It's been a while since I last reviewed the operations of Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT ). In my last article , I was cautious about Krispy Kreme's prospects, as the company was trading at elevated valuation multiples with aAuthor of the Macro Trends & Inflection Points Newsletter. I spent 5 years as a co-founder and hedge fund CIO / manager. Before that, I was a hedge fund analyst/portfolio manager at a leading Canadian alternative asset manager. I write articles as part of my own due diligence on the s ...

Krispy Kreme stock plunged 24% on Thursday morning after the doughnut chain said it is "reassessing" its rollout with McDonald's and pulled its full-year outlook in part due to economic "softness."Krispy Kreme is not planning to launch its doughnuts in any additional McDonald's locations in the second quarter, suspending a nationwide rollout. As of March 30, more than 2,400 of the burger chain's roughly 13,500 domestic locations carried Krispy Kreme doughnuts."I remain confident in the long-term national op ...

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Alexandre Eldredge - Senior Manager of IRJoshua Charlesworth - President & CEOJeremiah Ashukian - EVP & CFORahul Krotthapalli - Vice President - Equity ResearchBill Chappell - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Daniel Guglielmo - Equity Research AnalystNone - AnalystAndrew Wolf - SVP & Senior Research Analyst Operator Hello, everyone, and thanks for standing by. My name is Ian, and I will be your conference o ...

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker0 Hello, everyone, and thanks for standing by. My name is Ian, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Krispy Kreme First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call. I would now like to turn the call over to Alexander Eldridge, Krispy Kreme Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Speaker1 Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Krispy Kreme's first quarter twenty twenty five ear ...

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.05 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.06. This compares to earnings of $0.07 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 16.67%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this doughnut wholesaler and retailer would post earnings of $0.10 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.01, delivering a surprise of -90%.Over the last four quarte ...

Krispy Kreme, Inc. FIRST QUARTER 2025 EARNINGS PRESENTATION MAY 8, 2025 Krispy Kreme | 1Q25 Earnings 1 Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements made in this presentation and the conference call that this presentation accompanies are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including terms such as "plan," "believe," "may," "contin ...

Exhibit 10.1 INCREMENTAL ASSUMPTION AGREEMENT AND AMENDMENT NO. 1 TO CREDIT AGREEMENT INCREMENTAL ASSUMPTION AGREEMENT AND AMENDMENT NO. 1 TO CREDIT AGREEMENT, dated as of May 2, 2025 (this "Agreement"), by and among Krispy Kreme, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("PubCo"), Cotton Parent, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Holdings"), Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc., a North Carolina corporation (the "Parent Borrower"), the other Loan Parties party hereto, the Lenders party hereto (which constitute all of the Lenders ...

公司业绩预期 - 华尔街预计Krispy Kreme在2025年3月季度的营收和盈利将同比下降 核心观点为实际业绩与预期的对比将影响短期股价[1] - 预计季度每股亏损0 06美元 同比恶化185 7% 营收预计3 8121亿美元 同比下降13 9%[3] - 业绩发布日期为2025年5月8日 超预期可能推动股价上涨 不及预期则可能导致下跌[2] 盈利预测模型 - Zacks盈利ESP模型通过对比"最准确预估"和"共识预估"来预测业绩偏离 最新分析师修正通常更具参考性[6] - 正向ESP读数结合Zacks评级1-3级时 预测准确率近70% 但负向ESP或4-5级评级难以预测业绩超预期[8][9] - Krispy Kreme当前ESP为+27 27% 但Zacks评级为4级 组合效果使预测结论存疑[10][11] 历史业绩表现 - 公司过去四个季度均未达到盈利预期 最近一次季度实际每股收益0 01美元 较预期0 10美元低90%[12][13] - 历史业绩匹配度是分析师预测未来时的重要参考因素[12] 同业对比 - 同业公司WK Kellogg预计季度每股收益0 41美元 同比增长10 8% 营收6 7965亿美元 同比降3 9%[17] - WK Kellogg共识EPS预估30天内上调0 5% ESP达4 17% 结合Zacks3级评级 更可能超预期 过去四次季度两次超预期[18] 市场影响因素 - 盈利超预期或不及预期并非股价变动的唯一因素 其他催化剂或利空同样影响走势[14] - 尽管Krispy Kreme当前盈利超预期概率不高 但投资者仍需关注其他潜在影响因素[16]

文章核心观点 - 分析师曾因与麦当劳合作执行良好推荐买入Krispy Kreme股票，现对该业务看法进行更新 [1] - 分析师采用基于基本面的价值投资方法，寻找能以最合理价格实现长期持久发展的公司 [1] - 投资成功公司有风险，可能支付过高价格，但在某些情况下发展空间大时价格在短期内没那么重要 [1] 投资理念 - 分析师不认同低市盈率股票一定便宜的观点，倾向关注长期稳定增长、无周期性且资产负债表稳健的公司 [1]

文章核心观点 - 虽然公司产品受消费者喜爱，但股票对投资者吸引力不足，因新分析及业绩不佳股价下跌 [1][4] 分析师观点 - 摩根大通分析师Rahul Krotthapalli大幅下调公司目标股价至8美元/股，此前为13美元/股，虽维持买入评级但调整幅度较大 [2] - 分析师对公司“每日新鲜送达”战略有效执行存疑，但仍希望公司能实现该战略 [3] 公司业绩情况 - 2024年第四季度业绩令人失望，销售额和非GAAP（调整后）盈利能力下滑且未达指标，还预计2025年整体业绩持续下滑 [4] 行业环境影响 - 美国消费者健康意识增强，公司缺乏有力催化剂，战略若执行不到位价值不大 [5]