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Chipotle Turns Cautious on Consumer Sentiment. Is the Stock Still a Long-term Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-28 02:00
文章核心观点 - 快餐连锁餐厅Chipotle Mexican Grill 2025年初销售不佳,同店销售额自2020年以来首次下降,但公司仍预测今年同店销售增长,且股票有长期投资价值 [1][6][11] 分组1:消费者流量疲软 - 1月销售额下降2%,管理层预计第一季度同店销售额基本持平,将年初不佳归咎于恶劣天气、洛杉矶野火和日历变化 [3] - 2月起消费者因经济担忧减少光顾频率,这种不确定性持续到4月 [4] - 第二季度面临去年同期高基数和复活节较晚的负面影响,公司不寻求快速复苏 [5] - 公司仍预测2025年同店销售低个位数增长,下半年流量转正,此前预测为低至中个位数增长,还准备了增强营销计划 [6] 分组2:业绩情况 - 收入增长6%至28.8亿美元,调整后每股收益增长7%至0.29美元,分析师预期调整后每股收益0.28美元、收入29.5亿美元 [8] - 可比餐厅销售额下降0.4%,低于分析师预期的1.7%增长,交易次数下降2.3%,平均客单价上涨1.9% [8] - 餐厅层面运营利润率下滑130个基点至26.2%,受大份餐食、食品和劳动力成本上升影响,关税预计持续影响约50个基点 [9] 分组3:股票长期投资价值 - 尽管同店流量下降和成本上升,公司餐厅层面利润率仍强劲,餐厅数量增加带动整体增长,有继续开店的空间 [11] - 公司计划在美国以8% - 10%的年增长率开设新门店,在国际市场有很大扩张潜力,如在加拿大、英国、德国、中东和墨西哥拓展业务 [12] - 基于2025年估计,股票远期市盈率约为39,处于过去几年区间低端,长期投资价值未变,投资者可在当前水平积累股票 [13]
Chipotle Mexican Grill Serves Smoking Hot Entry Point in Q2
MarketBeat· 2025-04-27 19:01
Chipotle Mexican Grill TodayCMGChipotle Mexican Grill$51.93 +2.39 (+4.82%) 52-Week Range$44.46▼$69.26P/E Ratio46.78Price Target$61.78Add to WatchlistChipotle Mexican Grill's NYSE: CMG price action is down in Q2 2025 for several reasons, including a post-stock split letdown, a significant CEO transition, global macroeconomic woes, and a sluggish 2025 outlook. However, those factors do not offset the company’s leadership position, quality management, fortress-like balance sheet, and substantial growth outloo ...
Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Right Now and Hold It for the Next 20 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-26 21:16
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG 4.84%) reported its financial results for the first quarter on Wednesday, posting adjusted earnings per share of $0.29, which exceeded Wall Street estimates. However, its revenue of $2.9 billion came up short of expectations.This top restaurant stock has been a huge winner over the past five years (as of April 24), rising by 184%. But investors are losing their appetite for it in 2025. Shares have tanked by 18% so far this year, and they're down 28% from the all-time high they se ...
Consumer companies are bracing for lower profits as tariffs force shoppers to rethink spending
CNBC· 2025-04-25 01:14
In this articleCMGKDPLUVUALA Chipotle store stands in the Bronx on April 23, 2025 in New York City.Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesFrom Procter & Gamble to Chipotle, consumer companies are slashing their forecasts, projecting that tariffs will weigh on their profits and put more pressure on an already shaky consumer.At least a dozen companies have cut or pulled their full-year outlooks so far this earnings season, with several more weeks of quarterly reports still on deck.For many companies, tariffs mean higher ...
Chipotle Q1 Earnings Top, Revenues Lag Estimates, Comps Fall Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 23:15
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results, with earnings beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate and revenues missing the same. The top and bottom lines increased on a year-over-year basis.Chipotle's first-quarter results were affected by various headwinds, including unfavorable weather conditions and reduced consumer spending. Nonetheless, the company has made notable strides in enhancing restaurant operations, advancing back-of-house innovations and expanding its brand pres ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-24 09:23
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 23, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Cindy Olsen - Head of Investor Relations and Strategy Scott Boatwright - Chief Executive Officer Adam Rymer - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Andrew Charles - TD Cowen Sara Senatore - Bank of America David Tarantino - Robert W. Baird & Co. David Palmer - Evercore ISI Sharon Zackfia - William Blair & Company Brian Harbour - Morgan Stanley Dennis Geiger - UBS Gregory Fra ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-04-24 07:32
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 __________________________________________________________________________ _____________FORM ______________________________ 10-Q _______________________________ x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 or o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Beats Q1 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 06:20
文章核心观点 - Chipotle Mexican Grill本季度财报有盈有亏 其股价后续走势取决于管理层财报电话会议评论 投资者可关注公司盈利前景和行业前景以评估股票表现 同行业First Watch Restaurant Group即将公布财报 [1][2][3][4] Chipotle Mexican Grill财报情况 - 本季度每股收益0.29美元 击败Zacks共识预期的0.28美元 去年同期为0.27美元 本季度盈利惊喜为3.57% 上一季度盈利惊喜为4.17% 过去四个季度公司均超过共识每股收益预期 [1][2] - 截至2025年3月季度营收28.8亿美元 未达Zacks共识预期1.49% 去年同期营收27亿美元 过去四个季度公司仅一次超过共识营收预期 [2] Chipotle Mexican Grill股价表现 - 自年初以来 Chipotle股价下跌约21.9% 而标准普尔500指数下跌10.1% [3] Chipotle Mexican Grill未来展望 - 股票近期价格走势和未来盈利预期的可持续性主要取决于管理层财报电话会议评论 [3] - 投资者可通过公司盈利前景评估股票走势 盈利前景包括未来季度当前共识盈利预期及预期近期变化 [4] - 近期盈利预测修正趋势与短期股价走势有强相关性 投资者可自行跟踪或依靠Zacks Rank评级工具 [5] - 财报发布前 Chipotle盈利预测修正趋势喜忧参半 目前Zacks Rank为3(持有) 预计短期内股票表现与市场一致 [6] - 未来几天未来季度和本财年的盈利预测变化值得关注 当前未来季度共识每股收益预期为0.36美元 营收32.4亿美元 本财年共识每股收益预期为1.26美元 营收125.2亿美元 [7] 行业情况 - Zacks行业排名中 零售 - 餐厅行业目前处于250多个Zacks行业的后20% 排名前50%的行业表现比后50%的行业高出两倍多 [8] First Watch Restaurant Group情况 - 该公司尚未公布截至2025年3月季度财报 预计5月6日公布 [9] - 预计本季度每股收益0.04美元 同比变化-66.7% 过去30天本季度共识每股收益预期下调1.6% [9] - 预计本季度营收2.8233亿美元 较去年同期增长16.5% [10]
Chipotle sales slump as recession fears hit burrito chain: ‘Consumers were saving money'
New York Post· 2025-04-24 06:16
Chipotle Mexican Grill on Wednesday tempered its annual comparable sales growth forecast as sticky inflation and economic uncertainty force consumers to dine out less, sending the burrito chain’s shares down 3% after hours.The company now expects annual comparable sales growth in the low single-digit range, compared with a prior forecast for a low- to mid-single-digit rise.President Trump’s sweeping tariffs on trade partners including Mexico and Canada, as well as an escalating trade war with China, have ra ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-04-24 04:11
Exhibit 99.1 EARNINGS RELEASE PR Contact: Laurie Schalow (949) 524-4035 MediaRelations@chipotle.com IR Contact: Cindy Olsen, CFA (949) 524-4205 Cindy.Olsen@chipotle.com CHIPOTLE ANNOUNCES FIRST QUARTER 2025 RESULTS CHIPOTLE HIGHLIGHTS BRAND STRENGTH AND INNOVATION IN FIRST QUARTER RESULTS NEWPORT BEACH, Calif. – April 23, 2025 – Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE: CMG) today reported financial results for its first quarter ended March 31, 2025. First quarter highlights, year over year: "While our first quar ...