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The Fed's dual mandate is under new pressure in D.C.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 23:33
The long-held dual mandate of the Federal Reserve to maintain stable prices and maximize employment is under increasing scrutiny in the nation's capital as GOP pressure on the central bank intensifies. House Financial Services Committee Chair French Hill (R-Ark.) has introduced a new bill that would seek to end the Fed's dual mandate so that central bank policymakers could focus exclusively on one goal: controlling inflation. "For too long, the Federal Reserve has been stretched between competing objec ...
Hassett says Fed made 'prudent call,' signaling White House OK with quarter-point cut
CNBC· 2025-09-18 20:35
The Federal Reserve's decision to cut its key borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point seems to be sitting well with the White House, if National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is any indication.In a CNBC interview Thursday, the day after the Fed's move, Hassett noted that the administration, and new Fed Governor Stephen Miran, had been pushing for a bigger reduction. Miran, who is on leave as head of the Council of Economic Advisers, pushed for a half-point cut but was outvoted 11 to 1 on the ...
Bank of England slows pace of bond rundown, keeps rates steady
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 19:01
By David Milliken and Suban Abdulla LONDON (Reuters) - The Bank of England slowed the pace of its programme to run down its government bond stockpile on Thursday and skewed sales away from long-dated debt in a bid to minimise the impact on volatile gilt markets. The central bank kept its main interest rate on hold at 4% after August's quarter-percentage-point cut, as expected. The BoE bought 875 billion pounds ($1.19 trillion) of British government bonds between 2009 and 2021 to boost the economy, then ...
Crypto Market Unmoved by Fed Rate Cut; Powell Keeps Door Open to More
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 16:52
美联储利率决议 - 美联储2025年首次降息25个基点 将联邦基金利率目标区间降至年内最低水平[1][2] - 美联储主席鲍威尔表态年内可能至少再进行两次降息 期货市场迅速定价2025年底前还有2-3次降息[4][7] 加密货币市场反应 - 比特币对降息反应平淡 价格从114794美元短暂反弹至117198美元后回落 24小时整体收跌[2] - 以太坊呈现相似走势 从4429美元升至4586美元后回调 较历史高点4923美元仍低约8%[3] - 市场清算规模达4亿美元 超过11万名交易者被迫平仓[3] 政策预期与市场展望 - 分析师认为市场出现"利好出尽"行情 但长期流动性增加仍将提振风险资产[8] - 交易员指出9月降息已被完全定价 后续多次降息才可能成为加密货币突破的真正催化剂[8] - 前总统特朗普持续施压要求更激进降息 其任命的联储官员史蒂芬·米兰也反对本次决议支持更大幅度降息[5]
Fed Policy Will Only Get Harder From Here: 3-Minute MLIV
Youtube· 2025-09-18 16:25
美联储政策动向 - 美联储实施降息且主席鲍威尔成功获得广泛支持 部分委员倾向更大幅度降息[2] - 鲍威尔将此次降息定性为"风险管理型降息"和"保险措施" 引发市场波动[4] - 联邦公开市场委员会内部对政策路径存在分歧 中值预测显示今年还有两次降息 但部分委员认为不会进一步降息[4] 债券市场反应 - 降息政策对债券市场形成利好支撑 国债市场出现上涨[3] - 全球债券市场持续担忧通胀问题 政府债务负担及债券供应压力推高长期收益率[7] - 市场关注英国央行是否会减缓债券投放规模 以缓解收益率曲线后端压力[7] 劳动力市场数据 - 上周失业金申请人数达13万 该数据因存在欺诈问题而失真[8] - 美国劳动力市场数据可靠性受质疑 难以准确把握实际就业状况[9] - 市场更关注数据对美联储政策的影响 而非经济前景本身[9] 政策展望与不确定性 - 鲍威尔主席任期即将进入第四年 未来人事变动可能影响政策连续性[5] - 明年美联储人事构成和组织结构变化将使政策前景趋于复杂化[5] - 除非出现异常糟糕的就业数据 市场注意力可能重新转向通胀指标[10]
BOJ may raise rates in October even if Takaichi wins leadership race, says ex-central bank official
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 12:51
By Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) -The Bank of Japan could raise interest rates in October even if Sanae Takaichi, a proponent of aggressive monetary easing, wins the ruling party's leadership race and becomes the next premier, former central bank executive Tomoyuki Shimoda said on Thursday. Seen as a leading candidate to win the race on October 4, Takaichi stands out for her vocal opposition to the BOJ's rate hikes and her calls to ramp up spending to reflate the economy. The prospect of her becoming Jap ...
Fed's Powell explains how central bank moderate rates mandate works
Reuters· 2025-09-18 05:45
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday explained why the three missions Congress imposed on the central bank add up to two in real-world conditions. ...
Fed cuts US interest rates after Trump pressure as economy weakens
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 04:01
However, Mr Powell said his colleagues’ forecasts were “subject to uncertainty” and insisted monetary policy was “not on a pre-set path”.Markets are anticipating another couple of cuts from the Fed by the year’s end, with more to follow in 2026. In its statement announcing the September rate cut, the Fed said only that it would “carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks”. About half the Fed’s rate-setters expect another two or more quarter-point cuts this year, taking th ...
Federal Reserve System (:) Update / Briefing Transcript
2025-09-18 03:32
**联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)2025年9月会议纪要分析** 宏观经济状况 * 经济活动增长放缓 上半年GDP增速降至1.5% 低于去年的2.5%[1] * 消费支出显著放缓 但企业设备与无形资产投资加速[2] * 住房部门活动持续疲弱[2] * 失业率从低位升至4.3% 非农就业月增幅骤降至2.9万[2] * 劳动力供给下降主因移民减少和劳动参与率降低[2] * 工资增长持续放缓但仍高于通胀[3] 通胀动态 * 整体PCE通胀率2.7% 核心PCE通胀率2.9%[4] * 商品通胀回升 服务通胀继续放缓[4] * 关税政策推高短期通胀预期[4] * 长期通胀预期仍锚定在2%目标[4] * 2025年通胀预测中值为3.0% 2027年降至2.1%[4] 货币政策行动 * 降息25个基点 联邦基金利率目标区间至4%-4.25%[5] * 继续缩表计划 但规模边际减小[5][64] * 利率路径预测:2025年底3.6% 2026年底3.4% 2027年底3.1%[8] * 决策基于数据依赖模式 否认预设路径[29] 风险平衡转变 * 就业下行风险显著增加 通胀上行风险仍存[6] * 政策重心从单边抑制通胀转向双目标平衡[6][25] * 劳动力市场出现"异常平衡"——供需双双急剧放缓[13] * 边际群体(青年、少数族裔)就业难度加大[26][40] 关税影响评估 * 关税推高商品价格约0.3-0.4个百分点[45] * 价格传导慢于预期 中间商吸收大部分成本[46] * 对就业市场的影响可能大于通胀[12] 数据可靠性问题 * 就业数据大幅下修91.1万 回应率低增加噪声[36] * 基准修订显示年初就业市场弱于预期[39] * 依赖修订后数据决策 承认实时数据局限性[37] 结构性挑战 * 全国性住房短缺问题超出货币政策范围[61] * 人工智能可能影响劳动力需求 但程度不确定[44] * 消费者信贷质量恶化 FICO评分降幅为2009年来最大[66] 政策沟通与独立性 * 强调美联储决策仅基于经济数据[34] * 否认政治因素影响 回应关于官员双重角色的质疑[10][48] * 点阵图分歧反映政策两难困境[30][52] * 公众信任度挑战 承诺专注法定目标[49] 前瞻指引 * 未来决策取决于三项关键因素:数据表现、前景演变、风险平衡[6] * 不排除进一步降息 但否认需要大幅调整[15] * 强调政策灵活性 可应对各种经济情景[6]
Stocks Edge Higher After Fed Votes for Rate Cut
Barrons· 2025-09-18 02:10
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 17, 2025: Dow Gains After Fed Decision Last Updated: Updated 4 hours ago Stocks Edge Higher After Fed Votes for Rate Cut By Network Connor Smith Stocks perked up after the Federal Reserve said it would cut interest rates by a quarter point for the first time since December. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 400 points, or 0.9%. The S&P 500 was up 0.1. The Nasdaq Composite was still down 0.2%. Heading into the 2 p.m. ET decision, the Dow was up while the S&P and Nas ...