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 CHGG vs. DUOL: Which EdTech Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?
 ZACKS· 2025-10-30 23:30
 行业背景与公司定位 - 数字化学习趋势持续在教育科技领域创造领先者和落后者 [1] - Chegg长期服务于大学生群体提供学术支持和学习工具 Duolingo作为全球最受欢迎的语言学习应用正将业务拓展至更广泛的教育类别 [1] - 两家公司均利用人工智能驱动的个性化技术和订阅制变现模式并看好终身学习趋势的潜力 [2]   Chegg 业务与财务表现 - 第二季度总订阅量同比下降40%至260万订阅服务收入同比下降39%导致总收入下降36%至105亿美元 [3] - 公司调整后税息折旧及摊销前利润为2300万美元利润率为22%超出业绩指引显示出较强的成本控制和运营效率 [3] - 核心战略方向聚焦于两个新兴业务:语言学习子公司Busuu和职业技能提升平台Skills [4] - Busuu收入同比增长15%其中企业对企业业务增长39%留存率改善预计2025年收入达4800万美元并在2026年初实现调整后税息折旧及摊销前利润盈亏平衡 [4] - Skills业务瞄准400亿美元的可寻址市场入学人数环比增长16%产品合作伙伴和产品范围不断扩大 [4] - 公司正将Chegg Study重塑为更具互动性和个性化的AI驱动学习助手但学生采纳仍面临竞争干扰和较弱发现渠道的挑战 [5]   Chegg 战略调整与重组 - 经过长达一年的战略评估后董事会决定公司将继续作为独立上市公司运营 [6] - 领导团队变更执行董事长Dan Rosensweig于2025年10月27日重任总裁兼首席执行官 [6] - 公司实施重大重组包括裁员45%(388个岗位)以提升现金流并重新定位业务以抓住超过400亿美元的技能市场机遇 [6] - 重组预计将削减2026年非公认会计准则支出1亿至11亿美元同时产生1500万至1900万美元主要为现金遣散费 [6] - 专业和企业级服务产品预计2025年产生约7000万美元收入并在2026年实现两位数增长 [6] - 公司重申2025年第三季度收入和调整后税息折旧及摊销前利润指引显示出对业务稳定性的信心 [7]   Duolingo 业务与财务表现 - 第二季度日活跃用户同比增长40%至4770万付费订阅用户增长37%至1090万收入飙升41%至2523亿美元 [8] - 净利润增长84%调整后税息折旧及摊销前利润达787亿美元利润率为312%显示出卓越的规模与盈利能力结合 [8] - 增长飞轮由强劲的用户参与度和持续的产品改进驱动新的Energy机制取代Hearts系统提高了使用一致性并促进了订阅转化 [9] - 公司成功向用户推销更高阶的订阅层级Super和Max其中Max层级受益于AI驱动的双语视频对话功能旨在加速现实世界口语技能提升 [9]   Duolingo 市场扩张与前景 - 新学科扩展如国际象棋课程日活跃用户已超过100万并正推广至Android和其他语言界面以深化用户参与 [10] - 公司的长期使命是成为通用教育平台而不仅仅是语言学习应用强调快速迭代和变现效率 [10] - 2025年全年预订量增长预计超过32%盈利能力持续改善 [11] - 直接网络账单规模的扩大有助于减少对应用商店费用的依赖并增强利润率杠杆 [11]   公司估值与市场预期 - Chegg市值约为1137亿美元远期12个月市销率约为032倍反映出投资者对未来收入恶化和战略不确定性的谨慎 [15] - Duolingo市值约为125亿美元远期12个月市销率约为1009倍溢价反映了市场对其持久订阅增长、产品采纳和利润率可扩展性的信心 [15] - 作为对比同行Coursera市值约14亿美元远期市销率约为175倍Udemy市值约10亿美元远期市销率约为118倍 [16]   分析师预期趋势 - 市场对Chegg的共识预期保持谨慎2025年每股亏损预计为011美元较上年每股盈利075美元大幅下降 [17] - 2025年收入预计下降367%2026年预计下降97%公司预计仅在2026年实现盈亏平衡 [17] - 对Duolingo的共识预期则截然不同2025年每股收益预计为316美元同比增长681%2026年预计再增长406%至444美元 [19] - 2025年收入预计增长362%2026年预计增长261%标志着Duolingo作为高能见度的增长型公司 [19]   投资叙事对比 - Chegg代表深度折价的转型故事其上行潜力与重组成效和潜在战略交易结果挂钩但收入稳定性的能见度有限长期竞争前景仍在演变 [22] - Duolingo持续交付强劲的运营表现包括国际扩张、产品驱动的变现收益和利润率改善并得到强劲资产负债表和一致执行力支持 [23] - 鉴于其优越的增长轨迹、不断扩大的盈利能力和更有利的远期预期趋势Duolingo被视为更好的长期投资选择 [24]
 Chegg Stock Down 99%. Learn Whether AI, 45% Layoffs Make $CHGG A Buy
 Forbes· 2025-10-30 02:20
 BOSTON - AUGUST 28: Atmosphere at the Chegg.com Campus Takeover at Fenway Park on August 28, 2009 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Gail Oskin/WireImage)WireImageChegg stock is down 99% from its all-time high.Will sharp layoffs and artificial intelligence revive the shares of this 20-year-old online education company? Chegg decided to remain independent after a review by Goldman Sachs, according to TradingView, which I am guessing did not yield an offer to acquire the company at an acceptable price. Desp ...
 Chegg leans on old leadership, pivots to skills training as it fights to stay alive in age of AI (CHGG:NYSE)
 Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-28 23:51
As a casualty of the proliferation of artificial intelligence across academia, Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) faces an uncertain future as it struggles to stay relevant in a new era of learning. On Monday, the company said it would slash its workforce and restructure ...
 Chegg Jumps Over 4% After-Hours As It Lays Off 45% Workforce, Blaming AI Amid New Restructuring Plan - Chegg (NYSE:CHGG)
 Benzinga· 2025-10-28 13:57
Chegg Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) announced a massive restructuring plan on Oct. 27, 2025, that includes laying off 45% of its global workforce, or 388 employees. The company cited significant revenue declines from the “new realities of AI” as the primary driver for the move.Check out CHGG stock price here.Chegg Soars Over 4% After Announcing Restructuring PlanInvestors reacted positively to the drastic cost-cutting measures. After closing the regular session at $1.44 apiece, Chegg’s stock jumped $0.060, or 4.17%, in  ...
 Chegg cuts 45% of staff as AI reshapes online learning business
 Fox Business· 2025-10-28 13:12
Chegg Inc., a Santa Clara-based online learning platform, said Monday it will cut about 45% of its workforce – roughly 388 employees – as it confronts what it calls "the new realities of AI and reduced traffic from Google to content publishers." In its official statement, the company said the restructuring plan reflects "a significant decline in Chegg’s traffic and revenue," which it has attributed to shifts in generative AI and changing search patterns.Chegg said the layoffs will reduce reduce 2026 non-GAA ...
 Chegg slashes 45% of workforce, blames 'new realities of AI'
 CNBC· 2025-10-28 08:10
Chegg said on Monday it would lay off about 45% of its workforce, or 388 employees, as the "new realities" of artificial intelligence and diminished traffic from internet search have led to plummeting revenue. The online education company, founded 20 years ago, has been hit by the rise of generative AI software tools, such as OpenAI's ChatGPT, which have become increasingly popular among students. Chegg also sued Google in February, arguing that AI summaries of search results have hurt its traffic and sales ...
 Hit by AI, edtech firm Chegg slashes jobs and names new CEO in major overhaul
 Reuters· 2025-10-28 05:39
Educational technology company Chegg said on Monday it would cut 388 roles globally, or about 45% of the workforce, to reduce costs and streamline operations as it works to adapt to the growing shift ... ...
 Chegg Earnings: Big Quarter Sends Shares Higher
 247Wallst· 2025-10-28 05:01
Chegg narrowed its net loss by over 80% as cost-cutting stabilized operations despite continued revenue decline. ...
 Chegg(CHGG) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
 2025-10-28 04:11
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): October 21, 2025 Chegg, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 001-36180 20-3237489 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) 3990 Freedom Circle Santa Clara, California 95054 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) (408) 855-5700 (Registrant's tel ...
 Is Chegg Quietly Pivoting From Students Toward Professionals?
 ZACKS· 2025-10-24 00:01
 公司战略转型 - 公司正将其业务重心从传统的以学生为中心的模式转向先进的职业提升模式 [1] - 公司正在其系统中整合人工智能技术,以适应市场向职场准备和成人线上学习的转变 [1] - 公司通过对Busuu和Skills业务的投资,重点发展语言学习、职场准备和技能提升等高增长领域 [2]   业务表现与举措 - Busuu业务在2025年第二季度收入同比增长15%,其中B2C业务增长6%,B2B业务增长39% [2] - Busuu在企业和成人语言学习领域的强劲增长使公司在全球技能提升市场获得立足点 [2] - 公司正将Guild合作推广至英语学习垂直领域,并通过Learning Pathways提供针对特定职位和行业的个性化课程 [3] - 公司与Guild的合作主要为一线员工提供基于技能的学习项目 [3] - 公司通过投资于现代化和多元化其产品组合,涵盖实用技能、认证准备和实际就业能力,为把握该领域机遇做好准备 [4]   市场竞争格局 - 公司在教育市场面临来自Coursera和Duolingo等知名企业的激烈竞争 [6] - Coursera凭借其庞大的大学支持课程和认证库,在学术合作和职业发展领域处于领先地位 [7] - Duolingo通过其游戏化应用和AI驱动的用户参与度,在语言学习细分市场占据主导地位 [7] - 公司的竞争优势在于其基于订阅的生态系统,整合了学习帮助、教科书、技能以及AI支持,在分散的在线教育环境中为用户提供一站式平台的便利性和粘性 [8]   股价表现与估值 - 公司股价在过去六个月大幅上涨119.7%,表现显著优于行业、板块及标普500指数 [9] - 公司股票当前远期12个月市销率为0.41,相对于同业公司存在折价,显示出对投资者具有吸引力的入场点 [12]   盈利预测趋势 - 市场对公司2025年的普遍亏损预期为每股0.11美元,对2026年的预期为盈亏平衡 [13] - 2025年的预期每股亏损意味着同比下滑114.7%,而2026年的预期则意味着100%的增长 [14] - 过去60天内,对2025年第四季度、2026年第一季度、2025财年和2026财年的每股收益预期均保持稳定,分别为-0.14美元、-0.01美元、-0.11美元和0.00美元 [14]