stocks may move to the upside in early trading on Friday, extending the upward trend seen over the past several sessions. The major index futures are currently pointing to a slightly higher open for the , with the S&P 500 futures up by 0.1 percent.The markets may continue to benefit from recent upward momentum, which has lifted the major averages to new record highs despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.Traders seem to have shrugged off concerns about the economic impact of the shutdown even as Trea ...

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市场整体表现 - 周一美国股指期货上涨，道指期货涨0.38%，标普500指数期货涨0.50%，纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.65%，罗素2000指数期货涨0.66% [1][2] - 跟踪标普500指数的SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust（SPY）在盘前交易中上涨0.51%至665.18美元，跟踪纳斯达克100指数的Invesco QQQ Trust ETF（QQQ）上涨0.69%至600.09美元 [2] - 上周五美股主要指数收高，道指涨0.65%至46,247.29点，标普500指数涨0.59%至6,643.70点，纳斯达克综合指数涨0.44%至22,484.07点，罗素2000指数涨0.97%至2,434.32点 [6][7] - 尽管上周五上涨，但主要指数上周录得下跌，纳斯达克综合指数周跌0.7%，标普500指数周跌0.3%，道指周跌0.2% [5] 行业板块与个股动态 - 上周五材料、公用事业和非必需消费品类股涨幅最大，必需消费品类股逆市收低 [3] - 英特尔公司周五上涨超4%，将其周涨幅扩大至约20%，此前一周已上涨22%，该芯片制造商继续受益于英伟达公司50亿美元投资承诺带来的势头 [5] - 嘉年华公司盘前上涨1.89%，市场预期其每股收益为1.32美元，营收为81亿美元 [17] - JFB Construction Holdings暴涨73.58%，因其宣布了一项4400万美元的私募配售 [17] - Kellanova上涨4.84%，此前费列罗集团完成了以31亿美元收购即食麦片制造商WK Kellogg Co的交易 [17] - New Fortress Energy Inc上涨4.74%，因其与波多黎各达成了待最终批准的长期液化天然气供应协议 [17] 宏观经济数据与政策 - 8月份个人消费支出价格指数同比上涨2.7%，高于7月份的2.6%，符合预期；核心PCE（剔除食品和能源）同比持平于2.9%，符合预期 [4] - 10年期国债收益率为4.14%，2年期国债收益率为3.62% [2] - 根据CME Group的FedWatch工具预测，市场定价显示美联储在10月会议上降息的可能性为89.3% [2] - 本周关键经济数据包括周二的7月S&P Case-Shiller 20城房价指数、9月芝加哥PMI、8月职位空缺和9月消费者信心数据，周三的9月ADP就业数据和ISM制造业数据，以及周五的9月非农就业报告、失业率和时薪数据 [13] 大宗商品与全球市场 - 周一早盘黄金价格创下历史新高，黄金现货价格上涨1.52%至约3,817.58美元/盎司，此前纪录高位为3,819.8美元/盎司 [1][15] - 原油期货在纽约早盘交易中下跌1.37%至约64.82美元/桶 [15] - 美元指数现货下跌0.24%至97.9190水平 [15] - 周一亚洲市场除日经225指数外普遍收高，欧洲市场早盘走高 [16] 分析师观点与市场风险 - 分析师认为市场对政府关门的可能性反应平淡是合乎逻辑的，因为最初的冲击通常很小 [8][9] - 对金融市场的主要担忧并非关门本身，而是政府发布重要经济统计数据服务的暂停 [9][10] - 数据显示第四季度对投资者而言通常是利好季度，平均回报率为4.2%，显著优于其他所有季度 [11] - 分析表明，在标普500指数截至9月底年内涨幅超过10%的年份中，10月份的表现好坏参半，平均回报率为-0.3% [11][12]