By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) -Market euphoria could carry U.S. stocks another 20% higher before giving way to a collapse on the scale of the 1929 crash that ushered in a global recession, according to tail-risk hedge fund Universa Investments. The benchmark S&P 500 has gained about 13% this year, hitting a fresh record high on Monday after the Federal Reserve last week cut interest rates for the first time since December. The central bank has indicated more cuts are likely as it tries to cou ...

黄金作为通胀对冲工具 - 黄金作为价值储存手段已有数千年历史 其核心吸引力在于央行无法像法定货币一样随意增发 [1] - 黄金被视为终极避险资产 与经济体或货币无关 在经济动荡或地缘政治不确定时期 投资者涌入推动价格上涨 过去12个月金价涨幅超过35% [6] - 全球最大对冲基金Bridgewater Associates创始人Ray Dalio强调黄金在稳健投资组合中的重要性 指出其是有效的多元化配置工具 [7] - 通过Goldco开设黄金IRA账户可将实物黄金纳入退休基金 享受税收优惠 最低购买金额为10,000美元 公司提供免费运输并赠送最高10%的免费白银 [8][9] 房地产作为通胀对冲工具 - 房地产是另一种有效的通胀对冲工具 通胀上升时 物业价值及租金收入往往随之增长 反映材料、劳动力和土地成本上升 [10] - 过去五年 S&P Cotality Case-Shiller美国全国房价指数上涨超过50% 反映强劲需求和有限供应 [11] - 通过Arrived等众筹平台 投资者可以低至100美元投资租赁住宅份额 无需承担物业管理责任 该平台获杰夫·贝佐斯等顶级投资者支持 [12][13] - accredited投资者可通过First National Realty Partners以50,000美元最低投资额 投资由全食超市、Kroger和沃尔玛等国家品牌租赁的杂货店锚定商业地产 采用三重净租赁降低业主成本 [14][15] 通胀背景与政策环境 - 过去五年美国消费者价格指数上涨25% 根据明尼阿波利斯联储数据 2025年的100美元购买力仅相当于1970年的12.05美元 [2] - 美联储近期降息25个基点并预示年内还有两次降息 但指出通胀有所上升并保持高位 [4] - Citadel首席执行官Ken Griffin批评前总统特朗普公开抨击美联储并施压其容忍更高通胀的行为 警告这可能削弱美联储独立性并导致严重经济损害 [3][4][5]

All-season tires can be decent in winter conditions, but may not usually be best in a place like Phoenix, where summer tires shine year round. If the stock market had seasons, it has been (mostly) summer for a long time, and that has made a tough sell for specialty funds that are designed to handle sun, rain and the occasional blizzard. So-called risk-parity funds have struggled to get much attention since just after the 2008 financial crisis — but that may be changing. The very small category of risk-par ...

I am mainly a high-growth investor, but I am starting to position my portfolio to gear towards a potential pullback in the market, whether that be in 2025 or 2026. I still am predominantly invested inMMMT Wealth is run by Oliver, a CPA working in the financial services sector mainly in private equity, hedge funds, and asset management. MMMT Wealth began in 2023 when Oliver started writing online mainly on X and Substack about investment strategies and stocks. His main aim is to gather insights from investor ...

The dispersion trade has become one of the most popular strategies among Wall Street hedge funds. Now, some investors are taking the other side of the wager. The US equity market has been deceptively calm since the start of August, with 60-day realized volatility the lowest since before the pandemic. The go-to measure of market gyrations, the Cboe Volatility Index, has been stuck below its long-term average of 20 since mid-June. But beneath the surface, individual stock prices are churning violently — Or ...

For what feels like forever, I've been waiting for a sign that Ex-US equities might begin to outperform. The valuation differences between domestic and international equities, has been so significant that I've entered positions despite the lackMy experience stems from the hedge fund industry beginning in the mid-90's, working as a Portfolio Manager, Domestic Equity Analyst and Trader. I was the Portfolio Manager of a domestic Long/Short Equity product with gross assets that peaked over 1 Billion dollars. I ...

Dan Morehead (in image) was first introduced to Bitcoin by his brother in 2011. | Credit: Steve Jennings / Stringer / Getty Images. Key Takeaways Dan Morehead created one of the first Bitcoin hedge funds in 2013. Morehead’s investment firm, Pantera Capital, pivoted to crypto on the advice of fellow Princeton alumni, Pete Briger and Mike Novogratz. Today, Pantera manages crypto and venture capital investments worth $4.7 billion. In 2013, Dan Morehead set out to pitch his network of wealthy acquaint ...

The Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday punted on finalizing a disclosure deadline for a year, delivering a win to hedge funds who won't have to comply with new reporting requirements until at earliest Oct. 2026. Wall Street's chief regulator delayed putting into effect a new obligation for investment funds to report the state of their financial positions during market turmoil for a year. They would do so under a so-called "Form PF", a confidential filing already in use for enforcement actions ...

Arrowpoint Investment Partners is planning to raise up to $400m in fresh capital by the first quarter of 2026 as part of its strategy to expand its investment teams, Bloomberg reported citing a person with knowledge of the matter. The $1.2bn firm is led by Jonathan Xiong, a former co-CEO of Millennium Management Asia. This initiative marks the first time that Arrowpoint is seeking additional funding since October last year. The firm aims to achieve $2bn in assets by the end of 2026, with some commitments ...

基金业绩表现 - Bill Aman管理的Persian Square Holdings Fund年初至今上涨33% 同期标普500指数上涨12% [1] - 过去5年Persian Square基金累计上涨127% [1] 新产品特点 - Vista Share推出名为Target 15 Activist Distribution的ETF 代码ACKY [2][10] - 该ETF复制Bill Aman的公开投资组合并叠加期权策略 [3] - 采用备兑看涨期权策略 每月目标收益率为1.25% 年化收益率达15% [3][4] - 每月支付收益 超额收益将计入基金净值 [5] - 底层持股的股息不包含在15%收益中 同样会计入基金净值 [5] 投资策略细节 - 投资组合集中度较高 包含Howard Hughes、Uber、Brookfield、Restaurant Brands和Alphabet等公司 [7] - Bill Aman以高信念长期投资著称 不频繁调仓 [8] - 采用数据驱动策略 追求稳定月度收益而非收益最大化 [5] - ETF可季度调整持仓 并能捕捉季度内的调仓变化 [9] 费用结构 - 该ETF收取95个基点的管理费 远低于对冲基金费用水平 [6] 同类产品表现 - 公司3月推出的模仿巴菲特投资策略的ETF OMAH 资产管理规模在6个月内突破5亿美元 [12] - OMAH持有21只股票证券 最大持仓为BRKB 随后是伯克希尔哈撒韦最大的20只公开交易持股 [13] - OMAH同样提供15%的年化收益率 按月支付1.25% [12] - 该产品不包含伯克希尔完全持有的非上市公司 [13]