Buffett indicator

搜索文档
3 Stocks to Buy in October That Could Soar 34% or More Over the Next 12 Months, According to Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-01 16:56
Analysts have great expectations for these stocks.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says stocks are "fairly highly valued." Warren Buffett almost certainly agrees. The valuation metric that bears his name, the Buffett indicator, which measures U.S. total stock market capitalization to gross domestic product (GDP), is at an all-time high, indicating such. But can stocks still go higher? Absolutely. Some hold the potential to deliver especially explosive gains. Here are three stocks to buy in October that c ...
Fed’s Powell says stocks are ‘fairly highly valued.’ These 3 charts show he’s right.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 00:06
Unlike other popular valuation metrics, which measure the level of the S&P 500 against expected earnings, sales, cash flow or some other metric, the CAPE ratio takes the level of the S&P 500 and divides it by the average inflation-adjusted earnings of its constituent companies over the past decade.The CAPE ratio, a popular valuation metric devised by Yale economist Robert Shiller, has been pressing higher since the bull run began. It stood just shy of 38 as of late August, a level it hasn’t visited since la ...
Warren Buffett's $344 Billion Warning That Wall Street (and Many Investors) Are Blissfully Ignoring
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-14 16:40
The legendary investor's warning is silent but unmistakable.Some railroad crossings have gates that block drivers from going through when a train is approaching. Others have flashing lights to alert drivers that a train is coming. They could drive on, but doing so is risky.The stock market doesn't have the equivalent of a gate that prevents investors from losing money when danger lies ahead. However, I think it does have something similar to a flashing light. His name is Warren Buffett.Buffett has studied t ...
The Glaring Reason Why Warren Buffett Isn't Buying His Favorite ETF Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-19 16:47
巴菲特投资理念 - 巴菲特认为大多数投资者应选择基金而非个股投资 因基金无需深入研究个股且交易便捷 [1] - 其建议非专业投资者通过低成本标普500指数基金持有跨行业企业组合 以实现长期稳健回报 [4] - 在遗嘱中指定家族90%现金继承部分需投资于"极低成本的标普500指数基金" 并推荐Vanguard产品 [4] 巴菲特最青睐的ETF - 近年伯克希尔仅持有两只ETF:SPDR标普500ETF信托(SPY)和Vanguard标普500ETF(VOO) [4] - Vanguard ETF因年费率更低获得更多资金配置 被明确视为巴菲特首选 [4][5] - 2024年四季度伯克希尔清仓Vanguard及SPDR标普500ETF 且此后未再增持 [7] 当前不买入原因 - 巴菲特指标(美股总市值/GDP)达209% 远超其2001年提出的"玩火"警戒线200% [9][10] - 标普500成分股占美股总市值约80% 显示整体市场估值处于历史高位 [10] - 类比农场投资逻辑 当前不建议在资产价格创纪录时追高 [11] 长期投资建议 - 若持有20年以上 当前买入标普500ETF仍可能获得满意回报 [12] - 需警惕新手在市场狂热期进场后因短期亏损抛售的风险 [13] - 解决方案为定期定额投资并避免因市场回调卖出 此策略可确保长期收益 [14]