GENDER NOTES Global Employment Gender Gaps Diego B. P. Gomes and Dharana Rijal IMF GENDER NOTES 2024/004 ©2024 International Monetary Fund Global Employment Gender Gaps Diego B. P. Gomes and Dharana Rijal NOTE/2024/004 DISCLAIMER: The IMF Gender Notes Series aims to quickly disseminate succinct IMF analysis on critical economic issues to member countries and the broader policy community. The views expressed in IMF Gender Notes are those of the author(s), although they do not necessarily represent the views ...

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 2024 DEC The Heterogeneous Impacts of Firm Upgrading on Energy Intensity Povilas Lastauskas, Ziran Ding and Mustapha Douch WP/24/248 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 9A9 © 2024 International Monetary Fund WP/24/248 IMF Workin ...

IMF POLICY PAPER REVIEW OF THE IMF'S COMMUNICATIONS STRATEGY IMF staff regularly produces papers proposing new IMF policies, exploring options for reform, or reviewing existing IMF policies and operations. The following documents have been released and are included in this package: • A Press Release summarizing the views of the Executive Board as expressed during its November 22, 2024, consideration of the staff report. • The Staff Report, prepared by IMF staff and completed on October 22, 2024, for the Exe ...

TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE REPORT VIETNAM REPORT ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX MISSION (APRIL 22–26, 2024) SEPTEMBER 2024 Prepared By Niall O'Hanlon Authoring Department: Statistics DISCLAIMER "The contents of this document constitute technical advice provided by the staff of the International Monetary Fund to the authorities of Vietnam (the "CD recipient") in response to their request for technical assistance. This document (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof may be disclosed by the IMF to the IMF E ...

STAFF CLIMATE NOTES Destination Net Zero: The Urgent Need for a Global Carbon Tax on Aviation and Shipping Simon Black, Ian Parry, Sunalika Singh, and Nate Vernon-Lin IMF STAFF CLIMATE NOTES 2024/003 ©2024 International Monetary Fund Destination Net Zero: The Urgent Need for a Global Carbon Tax on Aviation and Shipping IMF Staff Climate Notes 2024/003 Simon Black, Ian Parry, Sunalika Singh, and Nate Vernon-Lin* DISCLAIMER: The IMF Staff Notes Series aims to quickly disseminate succinct IMF analysis on criti ...

TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE REPORT MONTENEGRO Report on External Sector Statistics Mission (July 29–August 9, 2024) AUGUST 2024 Prepared By Joji Ishikawa and Robert Pupynin Authoring Departments: Statistics Department DISCLAIMER "The contents of this document constitute technical advice provided by the staff of the International Monetary Fund to the authorities of Montenegro (the "CD recipient") in response to their request for technical assistance. This document (in whole or in part) or summaries thereof may be d ...

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Divergence in Post- Pandemic Earnings Growth: Evidence from Micro Data Sophia Chen and Do Lee WP/24/222 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 2024 OCT 9A9 DNIXAOV © 2024 International Monetary Fund WP/24/222 IMF Working Paper Rese ...

行业投资评级 - 报告未明确给出行业投资评级 但指出服务业通胀持续高企可能对美联储实现2%通胀目标构成挑战[6][7] - 研究强调劳动力市场紧张对服务业通胀的持续影响 暗示相关行业可能面临政策收紧压力[16][21] 核心观点 - 美国服务业通胀在2021-2022年显著上升 2024年8月仍维持在2.5%水平 高于美联储目标[6] - 服务业通胀与工资增长存在显著滞后相关性 峰值相关性出现在10个月跨度[7][16] - 劳动力市场紧张度(V/U比率)每增加1个对数点 会导致10个月内服务业通胀(不含住房)上升8.8个百分点[16] - 疫情期间劳动力市场紧张平均解释了2022Q3-2023Q1期间68.7%的服务业通胀[16] 数据与方法 - 使用Homebase专有微观数据 覆盖100万家企业900万员工 聚焦零售、酒店等服务业[11][12] - 结合BLS价格数据 构建MSA级别的工资-价格传递模型[12] - 采用Bartik冲击作为工具变量 基于Indeed平台1.42亿条职位发布数据构建劳动力市场紧张度指标[15] - 创新性地使用区域性数据解决传统菲利普斯曲线估计偏差问题[10][14] 关键发现 - 工资增长对价格传递存在非线性特征 在V/U>1的劳动力短缺地区传递效应更强[17] - 服务行业工资增长1个百分点 对应服务业通胀(不含住房)上升0.32个百分点[16] - 结果在控制家庭收入、住房财富等变量后保持稳健[18] - 与使用QCEW官方数据的验证结果具有一致性[21] 政策启示 - 劳动力成本占服务业总成本比重较高 工资增长的持续性可能延长通胀压力[8] - 研究支持"价格菲利普斯曲线在紧张劳动力市场下更陡峭"的结论[10][16] - 地缘政治导致的供给侧冲击可能加剧通胀管控难度[8]

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Parametric Pension Reform Options in Korea Daniel Baksa, Boele Bonthuis, Si Guo, and Zsuzsa Munkacsi WP/24/223 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 9A9 2024 OCT © 2024 International Monetary Fund WP/24/223 IMF Working Paper Asia ...

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Reported Social Unrest Index: September 2024 Update Philip Barrett WP/24/225 IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management. 2024 OCT 9A9 DNIXAOV © 2024 International Monetary Fund WP/24/225 IMF Working Paper Western Hemisphere Department R ...