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Has American Airlines Finally Bottomed Out?
Gurufocus· 2024-09-19 21:00
文章核心观点 - 美国航空公司(American Airlines Group Inc.)的股价在过去一年中大幅下跌,跌幅超过20%,主要由于盈利能力下降、旅行需求减弱以及经济环境不稳定。尽管近期股价有所回升,但基于现实假设的公允价值估计并不乐观。然而,随着股价的急剧下跌和投资大师们增加持股,市场对股价触底反弹的乐观情绪正在增长。尽管风险依然存在,但潜在的复苏可能为投资者带来机会[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][13][14][15][16][17]。 近期业绩表现 - 过去一年,特别是最近两个季度,公司的营收和每股收益均未达到预期,且差距较大。尽管2023年第二和第四季度偶尔超出预期,但最近几个季度公司大幅低于预期,平均差距达到53%[2]。 - 2023年第二季度,公司创下了143亿美元的季度营收新高,但利润却大幅下降46%至7.17亿美元,每股收益为1.01美元。关键指标如每可用座位里程的乘客收入和总收入每可用座位里程分别下降了5.90%和4.90%。公司还下调了每股收益预测,从之前的2.25至3.25美元区间降至0.70至1.30美元区间[3]。 财务状况与债务 - 公司的债务水平一直是近年来的主要话题,尤其是在疫情期间,公司成为负债最多的航空公司之一。尽管公司在第二季度偿还了约6.8亿美元的债务,并计划到2025年底减少150亿美元的债务,但目前仍有超过340亿美元的债务[8][11]。 - 公司的财务指标显示其流动性较弱,现金与债务比率为0.21,远低于行业平均水平。债务与股东权益比率为8.31,表明负债过高。Altman Z-Score为0.66,表明公司面临财务困境[11]。 盈利能力 - 公司的盈利能力指标表现不佳,净利率为-0.23%,自由现金流利润率为-1.52%,均低于行业标准和历史表现。资产回报率为-0.19%,反映出资产利用效率低下[12]。 估值与分析师观点 - 尽管股价在过去一年中大幅下跌,但近期股价有所回升,分析师平均目标价为11.58美元,较当前价格有5.36%的上涨空间。GF Value为16.70美元,表明股价被显著低估[13][14]。 - 根据彼得·林奇的估值模型,股价低于其历史市盈率中位数7.1,表明股价可能被低估。然而,由于公司的周期性和波动性,DCF模型计算的公允价值为9.92美元,表明股价仍未触底[15][16]。 投资大师交易动态 - 投资大师们的交易动态显示,尽管部分大师如Renaissance Technologies和Joel Greenblatt减少了持股,但其他如PRIMECAP Management、Jefferies Group和Paul Tudor Jones增加了持股,表明市场对股价反弹的潜在机会持乐观态度[6][7][10]。
American Airlines (AAL) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights
ZACKS· 2024-09-19 07:20
In the latest market close, American Airlines (AAL) reached $11.03, with a -1.25% movement compared to the previous day. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.29%. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.25%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.31%.The the stock of world's largest airline has risen by 8.55% in the past month, leading the Transportation sector's gain of 4.32% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.57%.The upcoming earnings release of American Airlines will be of great interest to investo ...
American Airlines' Five-Year Contract With Flight Attendants Ratified
ZACKS· 2024-09-18 01:50
American Airlines (AAL) received encouraging tidings on the labor front when the Association of Professional Flight Attendants or APFA announced that flight attendants of the airline have ratified a new five-year contract, increasing the value of their current agreement by $4.2 billion.With 95% of eligible flight attendants casting their votes, 87% of American Airlines flight attendants voted in favor of the contract, which takes effect from Oct. 1, 2024. This contract represents a significant milestone for ...
AAL to Exit S&P 500: How Should Investors Play the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2024-09-18 00:51
American Airlines (AAL) will cease to be a member of the S&P 500 from Sept. 23. After exiting the coveted index, the airline become part of the S&P MidCap 400 index. The change is part of the S&P 500 index’s quarterly adjustment process and reflects AAL’s overall loss of market capitalization over time. AAL's market capitalization, as of Sept. 16, 2024, was $7.1 billion, down drastically from around $37 billion in December 2014. Post Sept. 23, only three airline stocks will remain in the S&P 500 index — Del ...
The Gross Law Firm Notifies Shareholders of American Airlines Group Inc.(AAL) of a Class Action Lawsuit and an Upcoming Deadline
Prnewswire· 2024-09-16 17:45
核心观点 - 美国航空公司集团(American Airlines Group Inc.,NASDAQ: AAL)的股东在特定时间段内购买的股票可能涉及虚假陈述和隐瞒重要事实,导致股价人为上涨 公司鼓励股东联系律师事务所,了解可能的集体诉讼和首席原告任命事宜 [1][2] 集体诉讼相关信息 - 集体诉讼的时间段为2023年7月20日至2024年5月28日 [1] - 股东应在2024年9月16日前注册参与集体诉讼,注册后将通过投资组合监控软件获得案件进展更新 [2] - 股东无需成为首席原告即可参与任何赔偿 [1] 指控内容 - 公司在集体诉讼期间向投资者发布了大量积极的声明,声称新的销售和分销策略将减少内部开支并显著增加公司航空服务的需求 这些声明被指控歪曲了公司的真实状况,并隐瞒了销售和分销策略未能实现预期收入的事实 [1] 律师事务所介绍 - 律师事务所为Gross Law Firm,是一家全国知名的集体诉讼律师事务所,致力于保护因欺骗、欺诈和非法商业行为而遭受损失的投资者 公司致力于确保企业遵守负责任的商业实践,并进行良好的企业公民行为 律师事务所寻求为因公司虚假和/或误导性陈述或遗漏重要信息而导致股价人为上涨的投资者追回损失 [3]
American Airlines: Look Past S&P 500 Exit
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-14 04:55
honglouwawa As with the other airlines, American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) can't appear to catch a break. The stock is being stripped from the S&P 500 index just as airlines are confirming a rebuild in Q3 profits as capacity reductions are boosting numbers. My investment thesis remains ultra-bullish on the airline stock still trading near the COVID lows. Source: Finviz S&P 500 Removal In the upcoming quarterly rebalance, S&P Dow Jones Indices will remove American Airlines from the S&P 500. The airlin ...
Here's Why Investors Should Retain American Airlines Stock Now
ZACKS· 2024-09-14 00:20
American Airlines’ (AAL) efforts to expand and enhance its global network are commendable. The company’s proactive initiative to create 500 new aviation jobs is serving well for the company and the economy. However, AAL has been grappling with soft market conditions and increased operating costs.Factors Favoring AALAmerican Airlines' initiative to create nearly 500 new aviation maintenance jobs and expand heavy check maintenance work at its bases in Charlotte, NC; Pittsburgh, PA, and Tulsa, OK, represents a ...
Faruqi & Faruqi Reminds American Airlines Investors of the Pending Class Action Lawsuit with a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of September 16, 2024 - AAL
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2024-09-13 22:06
Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Securities Litigation Partner James (Josh) Wilson Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses Exceeding $100,000 In American Airlines To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options If you suffered losses exceeding $100,000 investing in American Airlines stock or options between January 25, 2024 and May 28, 2024 and would like to discuss your legal rights, call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310). [You may also click here for additional ...
American Airlines flight attendants ratify new contract with immediate raises topping 20%
CNBC· 2024-09-13 01:27
Julie Hedrick, president of the Association of Professional Flight Attendants (APFA), right, announces a strike authorization outside Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) near Dallas, Texas, on Wednesday, Aug. 30, 2023.American Airlines flight attendants approved a five-year labor deal, ending one of the industry's most contentious contract negotiations and giving cabin crews more than 20% raises at the start of October.Eighty-seven percent of the American Airlines flight attendants who voted appro ...
American Airlines: Too Cheap To Ignore
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-13 00:45
Kevin Porter Introduction I had a bullish opinion on American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) in my previous article. At the time, I cited a continued strong travel demand, the company's relatively young fleet portfolio, and the company's revised loyalty program as reasoning for my bullish thesis. While American Airline's stock has seen a significant decline since the previous publication due to its missteps and market challenges, I continue to stand by my thesis on the company. The demand environment continues t ...