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中原证券晨会聚焦-20250709
中原证券· 2025-07-09 08:50
报告核心观点 报告围绕财经要闻、宏观策略、行业公司等多方面展开分析,指出中国经济温和复苏,A 股市场震荡上行,各行业表现分化,建议关注中报业绩超预期且估值合理的成长标的,以及消费、红利资产、光伏、新材料等行业投资机会 [8][9][15] 财经要闻 - 特朗普谈关税谈判,8 月 1 日截止日期非百分百确定,若有不同方案他会持开放态度 [5][8] - 33 家建筑类企业发"反内卷"倡议书,推动行业转型,摒弃"内卷式"竞争 [5][8] - 国家发改委新增下达 100 亿元中央预算内投资,开展以工代赈行动促重点群体就业增收 [5][8] 宏观策略 市场分析 - 成长、金融电力、金融游戏等行业领涨 A 股,市场震荡上行或小幅震荡,当前 A 股市盈率处于近三年中位数平均水平,成交金额处于近三年日均成交量中位数区域上方,建议关注中报业绩超预期且估值合理的成长标的,短期市场或稳步震荡上行,需关注政策、资金和外盘变化 [8][13][14] 月度策略 - 国务院和陆家嘴论坛举措提升金融市场开放程度,推动金融创新与科技融合,优化市场结构,增强金融机构竞争力和我国科技实力与产业转型,建议关注消费与红利资产 [9] 周度策略 - 涵盖全国、河南经济与政策、债券和股票市场、券商板块等运行跟踪及投资参考,建议关注金融、电力、软件开发等行业投资机会 [14] 行业公司 光伏行业 - 6 月光伏板块震荡筑底,指数上涨 1.46%,日均成交金额 155.45 亿元,金刚线等子行业涨幅居前;光伏治沙规划出台,到 2030 年新增光伏装机 2.53 亿千瓦;多晶硅料和光伏玻璃产量反弹,后续将去产能;5 月国内新增光伏装机 92.92GW,同比增长 388.03%,出口疲软;钙钛矿叠层电池效率刷新,商业化进程加快;建议关注主辅材和新技术领域头部企业 [15][16][17] 新材料行业 - 6 月新材料指数上涨 6.91%,跑赢沪深 300 指数;基本金属多数价格上涨,半导体销售额同比增长,5 月超硬材料出口量增价减,6 月稀有气体价格稳定;维持"强于大市"评级 [19][20][21] 电力及公用事业行业 - 6 月指数表现弱于市场;5 月全社会用电量同比增长 4.4%,规上工业发电量同比增长 0.5%,太阳能单月新增装机 0.92 亿千瓦;煤炭产量增长,进口减少,价格有跌有涨,库存减少;天然气产量增长,进口减少,价格有降;三峡水情入出库流量有变化;河南电力供需良好;维持"强于大市"评级,建议关注大型水电企业 [22][23][25] 券商行业 - 5 月券商指数上半月补缺,下半月回落,全月上涨 1.02%,跑输沪深 300 指数;影响 5 月业绩的要素包括自营、经纪、两融、投行业务承压;预计 6 月业绩环比增长;建议关注三类上市券商 [27][28][29] 机器人行业 - 6 月中信机械板块上涨 1.79%,跑赢沪深 300 指数,锂电设备等子行业涨幅靠前;建议配置工程机械、高铁设备等龙头,关注人形机器人和 AIDC 主题投资 [30][31] 传媒行业 - 5 月 26 日 - 6 月 24 日传媒板块上涨 6.54%,跑赢主要指数;游戏基本面与政策面共振,AI 赋能带动价值重估;IP 衍生品市场崛起;出版业绩平稳,关注低估值高股息公司;影视关注暑期档影片票房及业绩影响 [32][33][34] 农林牧渔行业 - 5 月农林牧渔指数上涨 2.22%,跑赢对标指数,动保板块涨幅居前;生猪价格环比微跌,供应充足;白羽鸡苗和肉鸡价格有变化,养殖利润有望释放;宠物食品出口量增额有变化,相关上市公司有望受益 [36][37][38] 汽车行业 - 截至 6 月 20 日汽车行业指数下跌 3.31%,跑输沪深 300 指数;5 月汽车产销同环比双增,出口量增长,新能源汽车产销快速增长;维持"强于大市"评级,关注政策和智能化进展 [39][40][41] 证券行业半年度策略 - 资本市场平稳运行是政策主基调;2024 年证券行业营收和净利回升,2025 年一季度上市券商营收和归母净利增幅扩大;预计 2025 年经纪、自营、投行、利息业务改善,资管业务压力加大;维持"同步大市"评级,建议关注三类券商 [43][44][45] 有色金属及新材料行业半年度策略 - 黄金配置优势凸显,建议关注紫金矿业等企业;铝行业供需偏紧,建议关注云铝股份等企业;超硬材料传统需求收缩,功能性金刚石有潜力,建议关注国机精工等企业;润滑油添加剂国产替代加速,建议关注瑞丰新材;上调行业评级为"强于大市",建议关注黄金、铝板块 [46][47][48] 重点数据更新 限售股解禁明细 - 2025 年 7 月 8 - 10 日多家公司有限售股解禁,如天承科技、特锐德等 [50][51] 沪深港通前十大活跃个股明细 - 2025 年 7 月 8 日 A 股十大活跃个股包括工业富联、天风证券等,有成交金额、收盘价和涨跌幅数据 [52] 新股申购和 IPO 信息 - 文档提及相关信息,但未给出具体内容 [52] 近期报告 - 近期报告涵盖市场分析、月度策略、行业月报等多方面,涉及张刚、徐至等多位作者 [53][54][56]
Delixy Holdings Limited Announces Pricing of Initial Public Offering
Globenewswire· 2025-07-09 08:25
文章核心观点 新加坡公司Delixy Holdings Limited宣布首次公开募股定价,预计7月9日在纳斯达克资本市场开始交易,所得款项将用于业务拓展等方面 [1] 公司基本信息 - 公司为新加坡公司,主要从事石油相关产品贸易,业务覆盖东南亚、东亚和中东多国,原油贸易是核心业务 [6] - 公司利用客户和供应商关系及行业专业知识提供增值服务,具备融资能力 [6] 首次公开募股情况 - 此次发行200万股普通股,发行价每股4美元,公司发售135万股,出售股东发售65万股 [1] - 公司预计从此次发行中获得总毛收入540万美元,出售股东和转售股东出售股份所得款项公司不收取 [1] - 发行预计7月10日左右完成,需满足惯例成交条件 [1] - 发行以包销形式进行,Bancroft Capital, LLC担任独家主承销商 [3] 募集资金用途 - 用于扩大产品供应、加强市场地位、进行战略收购和业务合作、一般营运资金和公司用途 [2] 注册与文件获取 - 与此次发行相关的F - 1表格注册声明已提交美国证券交易委员会并于7月8日生效 [4] - 最终招股说明书可从Bancroft Capital, LLC获取,也可通过美国证券交易委员会网站获取 [4] 联系方式 - 媒体咨询可联系Delixy Holdings Limited投资者关系部或Ascent Investor Relations LLC [9]
IOVA 6-DAY DEADLINE ALERT: Iovance's (IOVA) Promising Cell Therapy Falters Triggering UBS Downgrades and Investor Lawsuit – Hagens Berman
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-07-09 07:08
SAN FRANCISCO, July 08, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Biotechnology firm Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: IOVA) announced a significant leadership transition, confirming the resignation of Chief Financial Officer Jean-Marc Bellemin, effective July 10, 2025. Mr. Bellemin, who assumed the CFO role in November 2020, is reportedly departing to pursue other endeavors, according to a regulatory filing. Bellemin’s exit comes at a tumultuous time, as the company is grappling with a recent commercial setback for its ...
Agnico Eagle: Top Buy And Hold Miner As Gold Rises With Monetary Volatility
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-09 07:07
Since last May, I have had a bullish view on the gold miner Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM ), as detailed in " Agnico Eagle Mines: Undervalued Miner With Lower Risks As Gold Prices Soar ". Although my outlook on goldHarrison is a financial analyst who has been writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has closely followed the market for over a decade. He has professional experience in the private equity, real estate, and economic research industry. Harrison also has an academic background in financial economet ...
Truist: A 7.0 Score in a Competitive Banking Landscape
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-09 07:00
Explore the exciting world of Truist Financial Corporation (TFC 0.58%) with our expert analysts in this Motley Fool Scoreboard episode. Check out the video below to gain valuable insights into market trends and potential investment opportunities!*Stock prices used were the prices of Jun. 4, 2025. The video was published on Jul. 8, 2025. ...
Tesla Was Ready For Q2 China Comeback — But It Didn't Happen
Benzinga· 2025-07-09 06:30
特斯拉交付量下滑 - 公司第二季度全球汽车交付量同比下降13 5% 连续两个季度同比下滑[1] - 中国市场第二季度交付量环比下降4 3% 同比下降11 7% 至128,803辆[2] 中国市场表现 - 尽管推出Model Y改款车型并提供折扣 但未能扭转销售下滑趋势[3] - 公司曾预期改款和促销将提振需求 但实际效果未达预期[5] - 第二季度在中国市场针对Model 3/Y提供0利率贷款 创折扣力度纪录[5] 竞争环境分析 - 中国作为全球最大电动车市场之一 对特斯拉至关重要但面临激烈竞争[4] - 小鹏、小米等本土品牌以更低价格冲击Model Y市场份额[6] 股价表现 - 公司股价年内累计下跌21 5% 最新收盘价297 81美元[6] - 52周股价波动区间为182-488 54美元[6]
Flagstar Financial: New Headwinds For New York Real Estate
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-09 06:01
Conservative Income Portfolio targets the best value stocks with the highest margins of safety. The volatility of these investments is further lowered using the best priced options. Our Enhanced Equity Income Solutions Portfolio is designed to reduce volatility while generating 7-9% yields.On our last coverage of Flagstar Financial Inc. (NYSE: FLG ), we suggested that investors approach this defensively, via covered calls. Those covered calls would have delivered excellent results, but they still came short ...
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in AdaptHealth Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 06:01
Investors in AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Jan 16, 2026 $2.5 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also ...
Sparks And Shares Fly At Bloom Energy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-09 05:39
Bloom Energy Corporation (NYSE: BE ) is a volatile stock. Its 24-month Beta ratio is 1.85. According to Fintel, the stock has a historical implied volatility of over 71% at this time. Short interestI write for retail value investors who cannot afford to lose money but sometimes like to take a risk. I speak for free to community and school groups. I was teaching business, social/political activism, and Middle East politics to international university students in Tel Aviv b4 the pandemic hit. A college in Jer ...
BellRing Brands Schedules Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Conference Call
Globenewswire· 2025-07-09 05:00
ST. LOUIS, July 08, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- BellRing Brands, Inc. (NYSE:BRBR) today announced it will hold a conference call on Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 9:00 a.m. EDT to discuss financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 and fiscal year 2025 outlook and to respond to questions. Darcy H. Davenport, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Paul A. Rode, Chief Financial Officer, will participate in the call. BellRing also announced it plans to release its financial results for the third q ...