CONCLUDED Stock Market Today: Dow Hits Record Last Updated: 16 hours ago Microsoft, Apple Soar to $4 Trillion Status By Karishma Vanjani Microsoft stock is at a record level, and that's put the company on track for a market value greater than $4 trillion. Microsoft shares are trading up 2.7% at $545.62, which would be a all-time closing high. It would also mean the company has cemented its place in history as one in the $4 trillion club. Much like today, in July and in August, Microsoft was on track to reac ...

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公司股价表现与市场情绪 - 微软公司股价在10月3日午盘交易中报519.50美元，较9月5日的近期低点495.00美元有所上涨，但低于8月4日的峰值535.64美元 [1] - 分析师在财报发布前持续上调其目标股价，导致股价走高，做空价外看跌期权和买入价内看涨期权的策略具有吸引力 [1][3] 分析师财务预测更新 - 分析师对截至2026年6月30财年的收入预测从三周前的3221.5亿美元上调至3232.1亿美元 [4] - 对于下一财年，分析师预计销售额将接近3700亿美元，达到3699.6亿美元 [4] 未来十二个月财务与估值模型 - 基于对2026财年预测的75%和2027财年预测的25%进行加权，预计未来十二个月收入为3349亿美元 [5] - 使用53%的经营现金流利润率及略高于710亿美元的资本支出估算，预计未来十二个月自由现金流为1030亿美元 [5] - 采用2.0%的自由现金流收益率进行估值，得出市场价值为5.15万亿美元，较当前3.86万亿美元的市值高出33%，对应目标股价为690.94美元 [5][6] 保守情景下的估值分析 - 在保守情景下，使用50%的经营现金流利润率，预计自由现金流为930亿美元 [6] - 基于此保守预测，市场价值为4.65万亿美元，较当前市值高出20.5% [7]

亚马逊股票表现 - 亚马逊股票自2024年10月15日以来总回报率达21% [1] - 同期标普500指数的总回报率未提及具体数值 [1] 分析师持仓情况 - 分析师持有亚马逊多头头寸 包括股票、期权或其他衍生品 [1] - 分析师同时持有微软多头头寸 [2]