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We Still Don't Know Who Will Vote On Interest Rates Next Week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 00:05
Al Drago / Bloomberg via Getty Images A Fed panel is set to decide whether to lower interest rates, but it's not clear who will vote. Key Takeaways Less than a week before the Fed's policy committee is set to vote on interest rates, the makeup of the 12-person body is undecided. Key questions are whether Fed Governor Lisa Cook will remain on the committee despite President Donald Trump's attempts to fire her, and whether the Senate will confirm a Trump nominee to join the FOMC. Wednesday's meeting wi ...
Average rate on a 30-year mortgage falls to lowest level in nearly a year
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 00:03
抵押贷款利率变动 - 30年期美国抵押贷款平均利率本周降至635%,较上周的65%下降,为近一年来最低水平[1] - 15年期固定利率抵押贷款平均利率本周降至55%,较上周的56%下降[2] - 当前30年期抵押贷款利率为自去年10月10日当周632%以来的最低水平[8] 利率变动驱动因素 - 利率下降反映出国债收益率回落,市场预期美联储将在下周政策会议上进行今年首次降息[1][3] - 抵押贷款利率受美联储利率政策决定以及债券市场投资者对经济和通胀预期等多因素影响[2] - 美联储虽不直接设定抵押贷款利率,但其政策会影响债券投资者对10年期国债等长期政府债券的需求,而贷款机构以10年期国债收益率为基准来定价住房贷款[5] 宏观经济与政策背景 - 美联储今年一直维持主要利率不变,因更担忧前总统特朗普的关税政策可能导致通胀恶化[5] - 美联储主席鲍威尔上月暗示可能在未来几个月降息,原因是对疲弱的就业增长感到担忧[6] - 修订后的政府数据显示美国就业市场比早先数据暗示的更疲弱,最新一周失业救济申请人数增加表明裁员数量可能正在上升[7] 房地产市场状况 - 自2022年抵押贷款利率从历史低点开始攀升以来,房地产市场一直处于低迷状态[8] - 今年以来销售持续疲软,因30年期抵押贷款平均利率多数时间徘徊在65%以上[8] - 去年9月美联储自2020年3月以来首次降息前也出现过类似利率回落,当时30年期抵押贷款利率曾跌至两年低点608%,但随后在1月中旬反弹至7%以上[4]
XRP dips as CPI rises to highest level since January
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 23:42
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.9% in the 12 months through August, as per expectations. In contrast, the figure rose 2.7% in July. CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month (MoM) in August, against the expected 0.3%. In August, Core CPI rose 3.1% YoY as per expectations. The figure rose 0.3% MoM as expected. The CPI data is the most common metric to measure inflation. CPI inflation is now at its highest level since January 2025, which means that Americans are really feeling the pinch. A Mobil gas sta ...
Instant View: US consumer prices rise more than expected, but a rate cut still coming
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 20:56
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in August while the annual increase in inflation was the largest in seven months, although the numbers will not prevent an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week in the midst of a weakening labor market. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% last month after increasing 0.2% in July, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said on Thursday. In the 12 months through August, the CPI advanced 2.9%, the largest increas ...
10-year Treasury yield falls to 4% then snaps back as traders assess inflation data
CNBC· 2025-09-11 20:55
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was last unchanged at 4.032%, after falling to 4% earlier in the session. The 30-year Treasury yield meanwhile added more than 1 basis points to 4.688%, as the 2-year yield dropped roughly 2 basis points to hit 3.515%.The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4% Thursday, then snapped back as investors assessed the latest inflation data, as well as a jump in jobless claims.The August consumer price index rose at a seasonally adjusted 0.4% increase for the month, wit ...
US inflation heats up in August, slightly ahead of month-earlier pace
New York Post· 2025-09-11 20:42
Consumer inflation heated up in August — accelerating slightly from a month earlier although not enough to discourage bets that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates next week. The Consumer Price Index rose 2.9% in August compared to the previous year, speeding up from 2.7% in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Thursday.It jumped 0.4% from the previous month, above expectations of a 0.3% increase.On a core basis, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, the CPI rose 3.1% over t ...
A ‘perfect alignment’ across markets has Wall Street 100% convinced of a rate cut
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 18:43
Markets are fully committed to a Fed rate cut this month, with CME data showing investors have priced in a 0% chance of a hold as weak labor figures and softer inflation drive dovish bets. Economists like Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and UBS’s Paul Donovan cautioned that while headline data supports easing, the details reveal more mixed pressures that Powell will need to weigh. There are few “sure things” when it comes to economics. And yet interest rate traders are 100% convinced a cut is coming at the Fed ...
The First Interest Rate Cut of 2025 Could Happen Next Week. Here's What It Means for the Stock Market.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 16:57
Key Points The Federal Reserve will hold its next two-day policy meeting on Sept. 16 and 17. The Fed has yet to cut interest rates in 2025, but a deteriorating jobs market could force its hand next week. Further weakness in the economy could trigger a downturn in the stock market, even with the Fed cutting interest rates. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › By law, the U.S. Federal Reserve is tasked with supporting a healthy jobs market, and keeping inflation under control. The central ...
Wall Street rallies as a cut to interest rates next week looks more certain
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 14:22
NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street’s record-setting run kept rolling on Thursday, and stocks climbed after a mixed set of U.S. data kept the path clear for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in order to boost the economy. The S&P 500 rose 0.8% and set an all-time high for the third straight day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 617 points, or 1.4%, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.7%. Both also hit records. Treasury yields eased in the bond market following the economic reports, which were some ...
Jamie Dimon Warns Of 'Weakening' US Economy, But Doesn't 'Know' Whether Its Nearing Recession: 'Have To Wait And See'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 05:30
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has expressed concerns about the U.S. economy, following a significant revision in the Labor Department’s job data. Slowing Economy, Low Consumer Confidence, Says Dimon Dimon, in a statement on Tuesday, pointed out that the U.S. economy is showing signs of “slowing down,” reported CNBC. This insight followed the Labor Department's revision of nonfarm payrolls data through Mar ...