June 30, 2025 04:03 AM GMT We thus expect real GDP to come down from 5%Y in 2Q to 4.5%Y in 3Q, given 1) fading exports front-loading to the US and cumulative tariff impact, and 2) muted stimulus in the late July politburo meeting given 2Q growth strength. We believe Beijing may introduce a modest Rmb0.5-1trn supplementary fiscal stimulus in late 3Q/early 4Q when it sees 2-3 months of weaker hard data. | M China Economics Asia Pacific Momentum | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited Harry Zhao Economist Jenny.L.Zheng@ ...