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Buy These 5 Gold Stocks to Ride on Solid Price & Demand Trends
ZACKS· 2024-07-19 01:20
文章核心观点 - 受金价上涨及美联储降息预期推动,Zacks黄金矿业前景光明,Agnico Eagle Mines、Franco - Nevada等公司有望受益 [1] 行业介绍 - Zacks黄金矿业公司从事金矿开采,开采过程漫长复杂,需大量资金,通常需10 - 20年才能产出可精炼材料,如今行业使用先进技术提取黄金并制成粗金锭,再进行提纯 [2] 行业主要趋势 金价走势推动行业增长 - 今年金价大多维持在2000美元以上,年初至今涨幅达19.3%,超过2023年的12.8%及多数主要资产类别表现,7月17日达到每盎司2484美元的历史新高,分析师预计金价将涨至每盎司3000美元 [3] 应对高成本维持利润率 - 行业面临熟练劳动力短缺,导致工资上涨,生产成本不断攀升,行业专注于提高销量、运营现金流和降低单位净现金成本,采用替代能源,实施成本降低策略和数字创新 [4] 供需失衡支撑价格 - 资源枯竭、老矿供应下降和新矿缺乏威胁行业,需求方面,黄金在能源、医疗和科技领域的使用增加,中印占消费者黄金需求约50%,央行持续增加黄金储备,预计将出现供需失衡推动金价 [5] Zacks行业排名 - Zacks黄金矿业行业目前排名第34,处于250个Zacks行业的前14%,显示出良好的短期前景 [7] 行业与市场表现对比 与S&P 500和板块对比 - 过去一年,黄金矿业行业表现优于板块,但逊于Zacks S&P 500综合指数,行业股票整体上涨17%,板块上涨1.1%,S&P 500上涨21.8% [8] 行业当前估值 - 基于过去12个月的EV/EBITDA,行业目前估值为9.41倍,低于S&P 500的19.84倍和基础材料板块的11.85倍,过去五年行业估值最高为36.70倍,最低为4.97倍,中位数为8.65倍 [9][11] 推荐的5只黄金矿业股票 Franco - Nevada(FNV) - 拥有健康的流媒体和特许权协议组合,无债务,注重成本管理,利润率高,近期收购厄瓜多尔Cascabel项目的黄金流,过去三个月股价上涨3%,2024财年盈利预期上调3%,长期盈利增长率预计为1.8%,Zacks排名为1(强力买入) [12][13] Royal Gold(RGLD) - 资产负债表强劲,注重降低债务水平,现金状况良好,今年提高股息7%,连续23年增加股息支付,2024年第一季度末债务资本比率为0.05,可用流动性约10亿美元,与Centerra Gold达成协议,预计从Mount Milligan矿获得长期价值,过去三个月股价上涨13.7%,2024财年盈利预期同比增长31.7%,长期盈利增长率预计为26.5%,Zacks排名为1 [15][16] Eldorado Gold(EGO) - 2024年第一季度黄金产量同比增长5%,预计2024年产量在50.5 - 55.5万盎司之间,中点同比增长9%,开发项目Skouries按计划进行,预计2025年底开始商业生产,Lamaque Complex产量超预期,过去三个月股价上涨11.6%,2024财年盈利预期上调1%,同比增长93%,长期盈利增长率预计为51%,Zacks排名为1 [19][20] New Gold(NGD) - 2024年第一季度New Afton矿和Rainy River矿表现良好,预计2024年综合产量为31 - 35万盎司黄金和5000 - 6000万磅铜,Rainy River金矿未来三年产量有望大幅增长,与安大略教师养老金计划达成合作协议,过去三个月股价上涨32%,2024年盈利预期上调7%,同比增长114%,Zacks排名为1 [21][22] Agnico Eagle Mines(AEM) - 完成Detour Lake矿的更新资源估计和矿山寿命计划,有望从2030年起14年内将该矿年产量提高到平均约100万盎司黄金,持续降低债务水平,注重资本纪律和成本控制,近期进行股权投资者增加贱金属敞口,2024年盈利预期上调4%,同比增长47%,长期盈利增长率预计为28.2%,Zacks排名为2(买入) [24][25]
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2024-07-18 22:01
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Over the past month, shares of this gold mining company have returned +16.8%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change. During this period, the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, which Agnico falls in, has gained 16.2%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?While media releas ...
Agnico Eagle (AEM) Rallies 18% in 3 Months: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-07-18 21:10
文章核心观点 - 公司凭借强大的增长项目、稳健的财务状况和积极的技术指标,为寻求涉足黄金矿业领域的投资者提供了极具吸引力的投资机会,建议投资者买入该股票 [14] 股价表现 - 过去三个月公司股价上涨18.2%,跑赢行业13.2%的涨幅 [1] - 公司股价近期屡创新高,目前接近2024年7月16日达到的52周高点77.04美元 [1] - 今年以来公司股价上涨37.6%,超过行业25.7%的涨幅和标普500指数17.6%的涨幅 [12] 技术指标 - 自2024年3月4日以来,公司股价持续高于200日简单移动平均线(SMA) [1] - 2024年7月3日,公司股价超过50日SMA,且自2024年1月1日出现黄金交叉以来,50日SMA持续高于200日移动平均线,显示出看涨趋势 [1] 项目进展 - 公司专注于推进关键项目,以增加产量和现金流,包括加拿大Malartic Complex的Odyssey项目、Detour Lake、Hope Bay和San Nicolas等 [4] - 公司在欧洲最大的原生黄金生产商Kittila矿继续扩大Main和Sisar矿区的勘探钻探 [4] - Hope Bay项目拥有340万盎司的探明和可能矿产储量,预计未来几年将在产生现金流方面发挥重要作用 [4] - Meliadine二期扩建项目按计划进行,到2024年底磨矿产能将提高到每天6000吨 [4] 财务状况 - 公司流动性状况良好,现金流充裕,能够维持强大的勘探预算、为增长项目提供资金、偿还债务并提升股东价值 [6] - 2024年第一季度,公司将循环信贷额度扩大至20亿美元,显著增加了可用流动性 [6] - 第一季度公司经营现金流同比增长超20%,达到7.832亿美元,自由现金流约为3.956亿美元 [6][7] - 公司专注于用多余现金偿还债务,第一季度末净债务环比减少约1.88亿美元,降至13亿美元 [7] 股息情况 - 公司目前股息收益率为2.1%,高于标准普尔500指数约2%的平均股息收益率,五年年化股息增长率为22.2% [8] - 公司股息支付率为66%,高于60%的可持续水平,但由于现金流强劲和财务状况良好,股息被认为是安全可靠的 [8] 盈利预测 - 过去30天,Zacks对公司2024年盈利的共识估计提高了3.8%,对2024年第二季度盈利的共识估计也上调了1.2% [9] - 目前Zacks对公司2024年盈利的共识估计为每股3.28美元,同比增长47.1%,第二季度盈利预计增长约26.2% [9] 估值情况 - 公司目前的远期12个月市盈率为22.66倍,较同行平均水平16.59倍高出约36.6%,但考虑到公司良好的盈利轨迹,这一估值不应令投资者望而却步 [10] 行业对比 - 今年以来公司黄金矿业同行Barrick Gold Corporation、Newmont Corporation和Kinross Gold Corporation分别上涨4.4%、16.6%和49.6% [12]
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Is Up 7.62% in One Week: What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2024-07-18 01:00
Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.While many investors like to look for moment ...
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Expands Stake in First Nordic Metals
ZACKS· 2024-07-17 22:41
文章核心观点 Agnico Eagle Mines Limited将收购First Nordic Metals Corp.的27,954,872股普通股以结算购买协议剩余款项 交易预计7月22日左右完成 完成后Agnico Eagle持股比例将提升至约13.25% 此外还介绍了Agnico Eagle的业绩预期及其他相关公司情况 [1][2][3] 交易情况 - Agnico Eagle将收购First Nordic Metals 27,954,872股普通股 以每股0.2925美元认购 总代价约817.68万美元 交易预计2024年7月22日左右完成 [1] - 交易完成后 FNM会将款项转给子公司Gold Line Resources 后者再转给Agnico Eagle芬兰和瑞典子公司以偿还欠款 [2] - 目前Agnico Eagle持有1,458,294股 约占非摊薄基础上已发行和流通普通股的0.75% 交易完成后将持有29,413,166股 约占13.25% [2] 公司策略与业绩 - 收购股份是为结算购买协议剩余款项 公司可能根据市场情况买卖FNM证券 [3] - AEM过去一年股价上涨42.1% 高于行业18.9%的涨幅 [3] - 2024年公司预计产金335 - 355万盎司 预计每盎司总现金成本875 - 925美元 每盎司全维持成本1200 - 1250美元 不包括资本化勘探 2024年资本支出预计16 - 17亿美元 [3] 评级与其他公司 - AEM目前Zacks排名为2(买入) [4] - Carpenter Technology目前Zacks排名为1(强力买入) 过去四个季度均超Zacks共识预期 平均盈利惊喜为15.1% 过去一年股价飙升118.6% [4][5] - Eldorado Gold目前Zacks排名为1 本年度每股收益共识预期为1.09美元 同比增长91.2% 过去30天预期上调 过去四个季度均超共识预期 平均盈利惊喜为430.7% 过去一年股价上涨约53.1% [5] - Kronos Worldwide目前Zacks排名为1 本年度预计盈利增长率为297.7% 过去一年股价上涨约44.1% [5]
Is Agnico (AEM) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?
ZACKS· 2024-07-17 22:31
Investors often turn to recommendations made by Wall Street analysts before making a Buy, Sell, or Hold decision about a stock. While media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm employed (or sell-side) analysts often affect a stock's price, do they really matter?Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.Agnico currently has an average b ...
3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Agnico (AEM)
ZACKS· 2024-07-17 01:45
Growth stocks are attractive to many investors, as above-average financial growth helps these stocks easily grab the market's attention and produce exceptional returns. However, it isn't easy to find a great growth stock.By their very nature, these stocks carry above-average risk and volatility. Moreover, if a company's growth story is over or nearing its end, betting on it could lead to significant loss.However, it's pretty easy to find cutting-edge growth stocks with the help of the Zacks Growth Style Sco ...
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
ZACKS· 2024-07-16 22:15
Have you been paying attention to shares of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 16.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $75.95 in the previous session. Agnico Eagle Mines has gained 36.3% since the start of the year compared to the -1.6% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the 21.1% return for the Zacks Mining - Gold industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't ...
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2024-07-16 06:56
In the latest trading session, Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) closed at $74.75, marking a -0.49% move from the previous day. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.28%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 0.53%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.4%.Heading into today, shares of the gold mining company had gained 16.92% over the past month, outpacing the Basic Materials sector's loss of 0.18% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.78% in that time.Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Agnic ...
AGNICO EAGLE ANNOUNCES SUBSCRIPTION FOR COMMON SHARES OF FIRST NORDIC METALS CORP.
Prnewswire· 2024-07-16 05:00
Stock Symbol:  AEM (NYSE and TSX)TORONTO, July 15, 2024 /PRNewswire/ - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE: AEM) (TSX: AEM) ("Agnico Eagle") announced today that it has entered into a transaction with First Nordic Metals Corp. (TSX-V: FNM) ("FNM") that will result in Agnico Eagle acquiring 27,954,872 common shares ("Common Shares") of FNM.Agnico Eagle has agreed to exchange amounts that remain due under the asset purchase agreement between certain subsidiaries of Agnico Eagle, certain subsidiaries of FNM and E ...