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Lazard CEO Peter Orszag: Expect some upward pressure on core inflation going into early next year
Youtube· 2025-09-11 19:12
Investors awaiting new CPI data at 8:30 a. m. Eastern time.Forecasters are expecting a month- over-month gain of 0.3%. And joining us right now on the economy and the markets is Peter Orzac. He's the CEO of Lazard. He was the director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Obama.And and Peter, thank you for being with us today. Um, let's just talk broadly about the economy after we saw the much cooler than anticipated uh inflation numbers yesterday with PPI. Where do you think the economy st ...
A ‘perfect alignment’ across markets has Wall Street 100% convinced of a rate cut
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 18:43
Markets are fully committed to a Fed rate cut this month, with CME data showing investors have priced in a 0% chance of a hold as weak labor figures and softer inflation drive dovish bets. Economists like Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and UBS’s Paul Donovan cautioned that while headline data supports easing, the details reveal more mixed pressures that Powell will need to weigh. There are few “sure things” when it comes to economics. And yet interest rate traders are 100% convinced a cut is coming at the Fed ...
Bond-Market Bets on Deep Fed Cuts at Risk From Hot CPI Data
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 18:05
通胀数据与市场预期 - 债券交易员高度关注即将发布的美国通胀报告 该报告可能削弱市场对美联储从本月开始持续至2026年的大幅降息预期 [1] - 9月16-17日会议降息25个基点已被市场视为确定事项 预计年底前还将有两次降息 市场风险偏好已转向认为政策利率最终将降至中性水平以下以刺激经济避免衰退 [1] 市场定价变化 - 交易员预期美联储在未来一年内至少进行5次25个基点的降息 较此前预测更为激进 [3] - 两年期美债收益率在8月生产者价格指数意外下降后跌至3.51% 创4月以来新低 但若通胀数据超预期上行 短期债券可能面临调整压力 [2][4] 经济数据表现 - 疲软就业数据与温和生产者价格指数推动降息预期 8月PPI意外下降导致收益率下行5个基点 [3][4] - 核心CPI年率预计将显著高于美联储2%目标水平 市场可能过度乐观定价经济放缓而忽视通胀风险 [2][3]
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise Ahead Of August CPI Print—Kroger, RH, Adobe Earnings In Focus - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-09-11 17:36
股指期货表现 - 美国股指期货周四上涨 道指期货升0.06% 标普500期货升0.13% 纳斯达克100期货升0.20% 罗素2000期货跌0.21% [1][3] - SPDR标普500 ETF信托(SPY)上涨0.15%至653.21美元 Invesco QQQ信托(QQQ)上涨0.21%至581.90美元 [3] 通胀数据 - 8月生产者价格指数(PPI)环比下降0.1% 远低于预期的增长0.3% [2][5] - 批发通胀年率从3.3%大幅放缓至2.6% [2][5] - 经济学家预测8月消费者价格指数(CPI)年率将升至2.9% 高于7月的2.7% 创2025年1月以来最高年度增速 [1] - 高盛预计8月核心CPI环比增长0.36% 年率升至3.13% [11] 前日市场表现 - 标普500指数上涨0.30%至6,532.04点 纳斯达克综合指数微升0.030%至21,886.06点 [7][8] - 道琼斯指数下跌0.48%或220点至45,490.92点 罗素2000指数下跌0.16%至2,378.01点 [7][8] - 能源和信息技术板块逆势收高 非必需消费品、医疗保健和必需消费品板块跌幅最大 [4] 个股动态 - 克罗格(KR)盘前上涨1.45% 预计每股收益0.99美元 营收341亿美元 [17] - RH(RH)盘前上涨0.42% 预计每股收益3.20美元 营收9.0464亿美元 [17] - 奥克斯福工业(OXM)大涨14.63% 因季度业绩超预期并上调2025财年每股收益指引 [19] - 甲骨文(ORCL)续涨1.61% 剩余履约义务金额达4550亿美元 同比增长359% [19] - Adobe(ADBE)盘前上涨0.81% 预计每股收益5.18美元 营收59.1亿美元 [19] 大宗商品与全球市场 - 原油期货下跌0.46%至每桶63.38美元 [18] - 黄金现货下跌0.38%至每盎司3,626.75美元 美元指数上涨0.14%至97.9200 [18] - 亚洲市场周四普遍收高 欧洲市场早盘涨跌互现 [19]
Wall Street Fear Index Slips Ahead of Key Inflation Report
Barrons· 2025-09-11 17:18
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 11, 2025: S&P 500 Hits New High Wall Street Fear Index Slips Ahead of Key Inflation Report By George Glover The most widely followed gauge of market fear and uncertainty was sliding on Thursday, with investors in wait- and-see mode ahead of a crunch consumer price index report. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, slipped to 15.2 from 15.4 in early trading. Any reading below 20 tends to indicate relatively low volatility, so the latest level is a sign Wall Street is feel ...
Markets Roll Out a Red Carpet for Powell as PPI Indicates Easing Inflation
Investing· 2025-09-11 15:06
Market Analysis by covering: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Oracle Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...
Wall Street rallies as a cut to interest rates next week looks more certain
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 14:22
NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street’s record-setting run kept rolling on Thursday, and stocks climbed after a mixed set of U.S. data kept the path clear for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in order to boost the economy. The S&P 500 rose 0.8% and set an all-time high for the third straight day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 617 points, or 1.4%, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.7%. Both also hit records. Treasury yields eased in the bond market following the economic reports, which were some ...
Global Markets Navigate Swedish Inflation, Geopolitical Tensions, and Key Corporate Developments
Stock Market News· 2025-09-11 14:09
瑞典通胀数据 - 8月CPIF通胀率同比上升至3.3% 超出预期的3.2% 且高于前月的3.0% [2] - 剔除能源的核心CPIF同比稳定在2.9% 符合预期但高于瑞典央行2.7%的预测 [2] - 月度CPIF下降0.2% 核心CPIF下降0.5% 均符合预期 [2] - 整体CPI同比升至1.1% 高于7月的0.8% 但仍低于央行2%目标 [2] 欧洲汽车行业竞争 - 大众汽车宣布将积极捍卫其在欧洲市场主导地位 应对中国电动汽车厂商的竞争 [3] - 公司在中国面临激烈竞争 正战略聚焦美国市场寻求增长 [3] - 大众正在开发新电动车型 目标在2026年前重获竞争优势 [3] 欧洲市场表现 - 欧洲斯托克斯指数期货下跌0.2% 德国DAX期货同样下跌0.2% [4] - 英国富时期货微涨0.1% 显示市场情绪分化 [4] 美国劳工关系 - 波音防务与国际机械师协会达成初步五年协议 结束近五周罢工 [6] - 协议包含五年内平均45%的工资涨幅 并恢复此前取消的签约奖金 [6] - 涉及圣路易斯地区约3200名战斗机装配工人 会员将于9月12日投票表决 [6] 亚洲产业政策 - 印度宣布将采用更严格排放和燃油效率标准 [9] - 道路运输部已推出更严格的灵活燃料车辆排放标准 [9] - 正在讨论CAFE III标准 计划从2032年开始实施 但车企反对2027年实施认为目标过于激进 [9] 全球市场动态 - 亚洲市场表现分化 跟随美国标普500和纳斯达克指数创历史新高的趋势 [10]
Japan, Taiwan shares set records on tech boost, Fed cut hope
The Economic Times· 2025-09-11 13:05
Before then, the European Central Bank is widely expected to hold rates steady later in the day but a fraught trade and political outlook means it will likely keep alive the prospect of further easing. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei gained 0.8% to hit a record as tech and energy firms as well as utilities jumped. Taiwanese shares rose 1% to also set a record as leading chipmaker SoftBank rose almost 9% after Stargate Project partner Live Events Nasdaq futures rose 0.2% and S&P 500 futures inched up 0.1%. MSC ...
Asian Markets Trade Mixed
RTTNews· 2025-09-11 10:58
Asian stock are trading mixed on Thursday, following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight, on increasing optimism the US Fed will lower interest rates a couple of times this year after report showed softer-than-expected US producer price figures, while traders await US consumer inflation data later in the day. Asian markets closed mostly higher on Wednesday.Following the report, CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating a 92.1 chance of a quarter-point rate cut and a slim 7.9 percent chance of ...