Workflow
Valuation
icon
搜索文档
'Fast Money' traders talk stocks retreating on valuation fears
Youtube· 2025-11-05 09:12
seeming to pay attention to valuations now and where do we go from here guy. >> Well, this is a special day for a myriad of reasons which we'll discuss later and it's great to have Katie here on a technical day but we have been pointing out I think now correctly that Bitcoin has been trying to tell the broader market something. You obviously saw what happened there and we have thought collectively that the volatility index was going to continue to be a thing and here we are at 19 a little bit north of 19 an ...
Seeing profit taking in all areas of the market right now, says Bespoke's Paul Hickey
Youtube· 2025-11-05 07:39
How concerned should investors really be. Joining us now is bespoke Investment Group co-founder Paul Hickeyi and CNBC senior markets commentator Mike Sani. It's great to have you both here.Paul, I'm going to kick this one off with you because we have been beating the drum on the poor breath in the market here. We've also been beating the drama on how expensive stocks look particularly tech stocks and and stocks tied to AI. The other thing we perhaps haven't been talking about as much is the fact that liquid ...
US stocks slide as AI valuation concerns and corporate developments weigh on markets
Invezz· 2025-11-05 05:04
Written by Ananthu C UAnanthu C. false Trading Ideas Stock Market Crypto Forex Economic Commodity Video World US stocks slide as AI valuation concerns and corporate developments weigh on markets US stocks fell sharply on Tuesday as weakness in artificial intelligence-related shares dragged broader indexes lower, while investors weighed corporate earnings, commentary from Wall Street executives, and fresh signs of caution across technology and consumer sectors. The S&P 500 declined 1.17%, the Nasdaq Composit ...
Is Palantir's valuation justified?
Youtube· 2025-11-05 02:37
公司业绩表现 - 第三季度业绩表现非常出色,获得多数卖方分析师的积极评价 [1] - 美国商业收入同比增长121%,整体美国市场增长77% [3] - 运营利润率大幅扩张,本季度超过50%,而去年同期为34% [12] - 公司展现出114的规则,并产生强劲的自由现金流 [3] 估值争议 - 估值达到83倍2026年销售额,被描述为极端水平 [2] - 相对于基础设施软件行业其他公司,估值高出约5倍 [2] - 当前交易价格为200多倍市盈率和85倍销售额 [6] - 市场关注点在于投资者已将多少增长预期提前计入当前估值 [15] 业务运营情况 - 产品商业模式和执行能力持续获得分析师认可 [2] - 欧洲地区增长因经济停滞而受到抑制 [6] - 政府收入增长略有放缓,从53%降至52%季度环比 [4] - 持续的政府停摆可能降低新合同签订数量 [4] 市场反应与投资者观点 - 股价成为标普500指数中最大的拖累因素之一 [5] - 该股已成为多空双方激烈交锋的战场股 [18] - 部分投资者基于动量因素进行投资,某投资者自2024年1月以16美元买入后获得1100%收益 [9] - 建议投资者无需因市场热议而急于建立头寸,可等待市场消化极端估值 [18][19] 管理层观点与市场评论 - 首席执行官Alex Karp反驳做空者观点,认为做空芯片和本体论是疯狂行为 [4] - 公司拥有8.8亿美元股票回购授权 [16] - 著名投资者Michael Bur披露持有近10亿美元看跌期权 [20] - 尽管公司业务表现强劲,但管理层对估值批评显得防御性过强 [15]
RBC Capital Markets' Lori Calvasina: Market is dealing with 'sticker shock'
Youtube· 2025-11-05 02:25
More on the markets. We are joined here at Post9 by RBC Capital Markets head of US equity strategy Lori Calvacina. I mean, some of the reasons cited today, valuation concerns, you know, earnings that aren't coming in as perfectly as the market is set up.Anything concerning to you. >> So, look, we've had a short-term cautious view. We've been constructive on the year ahead, and we've said be wary of a 5 to 10% type draw down, and frankly, that could be closer to five than 10.Um, but I think we've had sort of ...
Palantir slides on valuation concerns, AMD and Qualcomm earnings preview
Youtube· 2025-11-05 01:56
Welcome to Market Catalyst. I'm Julie Hyman. We are 30 minutes into the US trading day.Let's get to the three market catalyst we're watching this hour. First up, Palunteer weighing on stocks as concerns rise over sky-high valuations. We'll dig into those results ahead. Plus, we'll hone in on Uber and Spotify as those companies report results.And we'll hear from Fed Governor Austin Goulby as he cast doubt on the odds of a December rate cut. Taking a look at the major averages here, we definitely have a risko ...
Michael Burry bets against Palantir and Nvidia, govt shutdown poised to be longest ever
Youtube· 2025-11-04 23:52
Palanteer公司业绩与估值 - 第三季度销售额超出分析师预期并上调全年收入展望[2] - 公司股价今年迄今飙升超过170%周一收盘创历史纪录[2] - 盘前交易中股价下跌超过8%主要由于市场对其高估值的担忧[9] 该股市盈率高于微软、谷歌和英伟达等大型科技同行[11] - 公司业务模式为利用人工智能技术整合多源数据为政府和企业客户提供软件解决方案[10][15][16][17] 美国政府是其最大收入来源地区[14] 人工智能行业与市场情绪 - 知名对冲基金经理Michael Burry披露对Palanteer和英伟达的看跌期权押注涉及约500万股Palanteer(价值约9.12亿美元)和100万股英伟达(价值约1.87亿美元)[1][19][20] - 华尔街主要机构高管对高估值发出警告摩根士丹利CEO预计可能出现10%-15%的健康回调高盛CEO也持类似观点[24][25] - 有观点指出人工智能领域存在循环融资风险例如多家公司向OpenAI提供资金而这些资金又被计入未来收入预期任何融资中断可能引发系统性风险[61] 其他重点公司动态 - Uber第三季度运营收入未达预期其调整后盈利指引也低于分析师预估股价承压[2] - 辉瑞第二次上调2025年盈利预测并启动70亿美元成本削减计划但其收购肥胖症初创公司Metsa的计划面临诺和诺德竞购的挑战[3] - 特斯拉股东挪威主权财富基金反对公司提出的万亿美元CEO薪酬方案认为金额过大特斯拉董事会警告若方案被拒马斯克可能离职[41][42] - 阿彻丹尼尔斯米德兰第三季度运营利润下降19%并连续第三个季度下调全年每股收益指引从4美元降至3.25-3.50美元受关税战和生物燃料政策延迟影响[43] - BP第三季度利润超预期得益于产量增加和炼油利润率提升公司预计2025年投资及其他收益将超过40亿美元[44] 宏观经济与政治环境 - 美国政府停摆进入第35天追平历史最长纪录[4][27] 停摆影响显现包括低收入人群食品福利支付受阻及机场航班延误加剧[5][29] - 参议院将就短期拨款法案进行第14次投票目前两党间尚未取得突破性进展[4] 但有迹象显示低级别谈判可能取得进展[28]
Drawdown Possibility "Blip on the Radar," HUM & CCJ & "Under the Radar" Earnings
Youtube· 2025-11-04 23:30
市场回调观点 - 主要金融机构CEO认为10%至15%的牛市回调是正常且健康的市场现象,有助于消除泡沫并重新评估估值[2][3] - 长期投资者保持充分投资是关键,未来1至3年的回调可能带来长期机会[3] - 尽管市场近期出现回调,但标普500指数技术格局仍保持高点更高、低点更高的态势,并守住20日移动平均线[5] 市场动态与指标 - 回购市场利率飙升引发对金融机构资本需求的担忧,高收益信用利差开始扩大[4] - 信用利差扩大通常导致股市波动,市场出现抛售轮动,但波动率已从高位回落[5][6] - 逆回购市场活动开始回落到下行水平,这可能带动债务波动率下降,进而导致股市走低[6] - VIX波动率指数目前处于18水平,市场在经历季节性疲软的9月和10月后进入传统表现良好的11月[7] 政府停摆与美联储政策 - 政府停摆进入第35天,导致部分经济数据延迟发布,但市场对数据缺失暂时反应平淡[9][10] - 停摆对机场和小型社区的实质性影响可能在感恩节期间加剧,促使立法者重返谈判桌[10][11][12] - 美联储拥有私有化数据,官员指出无需政府月度就业报告也能观察到招聘放缓迹象,劳动力市场可能出现裂痕[13] - 美联储基金期货显示市场仍预期12月可能降息,当前政策焦点更集中于劳动力市场而非通胀担忧[14][15] 行业与公司焦点 - 保险公司Humana与United Health基本面结构不同,其在Medicare和Part D计划领域看到新客户增长和市场份额提升机会[17][18] - Humana为低贝塔交易,今日上涨约1%,技术形态呈现旗形或看涨旗形格局,若财报强劲可能带动健康保险板块整体上涨[19][20] - 铀业公司Cameco因与美国政府和西屋电气的合作受到关注,其财报可能预示更多全球政府合作伙伴关系,俄罗斯铀供应中断可能对其哈萨克斯坦和加拿大业务形成顺风[21][22] 加密货币市场 - 比特币价格目前承压于104,000美元水平,未能突破110,000美元阻力位[23][24] - 月度图表显示MACD指标可能出现看跌交叉,暗示价格或回调至88,700美元的20月移动平均线[25] - 加密货币仍是股市波动性的领先指标,比特币在标普500回调前已显现疲态,若未能突破150,000美元且出现看跌技术信号,可能面临显著回调[25][26]
Strategy Inc (MSTR) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 23:01
Strategy (MSTR) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Shares of this business software company have returned -26.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change. The Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Strategy belongs, has lost 3.8% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?Whi ...
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK-A) Showcases Strong Financial Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-03 22:05
公司概况 - 伯克希尔哈撒韦公司是一家由沃伦·巴菲特领导的多行业综合控股公司,业务范围涵盖保险、铁路、公用事业和零售业[1] - 公司以其独特的结构、领导力以及强劲的财务状况和战略性收购而闻名[1] 财务业绩 - 2025年10月31日公布的每股收益为9,378.93美元,超过市场预估的8,573.50美元[2] - 营业收入为949.7亿美元,略低于市场预估的956.2亿美元[2] - 营业利润同比增长34%,主要驱动力来自保险和铁路部门[3] - 归属于股东的净利润增至近308亿美元,去年同期为263亿美元[3] - 强劲的业绩表现归因于保险承保以及服务/零售板块的优异表现[2][3] 估值指标 - 公司股价在下跌10.6%后,估值具有吸引力[4] - 市盈率为16.36倍,市销率为2.74倍[4] - 企业价值与销售额比率为2.81,企业价值与经营现金流比率为38.52[4] 财务状况 - 资产负债表稳健,持有巨额现金储备3600亿美元[5] - 保守的债务使用策略,债务权益比率低至0.19[5] - 流动性强劲,流动比率高达46.06,确保能有效覆盖短期负债[5]