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美国9月CPI通胀点评:12月降息也在路上?
天风证券· 2025-10-25 17:23
报告行业投资评级 未提及 报告的核心观点 - 美国9月CPI通胀全面低于预期,增强了年内再降息2次的预期,下周美联储FOMC会议降息几乎确定,12月再次降息的预期概率升至96% [1][6] - 本期数据打消了关税会引发“大滞胀”的担忧,汽车关税或主要由出口商或进口商分担 [5] - 本期CPI数据可能对12月10日的FOMC会议至关重要,后续美债收益率继续下行,美元或将由震荡逐渐转向下行,主要商品类别有望上涨,金银有望回升,海外降息周期启动利好资金流入新兴市场 [7] 各分项总结 食品和能源 - 食品通胀降温,食品项环比0.2%(前值0.5%),同比3.1%(前值3.2%);能源商品价格显著上行,能源商品环比大涨3.8%(前值1.7%),能源服务环比降至 -0.7%(前值 -0.2%),能源项总体环比1.5%,较前值大幅提升0.8个百分点 [2] 核心商品 - 在新车二手车带动下通胀放缓,核心商品环比0.2%(前值0.3%),同比1.5%持平于前值;原因一是二手车和汽车零部件通胀显著降温,二是信息技术商品降温;而家具家居、服装等对通胀贡献有所上升,或反映关税对物价仍有一定影响 [3] 核心服务 - 在住房、交通服务带动下通胀放缓,核心服务环比0.2%(前值0.3%),同比3.5%(前值3.6%);权重最大的住房项环比增速从0.4%降至0.2%,交通运输服务通胀于9月降温,而医疗服务、休闲服务的环比增速上行 [4]
Five Below (FIVE) Up 1.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-09-27 00:31
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Five Below (FIVE) . Shares have added about 1.1% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.But investors have to be wondering, will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Five Below due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.Five Below Q2 Ear ...