Stocks were on track for their third straight day of losses on Thursday. Major indexes slipped, led by top tech names. Strong economic data sent yields higher, while AI bullishness waned. The record-setting rally in stocks is stumbling this week. US stocks dropped on Thursday as traders took in strong economic data, revised their expectations for Fed rate cuts, and took in wearing momentum in the AI trade. All three major US indexes slipped lower in the early morning, putting them on track for the ...

Key Points The trajectory of interest rates will have a big effect on crypto prices. New data this morning pointed to an economy on sound footing. 10 stocks we like better than XRP › Most cryptocurrencies continued to struggle today after a flash crash earlier this week that may have removed some leverage out of the space. Today, however, investors seem more focused on economic data as they continue to grapple over how many interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve will make between now and the end of ...

宏观经济表现 - 美国经济以近两年最快速度增长 GDP增长38% 较此前33%的预期有所上修[1][6] - 经济增长主要由消费者支出和商业投资推动[1][4][6] - 尽管耐用品订单整体增长29% 但增长主要由飞机订单驱动 计算机和芯片订单出现下降[4][5] 劳动力市场状况 - 劳动力市场呈现低招聘和低解雇的奇特局面[4] - 当周初请失业金人数下降至218000人[4] - 美联储官员认为劳动力市场正在降温 但总体仍保持平衡[7] 贸易与商业活动 - 贸易逆差为855亿美元 因7月进口大幅下降超过4%[5] - 进口下降部分原因是前期支出前置效应[5] - 商业投资整体增加 对GDP增长做出贡献[4][6] 美联储政策立场 - 美联储官员对经济前景不持极度悲观态度 认为经济不会崩溃[2] - 中性利率正在下移 政策需相应调整 过度限制性政策持续时间越长 经济下行风险越大[2] - 部分官员认为当前政策仅略微限制 鉴于通胀过高和劳动力市场状况 不呼吁降息[6][7]

When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, like it did in September 2025, the best sectors to watch are those tied to consumer spending. Lower borrowing costs ease credit card pressures and free up cash for discretionary purchases. This is why airline stocks have seen such strong momentum in recent quarters, a trend that is likely to continue in the short term. Among exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF NASDAQ: FTXR has delivered a robust 11.6% return to its shareholder ...

U.S. stocks declined for a second straight day, and the futures market was marginally down before the opening bell in New York this morning. Yet even if the S&P 500 notches a third straight day of declines today, traders think it will eventually swing higher. This is despite a feeling among analysts that equity valuations are historically high and the market is being driven by a handful of tech companies. The S&P 500 sank for a second straight day yesterday, but no one’s complaining—it is still up nearl ...

By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. stocks have hit a string of record highs with minimal turbulence over the past few months, but investors say the rally could be undermined by persistently high inflation, possible earnings disappointments and elevated valuations. The S&P 500 has posted 25 record closing highs over the past three months and the benchmark index is approaching a third anniversary of a bull market that began on October 12, 2022. Stocks shook off fears that President Donald Trump ...

货币政策预期 - 美国利率期货市场定价显示10月货币政策会议降息25个基点的概率为91.9%，维持利率不变的概率为8.1% [1] - 旧金山联储主席戴利表示可能需要进一步降息，但政策调整应谨慎进行 [1] - 美国财政部长贝森特对美联储主席鲍威尔未明确降息议程表示失望，期望年底前降息至少100至150个基点 [2] 美国经济数据 - 美国8月新屋销售意外环比飙升20.5%，达到80万套的三年半高点，远高于预期的65万套 [2] - 经济学家预计美国第二季度GDP年化增长率终值为3.3% [5] - 预计8月耐用品订单环比下降0.3%，核心耐用品订单环比下降0.1% [5] - 预计8月成屋销售为396万套，批发库存环比增长0.2%，初请失业金人数为23.3万 [6] 美股市场表现与个股动态 - 华尔街三大股指收跌，Freeport-McMoRan因下调第三季度铜和黄金销售指引并宣布不可抗力而暴跌近17% [3] - Bloom Energy因被Jefferies从持有下调至弱于大盘评级而暴跌超10%，Adobe因被摩根士丹利从增持下调至持股观望而下跌超2% [3] - Marvell Technology因董事会批准新的50亿美元股票回购计划而上涨超7%，成为纳斯达克100指数中涨幅最大的股票 [3] - 12月标普500电子迷你期货下跌0.28%，纳斯达克100电子迷你期货下跌0.40% [4] - 盘前交易中，芯片股走低，Qualcomm和Micron Technology下跌近2% [14] - 加密货币相关股票下跌，Oracle因被Rothschild & Co. Redburn以卖出评级和175美元目标价首次覆盖而下跌超2% [15] - Opendoor Technologies因Jane Street披露持有5.9%股份而盘前上涨超7%，Intel因被Seaport Research从卖出上调至中性评级而上涨超3% [16] 欧洲市场与公司动态 - 欧洲斯托克50指数下跌0.49%，医疗保健和建筑股表现疲软 [9] - 西门子医疗因美国商务部宣布对进口个人防护装备等产品启动新的国家安全调查而下跌超4% [9] - 8月欧元区银行贷款增长加速至多年高点 [9] - 德国消费者信心预期小幅改善，五大领先经济研究所将2025年经济增长预测上调至0.2% [10] - 瑞士央行维持关键利率在零水平，结束了连续六次降息 [10] - H & M Hennes & Mauritz因第三季度利润超预期而暴涨超9% [10] - 德国10月GfK消费者信心指数为-22.3，强于预期的-23.3，法国9月消费者信心指数为87，符合预期 [11] 亚太市场与公司动态 - 亚洲股市涨跌互现，中国上证综指收盘下跌0.01%，日本日经225指数收盘上涨0.27% [11] - 中国银行和保险股表现不佳，半导体股回吐早盘涨幅，稀土股因七国集团和欧盟考虑设定价格下限以促进生产的报道而上涨 [11] - 美国和中国官员将在美国财政部举行工作人员级贸易和经济技术会谈 [11] - 比亚迪因ACEA数据显示其上月在欧盟的新车销量是去年8月的三倍，超过特斯拉而上涨超1% [11] - 日本日经225指数因日元走弱提振出口股需求而收高并创下历史新高，汽车、电子和银行股上涨 [12] - 日本7月央行会议纪要显示一些委员主张未来恢复加息，市场普遍预期日本央行今年将再次加息 [12] - 日本8月企业服务价格指数同比上涨2.7%，弱于预期的2.9% [13] 今日关注焦点 - 市场关注美联储官员的讲话，包括芝加哥、堪萨斯城、纽约、达拉斯联储主席及多位美联储理事 [7] - 今日财报焦点公司包括Costco、Accenture、Jabil Circuit和CarMax等 [7][16]

By Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar strengthened against major peers including the euro and yen on Thursday following U.S. economic data, which would likely restrain the future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The Commerce Department reported that U.S. gross domestic product rose by an upwardly revised rate of 3.8% from April through June, higher than 3.3% initially reported. Economists polled by Reuters did not expect the rate to be revised. The dollar strengthened 0.58% to 149. ...

By Nicole Jao NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices steadied on Thursday after hitting a seven-week high in the previous session as Russia moved to restrict fuel exports until the end of the year, but the gains were limited by new U.S. economic data that tempered optimism around further interest rate cuts. Brent futures settled 11 cents, or 0.16%, higher at $69.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures lost 1 cent, or 0.02%, to $64.98. Both benchmarks gained 2.5% on Wednesday to reach their highes ...

市场表现与趋势 - 三大主要指数均呈上涨趋势 道指接近历史高点仅差300点 纳斯达克指数较历史高点低约200点 标普500指数上涨约0.2%接近6,699点记录高位[1] - 市场情绪受多重因素驱动 包括对更多降息的预期 AI交易乐观情绪 以及美光科技和阿里巴巴的利好消息刺激[1] - 纳斯达克指数早盘多数成分股上涨 苹果和博通小幅下跌 但英伟达保持上涨势头[1] 公司动态与业绩 - 美光科技业绩超预期 营收和盈利均超越市场预期 六家机构上调目标价 Rosenblad证券将目标价上调至250美元[1] - 阿里巴巴股价早盘上涨约9% 公司承诺投入数十亿美元构建高性能AI模型 并与英伟达建立合作伙伴关系[1][2] - 英伟达股价年内上涨超过30% 近期与OpenAI和阿里巴巴达成关键交易 社区投资兴趣显著增加[4][5][6] AI行业投资与扩张 - AI行业资本支出持续增长 美光科技和阿里巴巴等公司加大投入 华尔街对AI基础设施增长持乐观态度[1][2] - 英伟达估值相对合理 基于下一财年预估数据的市盈率为28倍 市场平均目标价为214美元 潜在上涨空间约20%[7][15] - AI技术应用范围扩大 不仅影响芯片行业 还波及公用事业和工业领域 如Constellation Energy和Vistra等公司受益[2] 劳动力市场与宏观经济 - 美联储主席鲍威尔提到AI可能对劳动力市场产生影响 尤其是应届毕业生就业率较低 但尚未确定为主要原因[2] - 利率削减可能无法解决AI对劳动力市场的冲击 企业因AI替代或关税不确定性而减少招聘 导致劳动力市场疲软[2] - 美联储内部对降息幅度存在分歧 莫兰支持50基点降息 鲍曼则关注劳动力市场风险[3] 加密货币市场动态 - Tether计划通过私募筹集高达200亿美元资金 公司估值可能达到500亿美元 与OpenAI估值相当[3] - 稳定币与美国国债挂钩 可能对国债市场产生支持作用 提供不同于比特币或比特币ETF的投资机会[3] 其他行业观察 - 芯片otle面临短期销售疲软和流量驱动挑战 尽管维持市场份额 但门店利润和回报可能受压[3] - 市场存在泡沫讨论 但当前基本面仍支持股价 盈利和自由现金流未出现脱节 尚未达到泡沫状态[21][22] - 大量资金滞留场外 货币市场和储蓄规模达26万亿美元 投资者等待利率明确后入场 可能推动市场进一步上涨[26][27]