公司业绩表现 - 季度每股收益为7 82美元 超出Zacks共识预期的6 9美元 同比增长14 5% [1] - 季度营收达15亿美元 超出预期1 35% 同比增长3 4% [3] - 过去四个季度均超预期 其中最新季度盈利超预期幅度达13 33% [2][3] 市场反应与估值 - 年初至今股价上涨1 8% 跑输同期标普500指数7 3%的涨幅 [4] - 当前Zacks评级为3级(持有) 预计短期表现与市场同步 [7] - 下季度共识预期EPS为7 12美元 营收预期15 6亿美元 全年EPS预期22 89美元 营收预期54 6亿美元 [8] 行业比较 - 所属空调与供暖设备行业在Zacks 250多个行业中排名后20% [9] - 同业公司AAON预计季度EPS为0 31美元 同比下滑50% 营收预期3 32亿美元 同比增长5 9% [10] - AAON过去30天EPS预期被下调17 5% 反映行业压力 [10] 未来关注点 - 管理层在财报电话会中的指引将影响股价短期走势 [4] - 盈利预期修正趋势是重要观察指标 历史显示其与股价变动高度相关 [6] - 需关注后续对季度及全年盈利预期的调整动态 [8]

BankUnited, Inc. (BKU) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.91 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.79 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.72 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +15.19%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.74 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.78, delivering a surprise of +5.41%.Over the last four quarters, the company ...

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.2 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.04 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.91 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +7.84%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.61 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.72, delivering a surprise of +6.83%.Over the last four quarters, ...

涉及行业或公司 涉及中国A股市场和MSCI中国成分股公司，涵盖金融、材料、房地产、软件、消费服务、科技硬件等多个行业，还提及如中国铝业、洛阳钼业、百度、京东等具体公司 核心观点和论据 1. **A - 股2Q25预告情况** - **整体表现**：按公司数量计净负面预警率为 - 4.8%，与2Q24的 - 4.6%相近，优于4Q24的 - 18.8%；按市值计净正面预警率达4.7%，高于2Q24的 + 2.8%和4Q24的 - 0.7% [1][8][17] - **不同规模公司表现**：大市值公司更具韧性，净负面预警为 - 1.4%；小市值公司恢复最明显，从4Q24的 - 31.1%改善至 - 7.4% [8][17] - **行业表现**：按公司数量计，25个行业中有20个发布净负面预警，房地产管理与开发、消费服务和能源行业净负面预警最多，金融服务净正面预警最大；按市值计，金融服务、材料和科技硬件与设备行业正面预警占比最高，消费服务、房地产管理与开发和软件与服务行业拖累净负面预警 [17] 2. **MSCI中国2Q25预告情况** - **整体表现**：整体净正面预警率为6.8%，有69只股票发布正面预警，31家公司发布负面预警，高于4Q24的2.2% [33] - **行业表现**：11个行业中有6个有净正面预警，金融和材料行业净正面预警交付率最高，房地产和公用事业净负面预警最多 [33] 3. **盈利预测修订情况（5月31 - 7月18日）** - **整体表现**：按指数权重计，MSCI中国2025年一致盈利预测净修订为0%；按公司数量计，11%的MSCI中国成分股2025年一致盈利预测被下调 [2][13][37] - **行业表现**：按指数权重，科技硬件、必需消费品和制药行业净正修订最高，可选消费分销与零售、软件和消费服务行业净负修订最大；按公司数量，商业与专业服务、金融服务、媒体与娱乐以及制药、生物技术和生命科学行业2025年一致盈利预测净上升，多数行业（15个）净下降 [13][37] 4. **MS预览盈利情况** - **整体表现**：6月1日至7月21日，分析师共发布116份盈利预览报告，中国和香港公司2Q25预览盈利重点关键绩效指标出现净 - 7ppt的负面惊喜，预计22ppt的公司共识每股收益将下降 [49][51] - **行业表现**：超预期/上调集中在信息技术行业；不及预期/下调集中在房地产、通信服务、医疗保健和必需消费品行业 [52][53] 5. **股票筛选情况** - **积极筛选**：基于四项标准筛选出9只股票，包括中国铝业、洛阳钼业等 [59] - **消极筛选**：基于四项标准筛选出6只股票，包括百度、京东等 [60] 6. **盈利预测修订长期趋势**：MSCI中国盈利预测修订广度（ERB）仍为负值，但自2025年6月初以来略有反弹 [64] 其他重要但可能被忽略的内容 1. 摩根士丹利与报告覆盖公司存在业务往来，可能存在利益冲突，投资者应将其研究仅作为投资决策的一个因素 [6] 2. 报告提供了MSCI中国成分股2Q25盈利正面和负面预警的详细列表 [101][102] 3. 详细说明了摩根士丹利的股票评级体系、全球股票评级分布以及分析师股票评级和行业观点的定义 [111][115][116] 4. 提及摩根士丹利研究报告的更新政策、分发方式、使用条款、隐私政策等重要信息 [123][126][127] 5. 对不同地区（如台湾、中国内地、巴西、墨西哥等）的研究报告分发和使用进行了规定和说明 [135][136][137]

FVCBankcorp (FVCB) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.3 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.23 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +7.14%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.24 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.28, delivering a surprise of +16.67%.Over the last four quarters, the company has ...

PennyMac Financial (PFSI) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.01 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.67 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -66.11%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this mortgage banking and investment management company would post earnings of $2.99 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.42, delivering a surprise of - ...

EQT Corporation (EQT) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.45 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.44 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.08 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +2.27%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.18, delivering a surprise of +15.69%.Over the last four quarters, the company ha ...

Weatherford (WFRD) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.87 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.97 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.66 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +92.78%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this oilfield service company would post earnings of $0.89 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.03, delivering a surprise of +15.73%.Over the last four quarter ...

Cathay General (CATY) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.1 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate . This compares to earnings of $0.97 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. A quarter ago, it was expected that this holding company for Cathay Bank would post earnings of $0.95 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.98, delivering a surprise of +3.16%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.Cathay, ...

Karooooo Ltd. (KARO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.39 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +4.44%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.37 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.44, delivering a surprise of +18.92%.Over the last four quarters, the company h ...