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Craving Volatility? Be Careful What You Wish For
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-29 14:47
Volatility is a feature, not a bug, of liquid markets like the stock market, in which new prices might be found every millisecond. Now, I see myself as a long-term investor, and as such, I obviously do not care about milliseconds, seconds, minutes, or hours. Mostly, not even days. What weExcellent academic Finance background and Finance professional with over five years of cumulative experience in Consulting & Audit Firms including a professional Valuation position, FP&A and Controlling positions, and Finan ...
US Stock Rally Cools as October Turbulence, Earnings Season Loom
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 21:00
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. US equities have defied virtually every warning in the past five months, clocking one of the best stretches since the 1950s even as investors fretted over the strength of the economy and the impact of tariffs. Most Read from Bloomberg While the third quarter is ending with the S&P 500 Index on track for another advance, the mood seemed to shift, however slightly, at the end of last week. The equity benchmark fell three straight days — hardly alarm ...
S&P 500 Snapshot: First Weekly Loss in a Month
Etftrends· 2025-09-27 05:54
指数近期表现 - 标普500指数本周创下历史新高,但出现近一个月来首次周度下跌,跌幅为0.3% [1] - 指数自5月1日起持续位于50日移动均线之上,自5月12日起持续位于200日移动均线之上,且50日移动均线自7月1日起持续位于200日移动均线之上 [2] 历史回撤与复苏周期 - 在2007年10月9日,标普500指数创下当时历史新高1565.15点,随后在2009年3月9日跌至676.53点,较高点下跌约57%,此次全球金融危机后的复苏历时超过5年,直至2013年3月28日指数才以1569.19点创下新高 [1] 市场波动性分析 - 4月9日,标普500指数经历了自2018年12月24日(日内波动率19.10%)以来最大的日内价格波动,波动率为10.77% [3] - 过去20个交易日内,指数从日内低点到日内高点的平均百分比变化为0.69% [3] 市值加权与等权指数表现对比 - 标普500指数为市值加权指数,涵盖约500家美国大型公司,横跨11个行业,而标普500等权指数包含相同成分股但每家公司权重固定相等 [4] - 年初至今,标普500指数上涨13.21%,而标普500等权指数上涨8.03% [4] 相关ETF产品 - 与标普500指数相关的ETF包括:iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV)、SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)、Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)、SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG)以及Invesco S&P 500等权ETF (RSP) [5]
$18 Billion in Bitcoin Options Set to Expire—Here’s What to Expect
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 03:15
Analysts called today’s $18 billion notional expiry of Bitcoin options “record-setting,” adding that whatever volatility arises from it may be delayed. That may be welcomed news for crypto investors after a rough trading week has sent prices tumbling across the board, with Bitcoin hanging on to a slight gain for the month of September and the rest of the crypto market already in the red. “Historical precedent suggests that large expiries often suppress volatility leading into the cut-off, then result in ...
Aviation Stock Looks Ready for a Trip Lower
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-09-27 02:08
Aircraft supplier FTAI Aviation Ltd (NASDAQ:FTAI) is trading into its 2025 highs from January, as well as $180, home to peak call open interest (OI). The shares sport a Schaeffer’s put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) that ranks in the 80th percentile. Historically, high SOIRs have produced large reversions in price action. Options traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations, per FTAI’s Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 43%, which ranks in the 5th percentile of readings from the past 12 ...
Crypto for Advisors: Kevin O’Leary talks Crypto Strategy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 23:00
投资策略:加密资产基础设施 - 采用“镐和铲”策略,重点投资于支持加密资产行业的基础设施,而非直接押注代币价格[1] - 具体投资标的包括交易所和数据中心,例如投资了清洁能源比特币挖矿数据中心公司Bitzero、加拿大最大交易所WonderFi以及Robinhood和Coinbase[7][8] - 个人投资组合中约20%为加密相关投资,建议通过投资支持数字资产的公司来构建多元化投资组合,而非持有多种代币[9] 监管环境与市场影响 - 美国参议院的数字资产市场结构法案和众议院的清晰法案是即将出台的关键监管框架,市场预期其通过将推动牛市[2] - 比特币ETF的推出是监管起点,已成为华尔街进入加密市场的主要通道,GENIUS法案为稳定币提供美元担保,显示机构对加密资产的信心增强[3] - 当前机构采用加密资产的程度极低,任何主要金融机构将其资产的1%配置于比特币都将引发价格大幅发现,而监管是主要障碍[4] 核心资产配置与风险管理 - 核心代币持仓集中于比特币、以太坊和稳定币,三者约占代币持仓的90%,比特币和以太坊各配置2.5%[10] - 采取保守的杠杆策略,杠杆率最高为30%,以规避比特币价格可能暴跌50%的风险[13] - 投资心态强调利用波动性,通过同时持有加密资产及其基础设施来获利,而非预测代币价格[14] 加密资产投资渠道与策略 - 投资渠道包括中心化交易所、去中心化协议、结构化产品和专业管理策略,不同渠道在所有权、托管和执行方面各有优劣[15][16] - 除买入持有外,策略包括Delta中性策略(消除方向性风险)、市场中性策略(利用资产间错误定价)和长短期量化策略(基于系统信号)等[17][18] - 选择投资方式需基于投资目标(长期增长、多元化、创收等)、风险承受能力和偏好参与程度,并考虑托管、流动性等基础设施[20][21] 行业动态与机构参与 - 加密资产当前用途包括价值存储、数字支付系统和稳定币,但行业仍处于早期阶段,采用率远未达潜力[5] - 行业正从缺乏监管的“蛮荒”状态转向监管明晰,早期参与者曾从高波动性中获利[5][6] - 近期行业动态包括Visa、Stripe和Fold合作推出比特币奖励信用卡,美国证券交易委员会简化加密ETF上市流程,以及摩根士丹利计划通过E\*Trade平台推出加密货币交易[25]
EARNINGS ALERT: MU
Youtube· 2025-09-24 04:52
We are back here on Market on Close. I'm Sam Vis here on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange alongside Marley Kaden in our Chicago headquarters. There's just a few minutes left in today's session.And let's welcome in Kevin Green, senior markets correspondent to help close out today's session. All right, Kevin, what levels are you watching on the S&P 500. What have we been watching today.Because we did certainly hit all-time highs as we got started this morning, but certainly losing altitude throughout ...
High P/E And Muted Volatility: Buy Put Options
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 01:49
Join for a 100% Risk-Free trial and see if our proven method can help you too. You do not need to pay for the costly lessons from the market itself.The thesis for this article is already captured in the title. In the subsequent sections, I will argue why the combination of elevated P/E ratios for the overall equity market and muted level of volatility indicates aSensor Unlimited contributes to the investing group Envision Early Retirement which is led by Sensor Unlimited. They offer proven solutions to gene ...
How to Use Implied Volatility Rank & Percentile to Find Better Options Trades
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 21:34
Volatility is often called the fear gauge of the options market. When fear rises, volatility spikes — option premiums get expensive, risks increase, and opportunities can shift in an instant. When markets calm, volatility falls — premiums decline, and risks ease. As Rick Orford explained in his latest video, understanding volatility is essential to avoid overpaying for options and timing trades with higher probability. More News from Barchart Key Volatility Metrics Every Trader Should Know Aside from ...
Popular Hedge Fund Options Strategy Attracts Contrarian Bets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-21 22:00
The dispersion trade has become one of the most popular strategies among Wall Street hedge funds. Now, some investors are taking the other side of the wager. The US equity market has been deceptively calm since the start of August, with 60-day realized volatility the lowest since before the pandemic. The go-to measure of market gyrations, the Cboe Volatility Index, has been stuck below its long-term average of 20 since mid-June. But beneath the surface, individual stock prices are churning violently — Or ...