Bitcoin eyes breakout as 50bps Fed rate cut odds climb to 17% and dollar wobbles Markets are pricing about 30 basis points of easing for the Sept. 17 Federal Open Market Committee decision, split between a base case quarter point cut and a smaller tail for 50 basis points. Should rates drop 50bps, Bitcoin could eye a return to all-time highs. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, probabilities as of Sept. 10 at 7:30 A.M. CT stood near 90 percent for a 25 basis point move, about 10 percent for 50, and ...

抵押贷款利率变动 - 美国30年期固定抵押贷款利率降至6.49% 为2024年10月以来最低水平 [1] - 抵押贷款利率下降推动借款人需求达到2022年以来最强周度表现 [3] 贷款申请量变化 - 再融资申请量周环比增长12% 较去年同期增长34% [2] - 购房申请量周环比增长7% 较去年同期增长23% [2] - 再融资申请占比接近总抵押贷款申请量的50% [3] 贷款产品结构变化 - 可调整利率贷款需求出现上升 因其初始利率低于固定利率产品 [3] 房地产市场动态 - 高借贷成本和可负担房屋短缺持续制约房地产市场 [3] - 待售房屋数量达到数年最高水平 房价涨幅有所放缓 [3] 宏观经济影响因素 - 抵押贷款利率跟随美国国债收益率变动 近期因就业市场数据疲软而下降 [5] - 投资者预期美联储将在下周会议降息 可能进一步降低借贷成本 [5] - 服务与商品价格呈现急剧上涨趋势 可能推高通胀水平 [4]

Survey: Small business owners are less confident about year-end profits Business owners are heading into the last quarter of 2025 — often the most crucial time of year for retail, e-commerce, restaurants, and hospitality — with less confidence in profit growth expectations than they had at this time last year, according to a recent NEXT Insurance survey. This year, just under half of business owners (49%) expect their profits to increase, down from 55% in 2024. That six‑point drop may reflect that small b ...

生产者价格指数表现 - 美国8月生产者价格指数意外下降0.1% [1] - 整体通胀压力呈现缓和态势 [3] 同比通胀水平 - 年通胀率回落至3%以下水平 [2] 美联储政策预期 - 数据强化美联储9月降息25个基点的预期 [1][3] - 预计后续每次政策会议都将降息25个基点 [3] - 降息速度和力度将取决于即将发布的消费者价格指数 [2] 市场影响分析 - 生产者价格指数为美联储降息铺平道路 [1] - 就业数据疲软与通胀回落共同支撑降息预期 [2] - 消费者价格指数数据将对市场情绪产生重要影响 [1][2]

Kevin Hanks is with me, co-host of Fast Market, live at the CBOE and of course inflation is front and center and we begin with the PPI takeaways. Good morning to you Kevin. Good morning Nicole.Big positive numbers in terms of the fight against inflation. Big drops from a month ago in terms of the numbers we got and the revisions. Here they come.Nicole headline month overmonth PPI down a tenth of a percent. Remember last month it was up.9%. That got revised to only up.7.The consensus were for up 3% comes in ...

通胀数据表现 - 8月生产者价格指数环比下降0.1% 为四个月来首次下降[3] - 核心消费者价格指数年化增长率预计达3.1% 显著高于央行2%的通胀目标[5] 美联储政策预期 - 市场完全定价下周会议将降息25个基点[4] - 交易员基本定价10月和12月还将进行同等幅度降息[4] - 通胀数据可能影响9月之后的美联储行动路径[7] 债券市场反应 - 两年期国债收益率下跌4个基点至3.52%[2] - 十年期基准国债收益率下降3个基点至4.06%[2] - 国债上涨主要由短期票据引领[1] 就业市场状况 - 8月就业报告显示就业创造低于预期[6] - 近期劳动力市场指标持续疲软[6] - 就业疲软强化美联储下周开始宽松政策的预期[7]

Oracle announced earnings that far exceeded expectations. (Photo by Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images)Getty ImagesKey TakeawaysMajor Indices Reach Record Highs Despite Weak Employment Data ConcernsOracle Backlog Surges, Fueling Cloud And Artificial Intelligence GrowthTariffs Pressure Prices As Inflation Risks Loom Before CPI ReportAll three major indices closed at record highs on Tuesday with the S&P 500 ending the day at 6512, the Nasdaq Composite closed at 21,879 and the Dow Jones Industrial average clos ...

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美国通胀数据表现 - 8月生产者价格指数(PPI)环比下降0.1% 远低于分析师预期的0.3%增长 较7月0.9%的增幅显著放缓[1] - 8月核心PPI(剔除食品和能源)环比下降0.1% 低于预期的0.3%增长 较7月0.7%的增幅明显回落[2] - 8月PPI同比上涨2.6% 低于前值3.1% 且大幅低于3.3%的预期值 核心PPI同比上涨2.8% 低于预期的3.5%和前值3.4%[1][2] 加密货币市场反应 - 比特币价格在数据公布后上涨至113,700美元 24小时内涨幅超过1%[2] - 以太坊出现相似涨幅 Solana代币SOL表现突出 上涨3.3%至224美元[2] - 市场对美联储降息预期升温 CME FedWatch显示50个基点降息概率从0%升至10%[6] 宏观经济背景与市场预期 - 7月PPI数据曾重新引发通胀担忧 但8月数据缓解了这种担忧[3] - 交易员密切关注即将公布的消费者价格指数(CPI)报告 该数据对美联储利率决策具有关键影响[3] - 分析师认为疲软的PPI数据有助于抑制CPI通胀 使美联储能够更多关注劳动力市场疲弱问题[4] 货币政策与风险资产表现 - 宽松货币政策通常有利于风险资产 包括加密货币[5] - 美联储主席鲍威尔近期从鹰派转向鸽派立场 经济数据疲软可能促使央行进行系列降息[5] - 比特币价格走势与黄金出现分化 黄金在鸽派消息推动下持续创历史新高 而比特币呈现快速波动特征[6]

LIVE S&P 500 Builds on Record High After PPI Inflation Report Last Updated: 25 min ago Dollar Weakens on Softer-Than-Expected Inflation Data By Paulo Trevisani, Dow Jones Newswires The dollar was doing well, until the news broke that producer prices in the U.S. fell in August. The PPI index was a negative 0.1%, down from a positive 0.7% in July. Forecasters expected a slowdown, but not deflation. The number, ahead of tomorrow's CPI, fuels bets on a fast pace of interest-rate cuts by the Fed, "diminishing th ...