黄金市场表现 - 黄金期货价格跳涨13%至每盎司3,755美元 创历史新高 录得自9月2日以来最大百分比涨幅 [1] - 黄金价格上涨主要受美联储降息预期推动 投资者预计2025年末几个月将进行两次降息 [1] 货币政策影响 - 美联储于周四决定降低利率 此举直接提振了金价 [2] - 黄金在借贷成本下降时往往表现强劲 因其不同于债券和现金等其他避险资产 不具有收益率 [2] 股市表现 - 道琼斯指数开盘下跌 市场整体缺乏催化剂 [1]

Let's stay on bonds and stocks and markets because we've got new highs across the board for equities. Nearly all major averages on pace for new records. The market seems to have adjusted to tariffs.But what happens if the Supreme Court rules that the tariffs are actually illegal. Would that hurt America's massive debt load. Let's talk about that and more.Joe Leavone is well known to our audience as a markets guy, but now serves as counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Joe, good to have you on the p ...

Hedge-fund investor David Tepper says the rally in stocks can continue with the Federal Reserve cutting rates, but sees danger in going too far. - Justin Edmonds/Getty Images That’s billionaire hedge-fund manager David Tepper, who said Thursday that he’s feeling constructive but pretty lousy about a good year for the U.S. stock market. “We are having a really good year. And I am so miserable for having a good year,” said Tepper, the founder of Appaloosa Management, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” a day after th ...

市场前景 - 对冲基金投资者Tepper预计股市涨势将持续 [1] - 股市持续上涨的前提是美联储进行少量降息 [1] 潜在风险 - 美联储降息过多被视为市场危险因素 [1]

For more on the markets, let's bring in Steve Iceman. He is host of the Real Eyesman Playbook podcast and former senior portfolio manager at Newberger Berman. Steve, it's good to have you.Thanks for having me. Um, I mean, weigh in I guess here on on this uh how this infects if it does the macro. It's interesting when you talk about oh uh are they going to be more tolerant of inflation.I've always been of the mind the equity market's not going to freak out about inflation unless the bond market is. Bond mark ...

Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager of the systematic multi-strategy fund at BlackRock, discusses what future Federal Reserve rate cuts could mean for the fixed-income market. ...

Michael Darda, Roth Capital Partners chief economist and macro strategist, says credit markets are "extremely bullish" right now and the forecasts for Federal Reserve rate cuts seem steep considering the current economic backdrop. He speaks on "Bloomberg Open Interest." ...

投资策略调整 - 法国兴业银行策略师建议增加股票配置，全球股票资产配置从44%提升至50%，同时减少现金持有，从10%降至5% [3] - 债券配置小幅下调1%至35% [3] - 策略师看好风险资产，并建议投资组合多元化 [3] 市场前景与驱动因素 - 美联储在非衰退环境下降息将利好市场，历史表明鸽派美联储政策会提振全球股市 [3] - 企业盈利保持韧性，得益于人工智能生态系统的卓越表现和科技行业以外利润周期的增强 [3] - 全球财政支出增加和供应链重构预计将推动每股收益持续增长，标准普尔500指数的任何抛售都可能较浅，并推动该指数创新高 [3] 具体投资标的推荐 - 推荐标普500等权重指数以及一篮子剔除亏损和资产负债表薄弱公司的小盘股 [4] - 预测标准普尔500指数到2026年上半年将达到7300点 [4] 非美股市布局 - 对美股以外股市持乐观态度，将日本股票权重增加一倍，同时保持欧洲市场的稳健权重，并略微增加新兴市场股票权重 [5] - 看好德国新的财政动态、日本的新价格机制以及中国牛市的下一阶段 [5] - 提及欧洲复兴，原因包括德国支出以及意大利和西班牙等外围国家的优异表现 [5]

市场周期与货币政策 - 市场目前处于中期周期而非晚期阶段 [1] - 美联储降息将成为下一阶段上涨的真正催化剂 降息可通过宣布进入宽松周期恢复市场信心 降低借贷成本将恢复流动性和促进业务扩张 [2] - 当前市场环境与1998年9月和2024年9月相似 均为美联储长期暂停后政策转向时期 [2] 加密货币投资前景 - 未来三个月加密货币可能出现巨大波动 [1][3] - 纳斯达克100指数、比特币和以太坊被列为顶级交易标的 利率敏感型小盘股和金融股同样受关注 [3] - 以太坊国库公司相比比特币竞争对手更具可持续性优势 因其能够产生质押收益 [3][4] 数字资产持仓分析 - 数字资产国库公司持有市场重要份额 包括4.0%的BTC、3.1%的ETH和0.8%的SOL 这些公司的成功对币价至关重要 [4] - BitMine Immersion Technologies是以太坊持仓龙头 持有215万枚ETH价值超过97亿美元 [5] - SharpLink Gaming持有837,230枚ETH 规模不足BitMine一半 [5] 以太坊竞争优势 - 质押收益能力可能提升市场对净资产价值比率(mNAV) [4] - 以太坊国库公司通过质押获得收益的特性 使其比比特币持仓公司更具可持续性 [3][4]

“[Thursday’s] CPI report has been trumped by the jobless claims report,” said Seema Shah at Principal Asset Management. “If anything, the jump in jobless claims will inject a bit more urgency in the Fed’s decision-making, with Powell likely signaling a sequence of rate cuts is on the way.”The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report released on Thursday showed that consumer prices rose +0.4% m/m in August, stronger than expectations of +0.3% m/m. On an annual basis, headline inflation picked up to +2.9% in Au ...