投资策略与关注领域 - 公司密切关注封闭式基金 以寻找市场价格偏差带来的方向性和套利机会[1] - 时机对此类交易至关重要 公司提供早期访问和伴随讨论[1] 团队背景与专业能力 - 团队负责人拥有超过15年的日内交易经验 并领导一个由40名分析师组成的团队[2] - 团队基于简单易懂的金融逻辑 识别固定收益和封闭式基金中的错误定价投资[2] 服务内容与产品特点 - 服务内容包括：频繁提供错误定价的优先股和婴儿债券的标的 每周回顾超过1200只股票 进行IPO预览 提供对冲策略 管理一个积极投资组合 并设有讨论聊天室[2]

Smith is expected to start the role on Wednesday and would also serve as a board member, the government-backed mortgage provider said. ...

抵押贷款利率趋势与预测 - 资深行业分析师预测，抵押贷款利率在未来一年总体上将略有下降 [1] - 抵押贷款利率主要受10年期美国国债交易和投资者预期影响 [1] - 预测抵押贷款利率非常困难 [1] - 抵押贷款利率的趋势将取决于10年期美国国债市场的活动，该市场是抵押贷款和其他长期利率的基准 [2] - 截至12月4日，30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率为6.19% [3] - 2025年最低平均利率出现在10月30日当周，为6.17% [3] - 抵押贷款利率较一年前有所下降，但专家预计2026年不会大幅下降 [3] - 根据Realtor.com的预测，2026年抵押贷款利率预计平均为6.3% [8] - 2026年抵押贷款利率可能波动较大 [7] - 对通胀的担忧或美联储独立性可能受损，可能在2026年某些时候推高抵押贷款利率 [8] - 就业方面的坏消息或经济衰退可能性增加，可能引发抵押贷款利率周期性下跌 [8] - 如果一连串的降息在2026年刺激通胀并引发对美联储独立性的质疑，抵押贷款等长期利率甚至可能上升 [24] 美联储货币政策与利率行动 - 美联储于12月10日将短期利率下调了25个基点 [6] - 此次降息使短期联邦基金利率目标区间降至3.5%至3.75% [6] - 2025年，美联储政策委员会已三次下调短期利率 [17] - 2025年最近三次美联储会议均实施了降息 [17] - 12月的降息决定并非一致通过，有成员希望降息50个基点，也有成员希望维持利率不变 [5] - 消费者情绪谨慎和就业市场疲软为美联储在2025年进行第三次降息提供了更多空间 [7] - 美联储在声明中指出，今年就业增长放缓，失业率截至9月已逐步上升 [6] - 美联储面临来自政府的持续威胁，可能影响其利率决策的独立性 [20] - 美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的任期将于5月结束 [20] - 政府正在推动美联储进一步降息，并将提名与其意见一致的人选 [21] 经济学家对2026年利率路径的预测 - 北方信托首席经济学家预计2026年上半年只会再降息一次，幅度为25个基点 [13] - 密歇根大学经济学团队预测2026年将进行两次降息，每次25个基点，暂定在3月和6月的会议 [16] - 穆迪分析首席经济学家预计美联储将在2026年上半年再降息三次，每次25个基点 [19] - 经济学家们对2026年降息频率的预测存在分歧 [12] - 如果对失业和经济衰退的担忧加剧，利率可能会进一步下降 [7] 消费者信贷利率变动 - 美联储最近的降息意味着信用卡和房屋净值信贷额度的利率降低 [4] - 房屋净值信贷额度的平均利率目前为7.81%，低于一年前的8.55% [4] - 房屋净值信贷额度利率可能继续缓慢下行 [4] - 美联储12月降息将导致现有持卡人的利率在一两个月内下降25个基点 [22] - 由于美联储在9月和10月已各降息25个基点，大多数持卡人的信用卡利率已累计下降50个基点 [23] - 9月降息前，向新客户提供的信用卡平均利率为20.12%，目前为19.83%，下降了29个基点 [24] - 向新客户提供的全国平均信用卡利率可能不会大幅变动 [23] - 60个月期新车贷款平均利率为7.05%，低于一年前的7.59% [31] - 2026年，贷款机构推广的新车贷款平均利率可能略低于7% [31] - 美联储降息应有助于普遍降低借贷成本 [32] 经济与就业市场状况 - 2025年实际消费者支出仅年化增长1.3%，而2024年增长2.95%，典型增长应接近2% [27] - 消费者支出增长疲软，消费者情绪低迷 [18][27] - 劳动力市场数据显示劳动力市场持续逐步疲软 [17] - 9月份消费增长疲弱 [18] - 就业增长已陷入停滞，失业率虽然仍低，但在稳步上升 [19] - 经济学家将美国经济衰退的几率定在20%左右，相对较低 [15] - 如果失业率保持相对低位且股市未受严重挫折，经济仍有增长空间 [15] - 经济中存在“K型”分化：富裕家庭因股市上涨、房价升值而财富增长，而中低收入家庭则面临困境 [25][26][28] - 人工智能热潮推动了股价上涨，而工资增长放缓限制了依赖工资收入的人群的财务收益 [28] - 如果较低的利率有助于重振劳动力市场或住宅建筑行业，更依赖工资收入的家庭将受益 [29] 通胀、关税与价格前景 - 通胀仍高于美联储2%的目标 [13] - 一些专家表示，消费者应为未来的价格冲击和更高的通胀做好准备，这可能限制美联储在2026年进一步大幅降息的意愿 [11] - 2025年，许多企业通过不转嫁因关税增加的成本来缓冲冲击，但这侵蚀了利润率 [11][14] - 随着库存耗尽和新订单反映更高的关税，2026年一些商品的价格可能会上涨 [13][14] - 2026年是否会因企业转嫁关税成本而出现某些领域的价格上涨，尚不确定 [10][11] - 美国-墨西哥-加拿大贸易协定将于7月进行联合审查，目前三国间大部分贸易仍享受零关税 [12] - 反复无常的贸易政策，包括政府突然加征关税，带来了不确定性 [10] 行业影响与消费者前景 - 较低的抵押贷款利率预计将使 affordability 压力略有缓解，而房价预计将上涨2.2% [8] - 利率持续下降可能帮助一些消费者为高利率的汽车贷款和抵押贷款进行再融资，或使购房购车更负担得起 [29] - 从就业角度看，更强的汽车销售将使密歇根州工人受益 [30] - 密歇根州经济将最直接地从更多的汽车销售和生产中受益，但提振作用较小，因为降息已被广泛预期并反映在资产价格中 [33] - 富裕家庭是消费的主力，这得益于其人工智能股票持仓价值的飙升 [28] - 房价和股价的上涨主要使本就富裕的消费者受益，因为这些资产的所有权高度集中在中上层和富裕消费者手中 [28]

Estimated $15 Million in Annual Closed-Won Contracts and Expanding Late-Stage Pipeline with over 39 ProspectsLUXEMBOURG, Dec. 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. (“Altisource®” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: ASPS), a leading provider of real estate and mortgage solutions, today announced significant sales momentum in its Origination Solutions business, driven by strong demand for Lenders One® Credit (“L1 Credit”) and Lenders One® Verification (“L1 Verification”) services. The Compan ...

Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - December 16, 2025) - The FUTR Corporation (TSXV: FTRC) (OTCQB: FTRCF) (FSE: QA20) (WKN: A4165Y) (ISIN: CA3609521057) ("FUTR" or the "Company"), a pioneer in high-fidelity AI and next-generation payment infrastructure that helps consumers unlock financial value from their data, today announced that Dave Zitting, co-founder and former CEO of Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc. (PRMI), has joined the company as a Strategic Advisor. In this role, Zitting will support FUTR's e ...

Few investors have more notoriety than Bill Ackman and Michael Burry, the latter portrayed in "The Big Short."Few investors are more closely followed in the modern era of investing than Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management, the investment manager of Pershing Square Holdings, and Michael Burry, who famously made bets against the housing market before its collapse during the Great Recession. Burry, who previously ran Scion Asset Management, recently shut down his fund and launched a newsletter on ...

EL CAJON, Calif., Dec. 15, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Security National Financial Corporation (SNFC) announced today the upcoming groundbreaking ceremony for the new Mountain Vistas Mausoleum, an elegant and meaningful expansion within Singing Hills Memorial Park. The project is being spearheaded by Security National’s Funeral Homes & Cemeteries division, reaffirming the company’s commitment to developing thoughtfully designed memorial spaces for families in the San Diego region. Dedicated in 1996 after nearl ...

Michael Burry, the hedge fund manager made famous by “The Big Short,” has built a reputation for spotting asymmetric, misunderstood bets. Now that same contrarian lens is focused on government‑sponsored mortgage giants, with Burry stating that he owns both Freddie Mac (FMCC) and Fannie Mae (FNMA). He believes a relisting of their stocks could be coming sooner than many expect. This renewed interest arrives as the mortgage backdrop quietly improves. Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey show ...

“They would write fantastic offers and beautiful, heartfelt letters to the sellers, saying how much they loved and would care for these homes,” Derenne, who works as an agent with The Real brokerage, said. Yet the couple kept losing out to rival buyers.In addition to being outbid when they put offers on some properties in Milwaukee’s still-hot market, the young couple faced sellers who said they did not accept their offer because they had an FHA loan, Alex Derenne, the couple’s real-estate agent, told Marke ...

Correspondent Products, STRATMOR on Borrower Psychology; Lender Tools; DSCR Appraisal Issues in Baltimore “What happened with the DSCR appraisal issue in Baltimore earlier this year?” Good question. Baltimore is not alone: This week we have investors either pricing themselves out of, or ceasing loans from, the Philly market for certain non-owner loans.) The whole Baltimore thing seems to have quieted down, and up until recently the last news coming in October although this week along came, “Baltimore is st ...