公司业绩 - 公司第一财季每股收益为3.22美元 低于市场预期的3.30美元但高于美国银行的3.00美元预期 [2] - 啤酒业务毛利率超预期达到53.1% 主要得益于约4000万美元的成本和运营效率提升 [5] - 葡萄酒与烈酒业务表现不佳 销售额为2.805亿美元 但600万美元的运营亏损好于预期 [6] 业务表现 - 啤酒业务展现出韧性 尽管总销售额略低于预期 但公司重申全年指引 [1][3] - 啤酒业务出货量同比下降3.3% 消耗量同比下降2.6% 略差于美国银行预期但与市场预期一致 [4] - 本季度少一个销售日 对出货量和消耗量增长率产生超过1%的负面影响 预计2026财年剩余时间不会再有销售日影响 [5] 市场与行业 - 非酒精啤酒2024年销售额增长9% 预计2025年将成为全球第二大啤酒类别 [3] - 6月扫描数据显示啤酒业务中单位数下降 但预计第二季度起将有所改善 [4] - 啤酒业务面临挑战 包括西班牙裔消费者需求疲软和行业整体逆风 [6] 财务与估值 - 营销支出为2.01亿美元 低于预期的2.2亿美元 预计将集中在上半年 [5] - 公司股票估值13倍 较其5年平均水平有合理折价 [6] - 公司股价周三上涨4.96%至174.68美元 [6]

Providing alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multiple years ...

Lucid Group (LCID 1.84%) is expected to have a terrific year when it comes to sales growth. Analysts expect revenue to nearly double in 2025. And with several new mass market models on the way, we could see this growth trajectory persist for years to come. It will be critical to track Lucid's actual revenue. But that's not the only number I'm keeping an eye on.These metrics are critical to Lucid's futureDue to the recent introduction of its Gravity SUV platform, as well as the future launch of more affordab ...