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Powell Doubts December Rate Cut: Why Bitcoin’s Usual Fed Boost Could Falter This Time
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 23:47
Fed chair Jerome Powell’s uncertainty about another rate cut in December could weaken Bitcoin's usual boost from rate cuts. | Credit: Harnik/Getty Images. Key Takeaways Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said another rate cut in December is uncertain. Bitcoin’s historical tendency to rally during Fed rate cuts may weaken this cycle. Analysts warn that Bitcoin’s recent gains may be faltering. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s warning that another rate cut in December is “not guaranteed” has ra ...
Global Markets Navigate BoJ Hold, European Gains, and Strategic Corporate Moves; Trump Signals Nuclear Testing Restart
Stock Market News· 2025-10-30 11:38
日本央行货币政策 - 日本央行宣布维持短期政策利率在0.5%不变 为连续第六次会议按兵不动 [2] - 市场此前对年底前加息至0.75%有所预期 但10月加息预期因首相高岛桑苗当选而减弱 [3] - 央行正通过持续出售ETF和J-REITs发出政策逐步正常化的信号 [3] 欧洲股市表现 - 欧洲股市周四开盘走高 欧洲斯托克50指数上涨0.4% 德国DAX指数攀升0.5% [4] - 此乐观情绪受近期企业财报以及对中美领导人会晤的期待所影响 [5] - 前一交易日 欧洲斯托克50指数微涨0.03% 而DAX指数下跌0.64% [5] 美国市场前瞻 - 纳斯达克和标普500指数期货在美国市场开盘前小幅上涨 [6] - 尽管美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了12月进一步降息的预期 但周三美联储刚实施了25个基点的降息 [7] - 周三纳斯达克100指数上涨0.41%至历史新高 标普500指数基本持平 道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.16% [6] 星巴克中国业务调整 - 星巴克接近达成协议 出售其中国业务部分股权 交易估值约为50亿美元 [12][9] - 公司计划引入新投资者 同时保留“有意义的少数股权” 可能高达49% 部分报道称其正在出让控股权 [12] - 此举旨在应对来自瑞幸咖啡等本地低价连锁品牌的激烈竞争 星巴克在中国市场份额从2019年的34%降至2024年的14% [13] 地缘政治与能源动态 - 前总统特朗普宣布计划重启美国核试验 此举可能引发全球军备竞赛担忧 [8][10] - 谷歌和NextEra能源公司达成协议 重启爱荷华州核电站 以支持人工智能数据中心不断增长的能源需求 [11]
Fed cuts interest rates 25 basis points, here's what it means for markets
Youtube· 2025-10-30 04:53
Hello and welcome to Yahoo Finance's special breaking news coverage of the October Fed decision. I'm Josh Lipton here with my colleague Julie Hyman and we're just moments away now from the Fed decision and markets. You can see we are higher.Just a quick check of the popular averages here. You have the Dow up 120 points. The S&P 500, your broad gauge is about 2/10 of a percent. Your tech heavy NASDAQ it's up about 6/10 of a percent.So Julie, the big day is here. You've marked your calendar. What do we expect ...
Fed Chair Powell Says December Interest Rate Cut Is ‘Far From’ Guaranteed
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 03:45
Alex Wong / Getty Images Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that a rate cut in December wasn't a done-deal. Key Takeaways Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was "not a foregone conclusion" that the Fed will cut interest rates in December. Before Powell's press conference, financial markets had priced in a 90% chance of a December rate cut, which fell below 60% Wednesdsay afternoon. The Federal Reserve's policy committee won't necessarily cut interest rates in December, contrary to what financial ...
Powell Says December Fed Rate Cut 'Far From' Foregone Conclusion
Youtube· 2025-10-30 03:08
货币政策立场 - 政策制定面临在就业和通胀目标之间取得平衡的挑战 不存在无风险的路径[1] - 政策未预设路线 12月会议进一步降低政策利率并非既定事实[4] - 采取平衡方法以促进双重使命 政策向更中性的立场迈进一步[2] 经济风险评估 - 短期内通胀风险偏向上行 就业风险偏向下行[1] - 委员会讨论中持续面临双向风险 就业的下行风险近几个月有所增加[1][3] - 风险平衡已经发生变化 将根据未来数据 演变中的前景和风险平衡来确定适当的货币政策立场[2][3]
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement_20251030
FOMC· 2025-10-30 03:00
经济与就业状况 - 经济活动以温和速度扩张 [1] - 今年以来就业增长放缓 失业率略有上升但仍保持低位 [1] - 通胀自年初以来有所上升 并维持在较高水平 [1] 货币政策委员会目标与风险评估 - 委员会长期目标是实现最大就业和2%的通胀率 [2] - 经济前景不确定性升高 委员会注意到就业方面的下行风险在最近几个月有所增加 [2] 联邦基金利率调整 - 委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点至3-3/4%到4% [3] - 在考虑对联邦基金利率目标区间进行进一步调整时 委员会将仔细评估后续数据、不断变化的前景以及风险平衡 [3] 资产负债表政策 - 委员会决定于12月1日结束其总规模证券持有量的缩减 [3] - 从12月1日开始 在拍卖中将美联储持有的所有国债本金支付进行展期 [8] - 从12月1日开始 将美联储持有的所有机构证券的本金支付再投资于国债 [8] - 10月和11月机构债务和机构抵押贷款支持证券本金支付超过每月350亿美元上限的部分将再投资于国债 [8] - 10月和11月国债本金支付超过每月50亿美元上限的部分将在拍卖中展期 [8] 公开市场操作细节 - 进行隔夜回购协议操作 最低投标利率为4.0% 总操作限额为5000亿美元 [8] - 进行隔夜逆回购协议操作 报价利率为3.75% 每个交易对手每日限额为1600亿美元 [8] 准备金利率与贴现率调整 - 美联储理事会一致批准将准备金余额利率下调至3.90% [8] - 美联储理事会一致批准将主要信贷利率下调25个基点至4.0% [8] 政策投票情况 - Jerome H Powell等10位成员投票赞成此次货币政策行动 [6] - Stephen I Miran投票反对 其倾向于在此次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点 [6] - Jeffrey R Schmid投票反对 其倾向于在此次会议上维持联邦基金利率目标区间不变 [6]
The Bank of Canada signaled it has emptied its toolbox to help an economy hurting from the trade row with the U.S.
WSJ· 2025-10-30 02:44
The central bank signaled it has emptied its toolbox to help an economy hurting from the trade row with the U.S. ...
Stocks Tumble as Powell Cites 'Strongly Differing' Views About December Meeting
Barrons· 2025-10-30 02:41
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Oct. 29, 2025: Stocks and Bonds Take a Hit Last Updated: 4 hours ago Josh Schafer Stocks quickly dipped on Wednesday afternoon as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials had "strongly differing views about how to proceed" with monetary policy in December. "A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion, far from it," Powell said. The S&P 500 fell nearly 0.4% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.3%. The Nasdaq C ...
Bank of America reconsiders gold forecast after tumble
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 02:15
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s tariffs are flowing through corporate supply chains, and companies are increasingly passing along some of those costs to consumers. In September, the Consumer Price Index showed inflation increased by 3% year over year, up from 2.3% in April before most tariffs were enacted.The Washington, D.C., shutdown has put the kibosh on the September jobs data, but August unemployment of 4.3% was the highest since 2021. Challenger, Gray, & Christmas data show that employers have lai ...
Fed cuts rates for the second time this year, will end balance sheet run-off in December
CNBC· 2025-10-30 02:02
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at a news conference at the Federal Reserve headquarters, following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in Washington, DC, on Sept. 17, 2025.The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its second straight interest rate cut, a widely expected move that came despite little recent visibility on the economy due to the government shutdown.By a 10-2 vote, the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee lowered its benchmark overnight borrowing rate to a ra ...