Joining us now is Wells Fargo senior global market strategist Scott Ren along with our senior markets commentator Mike Santoy. We asked him to come back on set. He did it.Yeah. >> Yeah. Uh >> I'm going to start with you on this one and we touched on it at the top of the show, but the fact you had the largest options expiration in history signals what about this market.Well, first of all, just on a basic level, it signals that the size of the market is bigger than it's ever been, and therefore all the deriva ...

市场表现 - 自4月8日低点以来六个月 道琼斯指数上涨24% 纳斯达克指数上涨近50% [2] - 芯片股在此期间上涨80% 而凯西伍德的方舟创新基金涨幅超过一倍达120% [2] - 罗宾汉股价飙升超过320% Coinbase股价上涨近150% Palanteer和Carvana股价均翻倍以上 [6] 零售资金动向 - 2025年迄今零售需求总额已达6300亿美元 超过2021年全年水平 [4] - 若当前趋势持续 预计年底零售购买规模将达到8000亿美元 [4] - 当前零售资金大量流入广泛基金如ETF 而非仅集中于个别炒作名称 [5] 当前驱动因素 - 人工智能相关新闻流 芯片周期 云支出以及对美联储降息的预期是主要驱动因素 [7] - 与2021年由刺激支票和疫情无聊情绪驱动不同 当前驱动因素更为多元化 [7] - 人工智能领域的重大合作伙伴关系与并购公告可能影响趋势 [11] 市场监测指标 - 需关注期权交易活动 尤其是全押看涨期权的活跃度是否减弱 [7] - 领先指数和个股的价格走势 如新高是否减少及龙头股是否回调 [8] - 可观察所谓 meme 股票的盘中活动 利用经典K线图识别弱势 [8] 宏观环境与潜在风险 - 稳定的薪资收入是当前零售购买的关键 劳动力市场降温及裁员增加将影响资金流入 [9] - 需密切关注就业数据 ADP和Challenger等私人报告可作为官方数据的替代指标 [9] - 新的出口或监管方面的意外变化可能给当前趋势泼冷水 [11]