Workflow
Countercyclical
icon
搜索文档
Roth Capital's Bill Kirk on Costco downgrade: Lots of key metrics going the incorrect way
Youtube· 2025-12-16 04:17
covers retail at Roth Capital Partners. Bill, the call is getting a lot of attention, so we appreciate you coming on Power Launch. What's the primary thesis behind that cell rating.Yeah, the Thanks for having me. The the primary thesis is when you you unpack the quarter, there's a lot of key metrics that are going the incorrect way. Uh if you take a look at traffic, whether it's in the United States or even the worldwide number, it's decelerating.It decelerated this quarter from last quarter, which decelera ...
What Every O'Reilly Automotive Investor Should Know Before Buying
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 17:53
公司历史表现与商业模式 - 公司自1993年IPO以来股价累计上涨61,200% [1] - 业务模式包括覆盖全国的汽车零部件门店网络、中心辐射型模式以保持库存充足、以及与维修店建立的紧密关系 [1] - 公司历史上持续提供稳定的增长 [1] 当前估值与财务状况 - 公司市盈率为34倍,高于标普500指数的28倍,估值水平与微软等大型科技股相似,但增长速度较慢 [4] - 第三季度可比销售额增长5.6%,每股收益增长12%至0.85美元,营业利润增长9% [5] - 公司不支付股息,而是利用利润回购股票,过去一年流通股数量减少近3% [5] 行业特性与周期性 - 汽车售后零部件零售商具有逆周期性,在经济衰退和下行时期表现通常更好 [7][8] - 经济困难时期,消费者倾向于推迟购买新车,从而在车辆维修上投入更多 [8] - 汽车市场已出现压力迹象,如拖欠率上升和行业内知名企业破产 [9] 增长前景与市场定位 - 公司对增长保持信心,在第三季度报告中提高了全年展望,预计可比销售额增长4%-5% [9] - 公司仍在开设新门店,其销售额在DIY(自己动手)和DIFM(为我服务)渠道之间保持良好平衡 [10] - 公司股价近期从市场抛售中回调,但长期来看仍处于高位,这反映了其长期优异表现的历史 [4][7]