Traders in online prediction markets expect the federal government shutdown to last more than two weeks, signaling waning confidence in a near-term deal as negotiations in Washington remain at a standstill. Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi give a 64% chance that the government shutdown will last just over 21 days. The trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on this market, sits just north of $2.5 million. Meanwhile, 72% of traders on Polymarket expect the shutdown to last at least ...

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices Inc., a U.S.-based semiconductor company, surged in premarket trading Monday morning after the U.S.-based semiconductor company announced a deal to provide computing power for OpenAI’s next-generation AI systems. The companies described the deal, announced on Monday, as a "win-win," saying it will enable very large-scale AI deployments and advance the entire ecosystem.AMD shares are up more than 35% as of 8:30 a.m. ET. AMD agreed to provide enough of its graphics processing ...

黄金价格走势与预测 - 黄金价格持续上涨且无放缓迹象，市场预期将突破每盎司4000美元的历史里程碑，在当前的FOMO环境中，这被视为一个时间问题而非是否会发生的问题，预计在2025年第四季度或2026年初前突破该水平的概率为75% [1] - 黄金价格已连续七周上涨，创下每盎司3,880.8美元的历史新高，年内涨幅超过47% [2] - 美联储预计将在10月和12月进行降息，降息周期通过降低持有非生息资产黄金的机会成本以及可能推动美国国债收益率曲线陡峭化（这通常对美元不利）这两个关键渠道来支撑金价 [4] 黄金市场驱动因素 - 政府关门的不确定性、美元走弱以及更多的降息预期被视为金价持续上涨的驱动因素 [2] - 美元对大多数美国主要贸易伙伴货币贬值，正面临自1970年代以来最差的年度跌幅 [4] - 全球黄金交易所交易基金（ETF）今年的资金流入规模为2020年以来最佳，同时总实物持仓量仍低于疫情期间的峰值，表明存在进一步购买的空间，ETF资金流入可能实质性收紧黄金的供需平衡，是今年推动金价创纪录的主要因素 [7] 黄金相关投资产品表现 - State Street旗下的SPDR Gold Trust是全球最大的实物黄金支持ETF，在9月15日至当月月底期间持续录得每周资金流入 [8] - 多个黄金相关ETF及ETN表现强劲，其中ProShares Ultra Gold和DB Gold Double Long Exchange Traded Notes今年涨幅均超过90%，而Sprott Physical Gold Trust和Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF的涨幅为47% [9]

品牌营销举措 - 公司宣布开始在旗下所有餐厅安装大型美国国旗 安装当地政府允许的最高最大的旗帜[1] - 此举是公司支持美国价值观和传统的爱国举措 相关社交媒体帖子获得超过65万次浏览并广受客户好评[1][2] - 社交媒体用户反应积极 包括表示将增加消费、称赞营销策略、认为品牌正迅速成为标志性餐厅等[4][5] 公司战略定位 - 公司近期一系列公开声明强调传承和爱国主义 此前曾批评Cracker Barrel改变标志是抛弃传统 而公司以自身历史和美式价值观为荣[5][7] - 公司成立于1934年 在德克萨斯州、北卡罗来纳州、佛罗里达州、密苏里州、田纳西州、佐治亚州、伊利诺伊州和俄亥俄州等地设有分店[5] 菜单与产品更新 - 公司近期进行菜单变更 包括在食品制备中弃用种子油转而使用牛油 这一举措获得了美国卫生与公众服务部部长小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪的赞扬[7] - 牛油薯条已在美国多州推出 并计划在3月1日前覆盖所有门店[8]

产品召回事件 - 因潜在李斯特菌污染风险 公司自愿召回两款熟食意大利面沙拉 分别为罗勒香蒜蝴蝶面和烟熏马苏里拉通心粉沙拉 [1] - 召回产品在28个州的1860家门店的熟食服务柜台和即取即走包装中销售 包括加利福尼亚州、佐治亚州、德克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、密歇根州和伊利诺伊州等 [2] - 所有受影响产品均已下架 已通过收据信息和电子邮件通知购买顾客 建议顾客勿食用并可退货获得全额退款或换货 [5][6] 召回背景与影响 - 李斯特菌可导致严重甚至致命感染 对幼儿、老年人、孕妇及免疫力低下人群风险尤高 目前尚未收到与召回产品相关的疾病或伤害报告 [8] - 此次召回源于供应商通知 公司于9月26日接到Fresh Creative Foods通知 其面食供应商Nate's Fine Foods因潜在李斯特菌污染召回蝴蝶面 影响亚利桑那州、新墨西哥州和内华达州的24家Smith's门店 [8] - 10月1日 Fresh Creative Foods再次通知公司 Nate's Fine Foods已扩大召回范围 将更多日期的蝴蝶面和通心粉产品纳入召回 [11] 公司其他动态 - 公司计划在未来18个月内关闭60家门店 [3] - 公司首席执行官因董事会对其个人行为的调查而辞职 [6] - 公司与Albertsons存在法律纠纷 [9]

The ongoing partial government shutdown prevented the Labor Department from releasing the anticipated September jobs report as scheduled on Friday, causing economic data watchers to turn their attention to alternative sources to gauge labor market conditions. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' September jobs report was expected to show the economy added 50,000 jobs in September, according to economists polled by LSEG. That would continue the trend of soft jobs reports in recent months, with August's initial pr ...

Federal investigators are examining a crash in which two Amazon Prime Air delivery drones struck a construction crane in Tolleson, Arizona, a city west of Phoenix, on Wednesday. Tolleson police said the morning crash occurred in a commercial area near 96th Avenue and Roosevelt Street, according to FOX 10 Phoenix.The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) have both opened investigations into the collision. "The NTSB is investigating the collision Wednesday o ...

抵押贷款利率走势 - 基准30年期固定抵押贷款利率连续第二周上升至6 34%，较上周的6 3%有所增加，而一年前该利率平均为6 12%[1] - 尽管美联储在9月17日进行了近一年来的首次降息，将联邦基金利率下调25个基点，但抵押贷款利率仍出现攀升[7] 影响抵押贷款利率的关键因素 - 贷款机构在设定抵押贷款利率时，会参考更广泛的市场力量，包括10年期国债收益率和抵押贷款支持证券的价格[2] - 抵押贷款利率密切跟踪10年期国债收益率，后者会随着新的经济数据和市场预期而实时变动[4] - 经济状况、通货膨胀、政府政策和全球事件也会影响抵押贷款利率的形成[5] 市场预期与美联储政策的相互作用 - 在美联储宣布降息前，市场已提前定价此举措，导致国债收益率下降，抵押贷款利率短暂走低[8] - 由于美联储未就进一步宽松政策发出明确路径信号，投资者重新调整预期，推动10年期国债收益率和抵押贷款利率回升[10] - 投资者曾希望获得关于2025年更多降息的更强有力指引，预期与美联储谨慎立场之间的差距推高了国债收益率和抵押贷款利率[8] 未来利率展望 - 随着市场权衡政府停摆的影响，预计利率将在一个狭窄区间内保持稳定[11] - 此次政府运作中断的时机尤为敏感，因为它恰好发生在美联储九个月来首次降息之后[12]

Cracker Barrel is ending its partnership with Prophet, the consulting firm behind its failed rebrand. The chain faced intense backlash after unveiling a new logo and redesigned stores that longtime fans said stripped away what they loved most about the brand.Cracker Barrel’s restaurants, long known for their kitschy Americana décor, were recast in a style critics called drab and soulless. The uproar grew after the company dropped its iconic logo of an elderly man leaning on a barrel.CRACKER BARREL ANTI-WOKE ...

Attorneys representing the family of a 32-year-old man who died after riding on Epic Universe's Stardust Racers roller coaster in Orlando, Florida, claim the incident was not "isolated," and several other victims have reported similar injuries after participating in the same ride. Kevin Rodriguez Zavala died at a hospital Sept. 17 after suffering multiple blunt force injuries on the Stardust Racers dual-launch ride at Universal Epic Universe, according to authorities.Zavala's family alleges Universal missed ...