VIX options
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Wall Street’s Fear Gauge Is Eerily Quiet Despite the Government Shutdown. Here’s 1 Options Trade That Could Pay When It Wakes Up.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-28 23:00
市场波动性现状 - 尽管存在美国政府停摆、关税政策不确定性以及美联储发出的复杂信号等潜在市场波动催化剂,但CBOE波动率指数(VIX)目前徘徊在16附近,低于其长期中位数19-20 [3] - VIX指数在2025年初因前总统特朗普的关税公告而飙升至50以上,为疫情后首次收于40上方,但此后波动性显著降温,在10月中旬短暂突破20后回落至当前水平 [4] - VIX指数近期主要在14至25之间波动,历史极端低点接近10,高点接近90,而当前16的水平处于其典型区间的低端,表明市场在高度不确定性背景下显得异常自满 [5] VIX指数特性与功能 - VIX指数通常被称为华尔街的“恐惧指标”,它基于期权价格追踪市场对标准普尔500指数未来30天波动性的预期,当交易员焦虑时VIX飙升,自满时则下降 [2] - VIX指数与主要股票指数(尤其是标准普尔500指数)保持强烈的负相关性,当标普500指数大幅下跌时,VIX几乎总是因交易员争相通过指数和个股期权寻求下行保护而飙升 [6] - VIX指数本身不能直接持有,但交易员可以通过追踪未来波动性预期的VIX期权和期货来获得风险敞口,其结构与个股或ETF期权类似,但相关动态和结算机制不同 [7] 潜在交易机会 - 标题风险与隐含波动性之间的脱节可能代表一个显而易见的交易机会,即市场在多重不确定性背景下定价却异常平静 [1]
The market's like a paddling duck—calm on top, chaos underneath, says RBC's Amy Wu Silverman
Youtube· 2025-10-07 21:17
All right. So, just a lot going on in the world, Amy. Just a lot going on.Government shutdown. We mentioned tariffs and everything else. But the VIX has really been kind of muted.It's been muted like well below the highs of earlier this year when you first got those tariff announcements. So, I want to ask you when in the options market, isn't this the play to own the VIX. Whether you it's calls or puts or inverse.I mean, isn't that the place to be. Because what are the chance the volatility stays the same g ...