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Prediction: After Gaining 2% in 10 years, This Dow Jones Value Stock Will Crush the S&P 500 Over the Next Decade
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-21 16:05
公司历史表现与现状 - 过去十年公司股价基本持平 而同期标普500指数表现强劲 [1] - 2010年代中后期 公司凭借漫威和星球大战系列电影屡创票房佳绩 [3] - 2019年11月Disney+推出初期用户增长迅速 但消耗现金速度极快 同时新冠疫情严重冲击主题公园和电影业务 [4] - 目前线性网络和电影业务较十年前更弱 但Disney+已实现盈利 主题公园和邮轮业务蓬勃发展 公司整体收益在过去十年几乎未增长 [7] 投资逻辑与股价驱动因素 - 长期股价与公司多年收益变化存在100%的相关性 长期投资者应关注公司收益增长计划而非股价短期波动 [9][10] - 公司近期股价疲软体现了其收益下降 但投资者更关心公司未来前景而非过往表现 [11] - 公司当前市盈率为17.4 远期市盈率为17.1 低于其10年历史中位数市盈率21.5 存在估值扩张潜力 [18] 当前财务表现与未来展望 - 2025财年业绩表现优异 预计体验业务部门营业利润增长8% 娱乐业务部门营业利润实现两位数百分比增长 [13] - 娱乐直营业务(由Disney+引领)营业利润将增加13亿美元 调整后每股收益达5.85美元 较2024财年增长18% [13] - 本财年是疫情后时代公司表现最佳的一年 验证了Disney+可持续增长的现金牛地位以及消费者在预算紧张时仍愿意为迪士尼度假付费的意愿 [14] 未来增长催化剂与战略投资 - 未来十年主要增长动力包括Disney+(含Hulu)直营服务 ESPN独立直营业务的推出 以及主题公园和邮轮投资的回报 [15] - 2023年9月公司宣布计划在未来十年将公园、体验和产品部门的资本支出增加一倍至600亿美元 [16] - 邮轮船队将从2024年初的5艘扩大到2031年的13艘 包括新增5艘“愿望级”船只(2024-2029年)以及3艘较小船只(2029-2031年) [16] - 公司正在通过新增景点和园区扩张现有主题公园 包括对迪士尼乐园和沃尔特迪士尼世界进行大规模升级 并计划于2025年5月在阿布扎比建设新主题公园和度假村 预计2030年代初开放 [17] 商业模式与竞争优势 - 公司正将重心转向高利润率的现金牛业务 这一举措符合其IP飞轮模式 [19] - 公司通过线上线下体验多重变现来延长内容的生命周期 例如《玩具总动员》衍生出多部电影、商品和主题公园游乐设施 其生命周期远长于一次性票房热门作品 [20] - 若华尔街开始像对待Netflix一样对迪士尼流媒体业务进行估值 且体验投资获得回报 公司仅通过持续稳定的收益增长即有可能超越标普500指数 [21]
Disney's Price Hikes Don't Make Sense For Its Shares (NYSE:DIS)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 04:13
I recently joined The REIT Forum and if you are looking for more investment ideas like this one, get them exclusively at The REIT Forum with access to our subscriber only portfolios.The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS ) has been struggling for quite some time now. After reaching an all-time high of $200 per share at the start of 2021, the stock has been onAmrita runs a boutique family office fund in beautiful Vancouver, where she leads the investment strategy for the family fund. The fund's objective is to i ...
Disney cancellations spiked after Jimmy Kimmel's suspension. Here's how many dropped subscriptions.
MarketWatch· 2025-10-21 03:48
The number of people who canceled subscriptions to Walt Disney Co.'s DIS+1.30% streaming services doubled following the company's decision to take late-night host Jimmy Kimmel off the air last month i... ...
Disney Stock Caught a Price Target Hike. Three Things to Watch Ahead of Earnings.
Barrons· 2025-10-20 20:04
Here's what investors should look out for when the House of Mouse reports quarterly earnings on Nov. 13. ...
Apple's F1 broadcast deal has been years in the making
Reuters· 2025-10-19 04:39
公司活动 - 九年前一级方程式赛车比赛期间有嘉宾获得贵宾待遇 [1] - 时任商业负责人伯尼·埃克莱斯顿称这些嘉宾代表一家“水果公司” [1]
Paramount Job Cuts Coming Earlier Than Expected
Deadline· 2025-10-18 04:00
EXCLUSIVE: Paramount announced that their earnings call for Q3 results is on Nov. 10, and as such, it’s expected that the entertainment conglomerate is going to move up its reduction in force to the week of Oct. 27. This is according to sources. Originally, layoffs were expected to begin in early November with 2,500-3,000 positions impacted. We understand for stateside employees that number could be around 2,000 with overseas cost savings still being calculated. Note, the pink-slipping in late October is ...
Apple just stole something massive from ESPN—and no one saw it coming
Fastcompany· 2025-10-18 03:16
核心交易概述 - 苹果公司宣布获得美国地区一级方程式赛车未来五年的独家转播权 [2] - 交易金额据报告约为每年1.4亿美元 [2] - 此举旨在扩大Apple TV订阅用户基础并将现有用户转化为赛车迷 [2] 转播内容与安排 - Apple TV将播出练习赛、排位赛、冲刺赛和大奖赛赛事 [3] - 部分比赛和所有练习赛将通过Apple TV应用免费提供 [3] - F1现有的订阅服务F1 TV Premium在美国将仅通过Apple TV提供 [3] 战略背景与动机 - 决策部分基于F1主题电影《F1: The Movie》的成功 该电影是苹果迄今为止票房最高的原创电影 [2][4] - 该电影上映10天后获得2.93亿美元票房 全球票房迄今已达6.29亿美元 并将于12月12日登陆苹果流媒体服务 [4][6] - 苹果高级副总裁表示2026年是F1变革的新时代 公司将提供创新且以粉丝为先的报道 [4] 行业竞争格局 - 苹果从现有媒体合作伙伴ESPN手中获得转播权 ESPN此前每个赛季支付约9000万美元 [7] - 苹果的出价约为1.4亿美元 此举与派拉蒙近期以77亿美元获得UFC转播权的交易有相似之处 新条款将使UFC每赛季收入翻倍 [7] 苹果的体育内容布局 - 这是苹果在美国体育领域的又一次拓展 2022年公司宣布了一项为期10年的协议 转播所有美国职业足球大联盟比赛 [9] - 苹果还获得了美国职业棒球大联盟每周双重赛的流媒体转播权 即"周五之夜棒球赛" 每个赛季支付8500万美元 [10] - 尽管MLS在美国和加拿大的受欢迎程度不及欧洲和南美联赛 但其拥有球星梅西 这为苹果的独家转播带来了关注度 [10] 整合与推广策略 - 苹果计划在其一系列应用中推广F1运动 包括Apple News、Apple Maps、Apple Music和Apple Fitness+ [8] - 苹果体育应用将提供F1实时更新、实时排行榜、车手积分榜和特殊主屏幕小组件 [8]
Apple clinches exclusive US media rights for F1 races under five-year deal
Reuters· 2025-10-17 21:04
公司战略合作 - 公司与一级方程式赛车达成一项为期五年的美国转播权协议 [1] - 此次合作旨在通过引入美国增长最快的体育赛事之一来增强其流媒体服务 [1]
As Disney Stock Continues to Underperform, Should You Buy DIS on the Dip or Stay Far, Far Away?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-17 01:31
Disney (DIS) stock is down just over 1% this year and is underperforming the market by a wide margin. While the stock eked out a 23% gain in 2024, which was in line with the S&P 500 Index ($SPX), it underperformed the broader market in the previous three years. The underperformance has been frustrating, to say the least, especially as there has been a marked turnaround at the company since Bob Iger returned as CEO in November 2022 and embarked on a transformation plan. The turnaround is evident in the com ...
GIBO Unveils SparkRWA Green Creator Economy Initiative -- Pioneering the Integration of Creativity and Sustainability
Prnewswire· 2025-10-16 20:30
Accessibility StatementSkip Navigation HONG KONG, Oct. 16, 2025 /PRNewswire/ --Â GIBO Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ: GIBO), Asia's leading technology-driven creative ecosystem, today introduced the SparkRWA Green Creator Economy Initiative, an expansion of its SparkRWA platform that transforms creative inspiration into verifiable and measurable real- world impact. This initiative marks a major milestone in GIBO's mission to merge idea tokenization, creative empowerment, and sustainable innovation, forming a unified ...