Prediction markets

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Intercontinental Exchange to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-07 21:37
New York Stock Exchange owner Intercontinental Exchange is investing up to $2 billion in Polymarket and will partner with the company on future tokenization initiatives. Polymarket lets users buy and sell shares of potential event outcomes, with every trade matched peer-to-peer through smart contracts. The company, which was founded in 2020, has been sought out by people interested in expressing their opinions on current events, politics, business moves, culture and sports. Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO ...
Prediction markets: What they are and how they work
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-07 21:00
Have an opinion about the S&P 500’s closing price at the end of 2025? Or whether Treasury note yields will hit 5% this year? Prediction markets give you the chance to put money on those event outcomes and earn payouts for being right. Learn how prediction markets work, what the risks are, and which platforms are available in the U.S. Learn more: How to start investing: A 6-step guide Prediction market basics Prediction markets are exchanges where people can bet on event outcomes. The bets are usually ...
Hopes dim in prediction markets as traders bet government shutdown will drag on for weeks
Fox Business· 2025-10-06 23:06
Traders in online prediction markets expect the federal government shutdown to last more than two weeks, signaling waning confidence in a near-term deal as negotiations in Washington remain at a standstill. Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi give a 64% chance that the government shutdown will last just over 21 days. The trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on this market, sits just north of $2.5 million. Meanwhile, 72% of traders on Polymarket expect the shutdown to last at least ...
Why Investors Were Piling Into Robinhood Markets Stock This Week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-03 21:32
股价表现 - Robinhood Markets股票在当周周五早盘前累计上涨近20% [1] 业务发展 - 公司计划在美国以外的国际市场推出预测市场服务 [2] - 公司美国业务已通过与专业公司合作提供预测市场合约交易 [3] - 潜在扩张区域可能包括英国和欧盟 [3] - 公司强调目标是确保在全球各地推出符合监管要求的产品 [3] 分析师观点 - 摩根士丹利分析师Michael Cyprys将公司股票目标价从每股110美元上调至146美元 [4] - 分析师对公司的投资评级维持"均配"不变 [4]
DraftKings Price Target Cut To $43 At Benchmark, Buy Rating Maintained
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-03 05:26
Benchmark lowered its price target on DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ: DKNG) to $43.00 from $53.00 while maintaining a Buy rating. Analysts said they remained constructive on the company’s long-term growth opportunity, underpinned by its strong product, expanding user base, and industry tailwinds. However, they flagged potential near-term headwinds in the third quarter from unfavorable sports outcomes, elevated promotional spending, and a challenging macro backdrop. Benchmark also noted investor sentiment had been ...
Robinhood Explores Launching Prediction Markets Outside US
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 00:00
The Robinhood logo on a laptop cpmputer arranged in the Brooklyn borough of New York, US, on Monday, May 8, 2023. Robinhood Markets Inc. is scheduled to release earnings figures on May 10. Photographer: Gabby Jones/Bloomberg Robinhood Markets Inc. is exploring an expansion of its prediction markets product to countries outside of the US, a move that would broaden the reach of the already fast-growing and often controversial industry. The brokerage has been speaking to overseas regulators like the UK’s Fi ...
Robinhood Shares Climb 12% on Growth in Prediction-Market Trades
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 03:56
(Bloomberg) — Robinhood Markets Inc. shares rose over 12% after Chief Executive Officer Vladimir Tenev said the online-stock brokerage has made strong inroads into prediction markets, where people wager on elections, sporting matches and other widely followed events. The executive said in a post on X on Monday that Robinhood customers have now transacted more than 4 billion of such event contracts, 2 billion of which were in the third quarter alone. Most Read from Bloomberg Betting on prediction market ...
Market Faces $1.5 Trillion Downside If Trump Fires Fed Chair Powell, Study Warns
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 05:03
Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images President Donald Trump has lobbed a series of threats and criticisms at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this year Key Takeaways President Trump has repeatedly attacked Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this year, even suggesting he could fire him. A new study links prediction markets and stock prices to estimate the potential market fallout if Powell were fired. Researchers focused on a two-hour window on July 16, between the initial reports suggesting Powell mig ...
Why This Move Could Be a Game Changer for Robinhood's Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-11 17:00
Robinhood now offers prediction markets for the NFL and college football.Retail investors love a good growth story. And one of the best ones in recent years has been that of Robinhood Markets (HOOD -0.76%). The fintech company's trading platform has made investing fun and exciting for young investors, which has led to tremendous growth for the business. Last week, investors also learned that the stock will be joining the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.30%). But that doesn't mean that the business has grown big and stale, ...
Robinhood Captures a Spot on S&P 500
PYMNTS.com· 2025-09-08 04:36
指数调整 - S&P 500指数成分股调整 Robinhood Markets取代凯撒娱乐 9月22日生效[1][2] - 其他成分股变动 AppLovin取代MarketAxess Emcor取代Enphase Energy[2] 公司业务转型 - 业务模式转变 从免佣金零售交易平台转向多元化金融平台[4] - 加密货币业务扩张 第二季度加密相关产品收入同比增长98%至1.6亿美元[4] - 交易总量表现 加密货币名义交易量达350亿美元[4] 收购与整合 - 收购Bitstamp交易所 6月完成收购 获得欧洲市场50多个监管许可证[5] - 收购协同效应 第二季度70亿美元加密交易量来自Bitstamp机构客户[5] 法律争议 - 预测市场业务诉讼 在新泽西州和内华达州被起诉事件合约业务[5] - 监管立场分歧 公司主张联邦法律管辖 州政府认定属于体育博彩[6][7] - 法律冲突本质 州赌博法与联邦商品监管之间的管辖权争议[7]